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Economic picture painted by Fortune Magazine

Discussion in 'Political Discussion' started by PatriotsReign, Dec 5, 2008.

  1. PatriotsReign

    PatriotsReign Hall of Fame Poster

    Jan 15, 2007
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    #18 Jersey

    "The bottom line is that we are set for a sharp rise in the unemployment rate over the December-January period to above 7%. We should be looking for the unemployment rate to hit at least 8% over the next six to nine months, but the actual peak in the rate will likely be higher still in this cycle, as it is generally considered a lagging indicator, meaning that it continues to rise even after the economy starts recovering from a recession.

    To complete the picture of a uniformly bleak outlook, the employment data contained a very sizable decline in total hours worked last month (-0.9%), which will have a strong connection to fourth-quarter GDP. It now looks like the economy will contract at a rate of as much as 5% in this quarter, which underscores that point that can no longer be ignored: This is not a run-of-the-mill recession but a historic event."

    Dark signs in the jobless numbers - Dec. 5, 2008
    Last edited: Dec 5, 2008

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