Discussion in 'Political Discussion' started by IcyPatriot, Aug 18, 2012.
anybody see this site?
Obama 284 ..... Ties 13 ..... Romney 241
There are similar ones out there..
RealClearPolitics - Opinion, News, Analysis, Videos and Polls
Talking Points Memo | Breaking News and Analysis | TPM
They are all interesting, however will wait for 80 days from now..
I've seen it, and that number is a helluva lot closer than it used to be. However, IMHO, it is far from the best site for that sort of thing. First of all, it takes too many statistical ties and puts them in one candidate's totals. Believe me, there are currently more than 2 states within the statistical margin of error.
The one I think gives the best analysis is 270towin.com. While people in here talk a lot about national polls, 270towin.com is the only "poll" I'm following.
The Road to 270 (based on 2012 Electoral Votes)
Democrats 201 69 -- 171 Winning Combinations ยป
Republicans 191 79 -- 161 Winning Combinations ยป
New!Ties 32 Tie Combinations ยป
Probability of Reaching 270
Neither (Tie) < 1%
Romney will take NV, OH, IA, MO and WI.
If Romney gets FL Obama is toast.
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