Welcome to PatsFans.com

ESPN and Computer Pick ....

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by JR4, Jan 12, 2007.

  1. JR4

    JR4 In the Starting Line-up PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 14, 2004
    Messages:
    2,774
    Likes Received:
    14
    Ratings:
    +22 / 0 / -2

  2. SVN

    SVN Rookie

    Joined:
    Sep 18, 2005
    Messages:
    22,550
    Likes Received:
    26
    Ratings:
    +44 / 0 / -0

    doesnt mean much..they all took the pats to beat the colts and denver too this yr and last in the playoffs...didnt work out for us then either
  3. GameDay

    GameDay Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2006
    Messages:
    174
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

    If we can assume that the Pats always improve from previous game in recent series (Jaguars, Titans, Jets), then only a modest improvement is needed to beat the Chargers. Most computer models out there give only very small edge to the SD. Some predict Pats' win. If we can factor in Brady's past legendary playoff performance, it'll really tip the scale to the Pats.

    I heard that $ is really flowing to the Pats right now. No body can shop for 5.5 (or even 5) anymore. http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/?s=418
    Good or bad? Idk.

    I personally think it'll be about the age, fitness, body clock, aches, and pains in the 4th Q that'll determine the game. Will Bruschi's swollen arm, Vabrel's back, or Seymour's elbow, Wilfork's ankle ... be too much for them by that time? They'll need one last stop of the SD who may driving for the tying or winning TD. (and SD is good at that).
  4. Pujo

    Pujo Rookie

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2005
    Messages:
    6,572
    Likes Received:
    4
    Ratings:
    +4 / 0 / -0

    Man, I'd love to know what their algorithms are for the computer ratings.
  5. SoonerPatriot

    SoonerPatriot Rookie

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2004
    Messages:
    3,318
    Likes Received:
    1
    Ratings:
    +1 / 0 / -0

    Wow. Look at all those Pats haters across the ESPN picks grid. Amazing. Only Sasisbury is in our corner.
  6. BoTown

    BoTown Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 18, 2005
    Messages:
    3,586
    Likes Received:
    4
    Ratings:
    +4 / 0 / -0

    Actually, earlier in the week Salisbury had picked the Chargers (said he'd go with his heart over his head), but it appears he's changed his mind. In any case, I'm not surprised at all that the favorite is the common choice.
  7. GameDay

    GameDay Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2006
    Messages:
    174
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

  8. sanvara

    sanvara Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2007
    Messages:
    854
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

  9. cblesz

    cblesz Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2006
    Messages:
    1,365
    Likes Received:
    1
    Ratings:
    +1 / 0 / -0

    No need to be a rocket scientist in the first round. My dog could have gone 4 for 4...
  10. skaIownsIyou

    skaIownsIyou Rookie

    Joined:
    Oct 13, 2006
    Messages:
    402
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

    actaully...bill simmons has us too lol

    "Patriots (+5) over CHARGERS I know how it looks on paper. I know the Pats have to play perfectly to win. I know they can't turn the ball over. I know they have to knock Tomlinson around like they did Marshall Faulk in Super Bowl XXXVI. I know they can't give up any long plays to Antonio Gates. I know they can't screw up on special teams. I know they have to run the ball, keep running the ball and keep San Diego off the field. I know that it's intimidating to face a San Diego defense with two known steroid guys on it -- after all, people who use steroids are prone to violent acts of rage.

    But I also know these four things:

    A. Two Januarys ago in this space, not only did I vow never to pick Marty Schottenheimer in another playoff game but I gave you permission to slice my Achilles tendons if it happened.

    B. Marty's playoff record is 5-12; Philip Rivers' playoff record is 0-0.

    C. The playoff record for Belichick and Brady as a team: 11-1.

    D. Not only are the Pats getting five points but they're nearly 2-to-1 underdogs. If I took you to a boxing match where an 11-1 heavyweight was fighting a 5-12 heavyweight, then suggested "Let's wager on this -- you take the 5-12 heavyweight, I'll take the 11-1 guy, and you give me 2-to-1 odds," is there any way you would take that wager?

    Didn't think so. Maybe the Patriots can't win in Baltimore (we'll get to that next week), but they can absolutely win in San Diego. And they will.

    The Pick: New England 30, San Diego 27.



    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/070112
  11. Patsfanin Philly

    Patsfanin Philly Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2005
    Messages:
    6,708
    Likes Received:
    13
    Ratings:
    +29 / 0 / -0

    #95 Jersey

    Last week all the home teams won (unlike the previous two years in wild card round when they went 1-3 each year) and this is the week when the visiting teams win. I expect at least two and maybe three visitors to win
    ( hopefully one of them is NE ) but if I were a betting man, I'd take NE,Philly and maybe Indy to win on the road.
  12. The Gr8est

    The Gr8est Rookie

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2004
    Messages:
    2,770
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

    Before the Pats played Carolina in the SB it was reported that a simulation which had been done for many years and had never been wrong had the Panthers winning.

    So much for simulations.
  13. sanvara

    sanvara Rookie

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2007
    Messages:
    854
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

    "I know the Pats have to play perfectly to win." sums this game up very well. They are capable, but it's hard to play a perfect game.

    Bill is a well-known chowderhead. He's picking with his heart. They don't call him "The Boston Sports Guy" for nothing. :D

    If I were a betting man I might take the points too even as a Chargers fan. 5 points is a lot to give up when two teams this good are playing. Thankfully odds and pointspreads don't play any part in who wins the actual game.
    Last edited: Jan 13, 2007

Share This Page

unset ($sidebar_block_show); ?>