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At least AccuScore is selecting the pats

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by SONS_OF_BELICHICK, Sep 15, 2011.

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  1. SONS_OF_BELICHICK

    SONS_OF_BELICHICK Rookie

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    #93 Jersey

    AccuScore report for Pats-Chargers. At least we have that going for us :)

    * Overall, the Patriots won 60 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations of Monday's game against the Chargers by an average score of about 31-27.

    * Philip Rivers projects for about 25 more yards passing than Tom Brady, though both quarterbacks project for big days through the air (at least two passing TDs).

    * If both QBs have big games -- 280+ yards passing 2+ TDs -- the Patriots are still 60 percent favorites because the Chargers RBs are not running well in simulations.

    * San Diego running backs Ryan Matthews and Mike Tolbert are projected for just 3 yards per carry. If they have big games -- 5+ yards per carry -- then San Diego becomes a 58 percent favorite.
  2. HomerSchooled

    HomerSchooled Rookie

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    Here's a fun fact I unearthed today: Philip Rivers has never won a game in September outside of California. The only road games in the first 4 weeks of the season he's ever won have been @Oakland. He's 0-7 everywhere else. Maybe a coincidence, maybe not.
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