A ridiculiously early guesstimate at Pats' 2014 adjusted cap #

[Miguel]

Albert Breer reported that teams have been told that the 2014 cap will be $126.3 million. Actual number to be finalized late February/early March.

Projected NFL cap 126,300,000
2013 adjustments
Negative means that the player reached a NTLBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not reach a LTBE incentive or lost their grievance
Amendola's per-game roster bonus in 2013 -31,250
Talib's per-game roster bonus in 2013 -46,951
Svitek's per game roster bonus -130,000
Edelman's receptions -250,000
Hooman's playing time incentive -370,000
Talib's Pro Bowl Bonus -500,000
Mayo's per-game roster bonus 343,750
Kelly's per-game roster bonus 312,500
Mayo Pro Bowl 300,000
Ninkovich Pro Bowl 200,000
Slater Pro Bowl 300,000
Hernandez losing workout grievance 232,800
Hernandez losing guaranteed salary grievance 984,800
Total adjustments - 1,345,649
2013 carryover - 4,160,574
Other possible adjustment - Svitek's 500K playing time incentive. Unknown incentives

NFL CAP + Total adjustments+2013 carryover = 2014 adjusted cap number of 131,806,223

Right now, I have the Patriots 2014 cap commitments as $122,058,131
I expect the following to happen which will increase that number
Signing Forston 75,000
Signing the other 7 practice squad players $0
Tendering Danny Aiken at the lowest RFA tender level 894,000
McCourty's escalator 3,000,000
Amendola's per-game roster bonus in 2014 31250
Ninkovich's 2014 playing time incentive 250000
Other possible changes to cap commitments - Ridley could play in a high percentage of snaps the last two games earning a 600K salary increase for 2014. McCourty may not have increased his 2014 escalator by $3 million.

After the five occur, the cap commitment total is 126,350,250

2014 adjusted cap number of 131,806,223 minus cap commitment of $126,350,250 equals 5,455,973 in cap space with 62 signed or tendered players.

 

[BelichickFan]

5,455,973 in cap space

As bad as that sounds, if I read Miguel's 2014 cap page correctly we can add $13.8M to that available cap space by cutting :

Vince (7.5M) hopefuly resigned for less if healthy.
Connelly (2.5M)
Sopoaga (2M)
Gregory (1.8M)

which would put us at a more workable 19.3. Cutting Kelly would put us at 21M under. But with no Vince & Kelly (they're the only cuts from above I care about) and no Talib, Edelman or Spikes (UFA).

They have some work to do and aren't overflowing in cap space but there is some maneuverability.

 

[Brady6]

Do you foresee us receiving any cap space for Hernandez and Fanene? Hernandez has a $7.5m cap hit in 2014 correct?

 

[Miguel]

Do you foresee us receiving any cap space for Hernandez and Fanene? Hernandez has a $7.5m cap hit in 2014 correct?

No for Hernandez. My numbers already include a credit for Fanene.

 

[Brady6]

No for Hernandez. My numbers already include a credit for Fanene.

Thank you Miguel

Talk about insult to injury... Scumbag really F'ed us...

 

[Brady6]

These players must give Belichick night tremors:

StatusPlayerSalarySigning BonusOffseason Workout Bonus2013 Cap Hit2014 Cap Hit
WaivedAaron Hernandez$984,000$2,550,000$232,800$3,776,800$7,500,000
ReleasedBrandon Lloyd$3,500,000$3,500,000
ReleasedJonathan Fanene$2,566,667$2,566,667
ReleasedChad Johnson$1,583,334$1,583,334
WaivedRas-I Dowling$351,377$589,382$125,000$1,065,759$589,382
ReleasedLeon Washington$360,000$360,000
Reached Injury SettlementJermaine Cunningham$37,059$309,375$346,434
ReleasedDaniel Fells$333,333$333,333$333,334

Source: http://patscap.com

 

[Miguel]

Correction
NFL CAP + Total adjustments+2013 carryover = 2014 adjusted cap number of 131,806,223

Right now, I have the Patriots 2014 cap commitments as $122,058,131
I expect the following to happen which will increase that number
Signing Forston 75,000
Signing the other 7 practice squad players $0
Tendering Danny Aiken at the lowest RFA tender level 894,000
McCourty's escalator 3,000,000
Amendola's per-game roster bonus in 2014 31250
Ninkovich's 2014 playing time incentive 250000
Vollmer's roster bonus which was tied to 2013 playing time -1,000,000
Vollmer's playing time incentive -1,000,000
Other possible changes to cap commitments - Ridley could play in a high percentage of snaps the last two games earning a 600K salary increase for 2014. McCourty may not have increased his 2014 escalator by $3 million.

After the seven occur, the cap commitment total is 124,350,250

2014 adjusted cap number of 131,806,223 minus cap commitment of $124,350,250 equals 7,455,973 in cap space with 62 signed or tendered players.

 

[Kontradiction]

The space bar and return key are your friends.

These players must give Belichick night tremors:

Status Player Salary Signing Bonus Offseason Workout Bonus 2013 Cap Hit 2014 Cap Hit

Waived Aaron Hernandez $984,000 $2,550,000 $232,800 $3,776,800 $7,500,000
Released Brandon Lloyd $3,500,000 $3,500,000
Released Jonathan Fanene $2,566,667 $2,566,667
Released Chad Johnson $1,583,334 $1,583,334
Waived Ras-I Dowling $351,377 $589,382 $125,000 $1,065,759 $589,382
Released Leon Washington $360,000 $360,000
Reached Injury Settlement Jermaine Cunningham $37,059 $309,375 $346,434
Released Daniel Fells $333,333 $333,333 $333,334

Source: Miguel's UNOFFICIAL 2013 Patriots Salary Cap Information Page

And that is a ton of dead money.

 

[chasa]

there is no way we cut wilfork, hes still one of the top at DT someone will pay him more then we will. maybe restructure/extend, but cut him? never going to happen.

 

[shmessy]

there is no way we cut wilfork, hes still one of the top at DT someone will pay him more then we will. maybe restructure/extend, but cut him? never going to happen.

330lb man with a torn achilles.

Have you seen him play since? How can you make the determination you made with such certitude?

 

[Drewski]

330lb man with a torn achilles.

Have you seen him play since? How can you make the determination you made with such certitude?

Based on seeing him on the sidelines Sunday....I would guess he is currently closer to 380 or so.

Thats a lot of weight to put on a repaired Achilles at what 32-33 years old?

 

[RI Patriots fan]

there is no way we cut wilfork, hes still one of the top at DT someone will pay him more then we will. maybe restructure/extend, but cut him? never going to happen.

Yes way....he wasn't even close to being one of the top DTs in the league this year. He got pushed around by Vlad Ducasse who was then benched by the Jets because he got pushed around by everyone else.

He's going to be 33 years old next season coming off a torn achilles which is one of the worst injuries you can have for a overweight lineman.

You're living in the past. There is no way they pay him that 7.5 million.

If Vince Wilfork were a 33 year old free agent (from some other team) coming off a ruptured achilles, would you be happy the team signed him and paid him $7.5 million?

No chance.

 

[I.M. Fletcher]

Dead money: 9 mill in offensive skill players this year, 8mill next year and sure to climb.

For those wondering why bill has always been hesitant to spend on skill positions, there you have it.

 

[mgteich]

The likelihood of Wilfork being worth the $8M of new money he is contracted for in 2014 is extremely slim.

Wilfork should be considered like a free agent. For all intents and purposes, his old contract is null and void. We can speculate on what the patriots or another team might pay Wilfork.

Folks don't like the word "cut". In the end, Wilfork will be cut rather than being paid $8M. We all hope that there are other options.

 

[Froob]

These players must give Belichick night tremors:

StatusPlayerSalarySigning BonusOffseason Workout Bonus2013 Cap Hit2014 Cap Hit
WaivedAaron Hernandez$984,000$2,550,000$232,800$3,776,800$7,500,000
ReleasedBrandon Lloyd$3,500,000$3,500,000
ReleasedJonathan Fanene$2,566,667$2,566,667
ReleasedChad Johnson$1,583,334$1,583,334
WaivedRas-I Dowling$351,377$589,382$125,000$1,065,759$589,382
ReleasedLeon Washington$360,000$360,000
Reached Injury SettlementJermaine Cunningham$37,059$309,375$346,434
ReleasedDaniel Fells$333,333$333,333$333,334

Source: Miguel's UNOFFICIAL 2013 Patriots Salary Cap Information Page

Give BB credit though, he won't hang onto somebody to prove a point. Willingly to cut his losses and take the dead money rather than waste a roster spot. I still think we shoulda hung onto Lloyd but, oh well. Don't know his personality may have not been worth the trouble.

 

[mgteich]

IMHO, Connolly and Gregory are going nowhere. If they were to be cut, it would be in camp. We need the two veterans, even if they are backups in 2014.

However, I agree that we have reasonable cap space to work with. Miguel's latest post has us at $7.5M. Wilfork, Kelly and Sopoaga total $12 M. I would add Adrian Wilson at $1.5M to bring the total to your same $21M.

My guess is that one of the veteran DT's will be on the squad (joining the 3 three kids).

As bad as that sounds, if I read Miguel's 2014 cap page correctly we can add $13.8M to that available cap space by cutting :

Vince (7.5M) hopefuly resigned for less if healthy.
Connelly (2.5M)
Sopoaga (2M)
Gregory (1.8M)

which would put us at a more workable 19.3. Cutting Kelly would put us at 21M under. But with no Vince & Kelly (they're the only cuts from above I care about) and no Talib, Edelman or Spikes (UFA).

They have some work to do and aren't overflowing in cap space but there is some maneuverability.

 

[Rob0729]

there is no way we cut wilfork, hes still one of the top at DT someone will pay him more then we will. maybe restructure/extend, but cut him? never going to happen.

Sorry, but you can't have the second highest player on your team be a huge question mark for the season. Achilles tendon tears are tough to come back from with players younger and lighter than Wilfork. Wilfork doesn't look to have controlled his diet while he has been immobile. Not only is he going to have to spend the offseason rehabbing, but he will need to shed about 30-50 lbs.

Unless Wilfork is willing to restructure in the Patriots' favor, the Pats may be forced to cut him.

 

[patsfaninpa]

Thanks for the hard work Miguel. Translating capese into english for us dummies.

 

[Miguel]

Updating ridiculiously early guesstimate at Pats' 2014 adjusted cap #

Correction after Slater made the Pro Bowl

Albert Breer reported that teams have been told that the 2014 cap will be $126.3 million. Actual number to be finalized late February/early March.

Projected NFL cap 126,300,000
2013 adjustments
Negative means that the player reached a NTLBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not reach a LTBE incentive or lost their grievance
Amendola's per-game roster bonus in 2013 -31,250
Talib's per-game roster bonus in 2013 -46,951
Svitek's per game roster bonus -130,000
Edelman's receptions -250,000
Hooman's playing time incentive -370,000
Talib's Pro Bowl Bonus -500,000
Mayo's per-game roster bonus 343,750
Kelly's per-game roster bonus 312,500
Mayo Pro Bowl 300,000
Ninkovich Pro Bowl 200,000
Hernandez losing workout grievance 232,800
Hernandez losing guaranteed salary grievance 984,800
Total adjustments - 1,045,649
2013 carryover - 4,160,574
Other possible adjustment - Svitek's 500K playing time incentive. Unknown incentives

NFL CAP + Total adjustments+2013 carryover = 2014 adjusted cap number of 131,806,223

Right now, I have the Patriots 2014 cap commitments as $122,058,131
I expect the following to happen which will increase that number
Signing Forston 75,000
Signing the other 7 practice squad players $0
Tendering Danny Aiken at the lowest RFA tender level 894,000
McCourty's escalator 3,000,000
Amendola's per-game roster bonus in 2014 31250
Ninkovich's 2014 playing time incentive 250000
Other possible changes to cap commitments - Ridley could play in a high percentage of snaps the last two games earning a 600K salary increase for 2014. McCourty may not have increased his 2014 escalator by $3 million.

After the five occur, the cap commitment total is 126,350,250

2014 adjusted cap number of 131,806,223 minus cap commitment of $126,350,250 equals 7,155,973 in cap space with 62 signed or tendered players.

 

[RobertWeathers]

Sorry, but you can't have the second highest player on your team be a huge question mark for the season. Achilles tendon tears are tough to come back from with players younger and lighter than Wilfork. Wilfork doesn't look to have controlled his diet while he has been immobile. Not only is he going to have to spend the offseason rehabbing, but he will need to shed about 30-50 lbs.

Unless Wilfork is willing to restructure in the Patriots' favor, the Pats may be forced to cut him.

Agreed. To be honest, I felt that the Pats would attempt to renego his deal regardless of his health. 32 year old DT making $7.5m is too much money.