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Does anyone else think 8 points is a little high for the Vegas line?

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by NovaScotiaPatsFan, Jan 5, 2006.

  1. NovaScotiaPatsFan

    NovaScotiaPatsFan Rookie

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    I love the Pats don't get me wrong, but does anyone else realisticly think 8 points is a little high for the Vegas line? I mean I'm confident but I also respect the Jags and think they're a good team, but wow 8 points.
  2. ColtsFan4Life

    ColtsFan4Life Rookie

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    Wait till you guys play us then you'll see a high Vegas line.
  3. emoney_33

    emoney_33 Rookie

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    too bad we wont get a chance cuz the steelers are gonna smack you around
  4. NovaScotiaPatsFan

    NovaScotiaPatsFan Rookie

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    Really? I would have figured you guys would be favored, but if you think we're going to have a higher line than 8 over you I guess that shows how shaken the fan base is, what with the getting the Hell beat out of you by San Diego and the Seahawks and just barely getting by the ROFL Cardinals.
  5. ColtsFan4Life

    ColtsFan4Life Rookie

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    I can't hear you over the roar of our crowd when we spanked the Squealers on MNF.
  6. ColtsFan4Life

    ColtsFan4Life Rookie

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    We got the hell beat out of us by San Diego? I could of sworn they handed you guys a worst spanking than we did when we beat you guys by over two td's. We basically shut down after the Bolts game so I have no idea why the Seahawks and Cards ever came up. You guys lost on purpose to play the Jags...they will be steaming mad when they roll into the razor.
  7. NovaScotiaPatsFan

    NovaScotiaPatsFan Rookie

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    Hmm? Oh crap I'm sorry man, I had two of our superbowl rings in my ears what did you say?
  8. DarrylS

    DarrylS PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    As much as I think the Pats will win this contest, I agree the 8 points seem to be high for this type of match up.
  9. patsfan55

    patsfan55 Rookie

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    def way too high

    i dont like the little respect the jags are getting
  10. NovaScotiaPatsFan

    NovaScotiaPatsFan Rookie

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    Wow, thank God I'm not the only one who thinks so.
  11. nhpatsfan

    nhpatsfan Rookie

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    Would that be the piped in sound I've read so much about?
  12. Patriotic Fervor

    Patriotic Fervor Rookie

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    Actually, the line set for a game has very little to do with the realities surrounding that game. The house sets the line to maximize betting action on the game. That's all the house really cares about.

    You may have a different metodology, for your purposes, that more accurately reflects the state of the game.

    For conversational purposes here, why don't you share with us what you think is a good spread for the game?

    And as for that Colts' "fan", all I can say is, boy, is Vegas going to have fun with you guys, should you play us!!!! :)
  13. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    8 points is nuts, although I could easily see us pushing a margin of victory over that in the 4th quarter, that's too high for two good teams.
  14. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    What you say is true but usually the point spread looks reasonable to experienced fans like us. I am not this surprised by a point spread too often. Usually the spreads are off like this with extenuating circumstances like a team playing it's third straight road game, or in the NBA having a team play the second of two straight road games on back to back nights.

    I would have expected this game to be 5 or 6 points, a FG + HF.
  15. Boston Boxer

    Boston Boxer U.S. Air Force Retired PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #75 Jersey

    Vegas is just trying to get some betting interest in Jacksonville. It does not mean anything.
  16. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    A fun game to play (and I don't bet on games but I know someone who used to be a bookie) is to pick the point spreads yourself and pretend to have bet on the ones you think are off. There's usually only 1-2 NFL games a week that are off enough in your mind to put money on. This would be one for me.
  17. brdmaverick

    brdmaverick Rookie

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    8 points is definitely very high. it's only been the past few weeks that we actually beat any team by 8 points
  18. Fanfrom1960

    Fanfrom1960 Rookie

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    Spend a little more time learning English, and less time trolling , and you'll be far better off in life.
    Last edited: Jan 5, 2006
  19. HoyaPats

    HoyaPats Rookie

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    LOL, reminiscing about Monday Night Football games is all Colts fans have and all they'll ever have, because Peyton is a choker in big games that matter.

    You gonna come back here and reminisce about MNF after PM chokes again this year?
  20. ColtsFan4Life

    ColtsFan4Life Rookie

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    I was typing that stuff early in the morning over here in Indy. Give me a break. I still haven't slept yet. I'm not trolling I was giving you guys respect till he brought up how the same Bolts team who beat us, beat you guys much worse.
  21. ColtsFan4Life

    ColtsFan4Life Rookie

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    I savored the butt whipping we gave you guys. When Tom Brady was looking in the sky like "I lost to the freakin Colts man." I really enjoyed that game.
  22. HoyaPats

    HoyaPats Rookie

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    Another example of Payton Manning turning it up during the regular season and turning it down during the playoffs, as always!

    You have some playoff smack-talk for me, or are you just gonna keep bringing up regular season games? Again, are you gonna come back here after PM's latest playoff choke and smack-talk about MNF 'cause that's all you've got? LOL
  23. ColtsFan4Life

    ColtsFan4Life Rookie

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    Peyton plays smart that's all. We couldn't play like the normal Colts in Foxboro because of the blizzards. Why throw 30 yards down field in 25mph winds?
    Look at the playoff games that Peyton has won there was no blizzard or high winds. Peyton is a great QB I don't see how you Pats fans can't see that.
  24. PATSNUTme

    PATSNUTme Paranoid Homer Moderator Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #75 Jersey

    I can see how he chokes when the big game comes. He'll pile up regular season stats and get the media hype.

    And, people who do not live in a plastic bubble, know that last years "blizzard" was just a few flakes.
  25. ilduce06410

    ilduce06410 Rookie

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    8 points does seem high, but let's see if the line tightens over the next 2 days.
    that looks like the usual vegas ploy of trying to attract "sucker" money.

    the vegas line on Colts-Patriots should be fascinatng. you colts fans will put so much money on indy that you'll move the line all by yourselves.
  26. ClosingTime

    ClosingTime Rookie

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    Imagibe what the spread would be if everyone gave Brady and BB the respect they say the deserve. I'm guessing -45. Would that be enough respect Tommy Boy?
  27. Fanfrom1960

    Fanfrom1960 Rookie

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    Did you learn how to make excuses from the master, Peyton Manning?
  28. JoeSixPat

    JoeSixPat Rookie

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    The point spread is designed to encourage equal numbers of people to place equal amounts of money on both teams.

    It's about fans perceptions more than anything else

    Set the line too high or too low and too many people flock to one side

    The fact that the line hasn't moved in a week suggests that equal numbers of people believe the Pats will win by more than 8 points and that equal numbers think they will win by less than 8 points (or even lose outright)

    That's as much as you can say about the line.
  29. Armen Da Pats Fan

    Armen Da Pats Fan Rookie

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    Nova, 8 seems definitely high to me, but then I have to think of all the times I have said a spread seems out of whack, and the game comes out right there, and I'm amazed at how these handicappers can get so close so often!

    Those Vegas boys do know their stuff!

    That said, the only line that really matters is the one right before kickoff...

    The rest of the week, they're just reacting to where the action is flowing...

    ADPF
    Last edited: Jan 5, 2006
  30. Armen Da Pats Fan

    Armen Da Pats Fan Rookie

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    Dude, why are you on a champions board?

    Go back to your "We win a lot meaningless games and milk our teams for outrageous contracts" board, will ya, please?

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