Each year around the time we start to think about draft prospects we start trying to project compensatory draft picks. I would guess a fourth to the Patriots, based on the following. This year these is much less activity for the Patriots. Total list of players added: Taylor Price Rob Gronkowski Aaron Hernandez Alge Crumpler Steve Maneri Quinn Ojinaka Kyle Love Brandon Deaderick Tracy White Jermaine Cunningham Brandon Spikes Dane Fletcher Devin McCourty Jarrad Page Zoltan Mesko Steve Maneri was claimed off waivers. Quinn Ojinnaka was acquired for a draft pick (Falcons) Tracy White was acquired for a draft pick (Eagles) Jarrad Page was acquired for a draft pick (Chefs) All in italics were rookies. Alge Crumpler was an Unrestricted Free Agent - two years, $4.8mm, $2.4mm avg The Pats lost the following Unrestricted Free Agents: Jarvis Green - four years, $20mm, avg $5mm/year Ben Watson - three years, $12mm, avg $4mm/year So assume Ben Watson cancels Crumpler - although there might be 'net free agent loss' compensation at the tail end of the seventh. That means the Pats would only be compensated for the loss of UFA Jarvis Green. In 2010, Adamjt13 projected that $6mm contracts were third rounders, and the highest fifth round projection was $4.8mm. He projected no fourth rounders. That would project Green as a fourth, or possibly a fifth if there was 'inflation' - which there didn't seem to be, given the limited free agency due to CBA restrictions. Thus, based on this reasoning, the Pats would receive a late fourth for Jarvis Green. It could possibly be the first fifth compensatory pick offered. There could possibly be a 'net loss' awarded at the end of the seventh. This is more likely in a year with lower free agent movement like 2010. I might have missed things - take a look.