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Are You Smarter Than an NFL "Expert"?

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by slam, Jan 2, 2012.

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  1. slam

    slam Practice Squad Player

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    Do you know more about the NFL than people paid to cover the NFL? Here's how to check.

    Did you participate in an NFL Pick 'Em pool this year? One without point spreads, just plain winners and losers?

    Check to see how you did against the noted field below.

    Code:
    Silver			176	80	68.75%	Yahoo
    Yahoo Users		175	81	68.36%	Yahoo	
    Accuscore		174	82	67.97%	ESPN	
    Pick 'em		172	84	67.19%	ESPN	
    Judge			170	86	66.41%	CBS Sports
    Carpenter		170	86	66.41%	Yahoo	
    Richard			168	88	65.63%	CBS Sports
    Schlereth		167	89	65.23%	ESPN	
    Wickersham		167	89	65.23%	ESPN	
    Allen			165	89	64.96%	ESPN
    Freeman			166	90	64.84%	CBS Sports
    Jaworski		155	85	64.58%	ESPN	
    Breer			161	90	64.14%	NFL.COM
    Hoge			162	93	63.53%	ESPN
    Cole			162	94	63.28%	Yahoo
    Golic			161	95	62.89%	ESPN
    Prisco			161	95	62.89%	CBS Sports
    Schefter		158	98	61.72%	ESPN	
    Mortensen		155	101	60.55%	ESPN	
    Brinson			155	101	60.55%	CBS Sports
    Perhaps unsurprisingly, but you'd be better going with popular opinion such as "yahoo users" and ESPN's "pick em" consensus than by most of these experts. Most of them would have come in last in the pool I participated in, including know it alls like Breer, Hoge, and Prisco.
     
  2. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Pro Bowl Player

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    #12 Jersey

    I participate in Mohegan Sun's football contest here in PA every week where you just pick the winning teams.

    I have no idea of how many I got right this year but I did struggle a few weeks and know I was nowhere near those numbers

    If you pick 201 or more right out of the 244 games played you win $1,000,000 dollars from the Sun

    In thier pool last season, I picked 181 right for the season...so close,yet so far away :)
     
  3. PatsFan24

    PatsFan24 In the Starting Line-Up

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    No. I only go to MIT.
     
  4. patchick

    patchick Moderatrix Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #50 Jersey

    Back in grad school, we had a big season-long NFL pool. Weekly winners, with part of the pot put aside for the season champ. Lots of serious football fans in the group...plus my husband, who could not care less about football. Here's how he made his choices:

    "Seahawks? There's a football team called the Seahawks? Seriously? No chance!"
    "Lions vs. Cardinals? That's easy, a lion would totally eat a cardinal."

    Needless to say, he won by a landslide.

    Football wins/losses is just a lousy play for a serious gambler.
     
  5. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I didn't track my picks this year, but in the past I've always thought that 171 (on Win or Lose and not against the spread) and above was pretty darn good (2X as many right than wrong or around 11--5 in an average full schedule week). Consistently getting 12 right (or 3X as many right than wrong) is stratospheric...192 right.

    Looks like the mediots don't do any better than what I'd expect of a typical, well-informed fan, i.e.,in the 160's. Anything below 160 for these guys is kind of embarrassing IMO.
     
    Last edited: Jan 2, 2012
  6. DisgruntledTunaFan

    DisgruntledTunaFan In the Starting Line-Up

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    Yes, anyone who bothers to do their own research will find out they end up knowing more than the average "expert".
     
  7. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Then I'm sure he'll be happy to explain it very slowly for you.
     
  8. ausbacker

    ausbacker Brady > Manning. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #87 Jersey

    I tipped 170 which appears reasonable.
     
  9. PatriotFan77

    PatriotFan77 Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    I actually did the Yahoo picks this year but only from week 5 on because I didn't know about it until then. From week 5 thru week 17 I had a better record than Silver, Cole, Carpenter, and the Yahoo users. Yay me.
     
  10. PatsFan24

    PatsFan24 In the Starting Line-Up

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    Even the jocks at MIT have a 4.0
     
  11. TB146

    TB146 On the Game Day Roster

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    I did just better than Breer and just below Jaworski. Now consider that those of us "non-experts" have other jobs and responsibilities to tend to and therefore can't commit as much time and research to our picks...
     
  12. VrabelJr

    VrabelJr In the Starting Line-Up

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    I won my pick 'em league this year with 173 points.
     
  13. Seanzayyy

    Seanzayyy Third String But Playing on Special Teams

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    #12 Jersey

    I don't think guessing W's and L's proves very much. My family used to do a pickem pool where we'd pick the winner from every game during every week and found that even my Mom and grandma did just as well or better than some of the "experts". And they pick winners based on logos and team colors sometimes.
     
  14. robbomango

    robbomango In the Starting Line-Up

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    #12 Jersey

    I don't see Shaughnessy on that list,...oh wait he's just an opinionated stiff, my bad. :ugh:
     
  15. Gwedd

    Gwedd PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #61 Jersey

    I’m a beaver,
    You’re a beaver,
    We are beavers all!
    And when we get together,
    We do the beaver call!

    E to the u du dx,
    E to the x dx!
    Cosine secant tangent sine,
    3.14159,

    Integral, radical, mu, dv!
    Slipstick, slide rule, M-I-T!

    Go tech!
     
  16. DarrylS

    DarrylS PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Am in a couple of pools, and right now am about 165 correct.. it seems so simple, but a couple of bad weeks screws everything up..
     
  17. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Yes, I hear they really rocked Becker and Nichols this year...tripped up tho by Salve Regina...
     
  18. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    And a bunch of brainy and reasonably cute Cheerleaders too! Haven't heard that in years. You had to be Course 6, right?
     
    Last edited: Jan 3, 2012
  19. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    181 is pretty darn good. 201 would mean someone had 13 right more than half the time and no worse than 12 the rest of the weeks. Pretty tough to do when you consider the "Any Given Sunday" rule.
     
  20. PatsChamp88

    PatsChamp88 In the Starting Line-Up

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    #75 Jersey

    I went 171-85
     
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