For those thinking ahead to the all-important #2 seed, I broke down the common games tiebreaker versus Balt & SD. This is the 3rd tiebreaker, so the Patriots would have to have an equal conference record for this to matter (http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakers). Versus Balt 2nd tiebreaker, AFC record: Baltimore is 5-1 in-conference, Pats are 5-3, so the common games won't matter unless Balt loses two in-conference. All of their remaining games are in-conference (Pittsburgh X 2, Cincinnati, Kansas City, Cleveland, Buffalo). Common games: Oct 9 @Denver Lost (Pats loss) Nov 5 Cincinnati Won (Pats win) Nov 12 @Tennessee (Pats to play) Nov 30 @Cincinnati Dec 31 Buffalo (Pats win X 2) Current: Balt 2-1, Patriots 3-1 Remaining: Balt - Cinci and Buffalo; Pats - Tenn. Summary: If the Patriots beat Tennessee, Balt. needs to beat Cinci and Buffalo for a common-games tie (and it would move onto strength of victory, ugh!). Versus SD 2nd tiebreaker, AFC record: SD is 6-2, Pats 5-3, so SD has to lose one of their remaining AFC games (Buffalo, Denver, Oakland, KC) for common games to matter. Common games: Sep 17 Tennessee Won (Pats to play) Nov 12 @Cincinnati Won (Pats win) Nov 19 @Denver Won (Pats loss) Dec 3 @Buffalo (Pats win X 2) Dec 10 Denver Current: SD 3-0, Patriots 3-1 Remaining: SD - Denver and Buffalo; Pats - Tenn. Summary: If the Patriots beat Tennessee, SD needs to lose to Denver or Buffalo to force a tie (and then it would move onto strength of victory). Moral of the story: go Buffalo! A win over the Bears would really help the strength of victory too. Let me know if I've made any errors/omissions.