AccuScore report for Pats-Chargers. At least we have that going for us * Overall, the Patriots won 60 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations of Monday's game against the Chargers by an average score of about 31-27. * Philip Rivers projects for about 25 more yards passing than Tom Brady, though both quarterbacks project for big days through the air (at least two passing TDs). * If both QBs have big games -- 280+ yards passing 2+ TDs -- the Patriots are still 60 percent favorites because the Chargers RBs are not running well in simulations. * San Diego running backs Ryan Matthews and Mike Tolbert are projected for just 3 yards per carry. If they have big games -- 5+ yards per carry -- then San Diego becomes a 58 percent favorite.