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2006 Roster -- First Crack

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by dryheat44, May 9, 2006.

  1. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    Now, this is assuming that Rodney, Light, and Koppen are back active for week one (reasonable assumption) and that nobody goes on IR (ridiculous assumption). People, especially young 'uns, are going to go on IR, which will allow us to keep a few more. After this roster, we have over 20 million left under the cap (Thanks Miguel) to sign the rookies and maybe a veteran who shakes loose from another team (Donnie Edwards, I'm looking in your direction). I'm also assuming none of the other long snappers is consistent enough to take Paxton's job, but I hope I'm wrong.

    QB (3): Brady, Cassell, Flutie/Mortenson/Huard/TBA
    RB (3): Dillon, Faulk, Maroney
    WR (5): Branch, Caldwell, Brown, Jackson, Childress
    TE (4): Graham, Watson, Thomas, Mills
    C/G (5): Koppen, Hochstein, Neal, Mankins, Mruczkowski/Yates/Tucker/Steitz
    T (4): Light, Gorin, Kaczur, O'Callaghan/Britt
    K (1): Gostkowski/other
    P (1): Miller
    LS (1): Paxton

    DL (6): Seymour, Green, Warren, Wilfork, Hill, Wright/Thomas
    LB (8): Vrabel, Colvin, Bruschi, Beisel, Mincey, Davis, 2 of Alexander/Banta-Cain/Izzo/Claridge/Gardner
    CB (6): Gay, Samuel, Hobbs, Warfield, Andrews, Poteat/Spann
    S (6): Harrison, Hawkins, Wilson, Mitchell, Sanders, Ventrone/K. Jackson/G. Scott

    Last cuts include Pass, plus the guys who lose out on the competitions noted above. That's 12 guys, half of which will probably make the team due to IR or PUP situations.

    Our return game is in capable hands with Hobbs, Childress, Andrews, and Maroney.

    Cover teams feature Davis, Mitchell, Sanders, and the winners of the Linebacker and safety competitions. Special Teams play will be huge in deciding who gets those spots.
  2. Mike the Brit

    Mike the Brit Minuteman Target PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I think that the desire to get better on Special Teams is one of the clearest messages coming through the personnel moves this off-season. I'm interested, then, why you think that Davis and Mitchell are locks, but not Izzo or Tebucky (who doesn't even figure in the competition at safety). More explanation of your thoughts about Special Teams, please.
  3. patsox23

    patsox23 Rookie

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    I agree with Mike the Brit. I'm no big Tebucky fan, but he's a killer on S/T's and, as shaky as he can be, was a semi-regular in this scheme for two years. I think he's worth keeping for S/T's alone, but his depth helps.

    I don't know why we'd be all that excited about Don Davis sticking.

    Also, there is no way Lonnie Paxton gets beaten out, not that you're asserting he will, and as much as I'm with you on wanting to have an efficient roster, I don't mind having the BEST NFL long-snapper on our 53. Neither of the draft picks people are excited about has done much long-snapping AT ALL - I believe Thomas has NEVER long-snapped in a game before. No thanks.

    Also, Lonnie was the original snow-angel - your callousness in this regard breaks. my. heart.
  4. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    IMO, and just MO, we can only carry a few guys who exist, for all practical purposes, on coverage teams only, especially when you consider only 46 guys dress on Sunday. I think that Davis adds more versatility than Izzo right now and their ST skills seem comparable. Just looking over Mitchell's stats the last couple of years, he looks to be a keeper on STs, plus BB signed him to a pretty good contract, which I think signifies that he's good enough to keep even if he never plays safety.

    I think Tebucky's skills have declined to the point where he doesn't improve our safety situation, and he doesn't offer anything on STs that other, younger and cheaper, guys on the roster don't. He had exactly ONE ST tackle last year.

    I think Izzo will make the team, if in TC those guys he's in competition with for roster spots prove themselves undependable in the kicking game.
    Last edited: May 9, 2006
  5. Bostonian1962

    Bostonian1962 Rookie

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    Top notch effort. One small nit, and that is that while I agree Mills makes the team, I bet he'll be listed in with the RBs (He'll be our FB/RB/All purpose/3rd down/fill in TE/kinda dude.:)
  6. Bostonian1962

    Bostonian1962 Rookie

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    Patsox, you're one of the regs whom I most agree with. I will say though that you can put me down as a Don Davis fan. Great teamer. Great fill in LB. Great, part time strength and cond. assistant.:) Actually, I believe he's one of BBs favorites.
  7. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    OFFENSE
    1) Bethel Johnson is still competing with Childress, as would any fa WR that might be added. Childress is hardly a lock.
    2) We drafted a G. I think he has a much better shot to make the team than Yates or Steitz, who have almost no shot. Tucker should be the favorite, since he can back up at several positions, and he has game experience.
    3) I have no clue why you think it is a reasonable assumption that Harrison, Light and Koppen will all be active for Game One.


  8. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    1) True. I didn't mean to imply Childress was a lock. It's entirely possible we only go with 4 WRs on the roster. All 95 guys are in competition right now.
    2) Yates has been with the team for over a year. Steitz has been performing extremely well in NFL Europe. Why would a rookie late-round draft pick be favored to win a roster spot over guys who have spent time in the system? Stevenson looks to be a PS guy to me.
    3) Because it seems more reasonable than to assume that they won't be. I don't want to guess a return on players when injury information from Foxboro is non-existant.
  9. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    8 of 10 draftees on the 53-man roster. I'll take it. :)
  10. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I think your comment below is somewhat backward. I think that backup position play will be help determine who wins the special teams positions.

    Cover teams feature Davis, Mitchell, Sanders, and the winners of the Linebacker and safety competitions. Special Teams play will be huge in deciding who gets those spots.[/QUOTE]
  11. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Roster Structure - Defense and Special Teams

    I get confused (it happens with age) when we mix the defensive and special team posiitons. Also, we often have a developmental position or two. I think that we need at most 19 players to play defense. One could logically argue for 1-2 fewer, but I think 19 is a good number.

    DL 6 (as you indicate)
    LB 6 (the others get almost no reps at LB)
    CB 3
    S 3
    DB 1 (could be either a corner or a safety)

    At LB, there is no clear #5 or #6, although I believe it is Banta-Cain and Claridge as of now.
    At DB, the seven are likely to be Gay,Samuel,Hobbs,Warfield,Harrison,Wilson, and Hawkins, assuming that Harrison is ready.
    ------------------------------------------------------
    OTHER POSITIONS (EIGHT AVAILABLE)

    THE NEXT FOUR
    1) Andrews is fighting with Childress and Bethel Johnson for a returner spot. I don't see keeping Childress and Andrews.
    2) usally have six special teams positions. You give three to Davis, Mitchell and Sanders. I'm not sure Davis or Mitchell are locks, but I'm fine with the choice.
    3) I'd call Mincey a developmental player and argue that we can afford one more, hopefully a DL, but could be a LB.

    THE LAST THREE SPECIAL TEAMS POSITIONS
    This will be a dog fight. From your list we have the following fighting it out:
    the losers of the LB competition (probably Izzo and Gardner), Ventrone, K. Jackson, G. Scott, Poteat, Andrews, and Spann.

    Personally, I would expect Izzo, Guss Scott and Tebucky Jones to win this competition with no trouble at all, although Gardner could certainly show us sometuhing in camp.

    We have 11 defensive backs, perhasp because we are not willing to guess who will be injured. This will allow another LB t make the squad, with a more normal bottom line structure: 7 DL, 9 LB, 10 DB.
    ===================================================
    DL (6): Seymour, Green, Warren, Wilfork, Hill, Wright/Thomas
    LB (8): Vrabel, Colvin, Bruschi, Beisel, Mincey, Davis, 2 of Alexander/Banta-Cain/Izzo/Claridge/Gardner
    CB (6): Gay, Samuel, Hobbs, Warfield, Andrews, Poteat/Spann
    S (6): Harrison, Hawkins, Wilson, Mitchell, Sanders, Ventrone/K. Jackson/G. Scott
  12. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    I actually did it using a similar method as you. I agree that it's easier to conceptualize that way.

    Offensive Players:
    1. Brady
    2. Cassel
    3. Third QB
    4. Dillon
    5. Faulk
    6. Maroney
    7. Koppen
    8. Neal
    9. Mankins
    10. Light
    11. Kaczur
    12. Gorin
    13. Hochstein
    14. Branch
    15. Caldwell
    16. Brown
    17. Jackson
    18. Graham
    19. Watson
    20. Thomas
    21. Mills

    Defensive Players
    22. Seymour
    23. Warren
    24. Wilfork
    25. Green
    26. Vrabel
    27. Beisel
    28. Colvin
    29. Bruschi
    30. Samuel
    31. Hobbs
    32. Gay
    33. Warfield
    34. Harrison
    35. Sanders
    36. Wilson
    37. Hawkins

    Special Teams
    38. Kicker
    39. Miller
    40. Paxton

    Those are the guys I feel pretty good about making the team given the current roster.

    That leaves 13 slots. The next few are selected as extra depth:

    1. A 5th Corner (Spann or Poteat) This is probably gameday inactive, so I like Spann
    2. Another defensive lineman. I have Hill, since it costs nearly as much to cut him as keep him.
    3. Another Offensive Tackle, either O'Callaghan or Britt, whichever doesn't get injured.
    4&5. Two backup linebackers. Special Teams play could break the ties, but they're all competent ST players. I like TBC and Claridge here, but I like Alexander too.
    6. Another interior lineman. Pick one.

    That leaves 7 more slots, to be filled by STs and projects.
    1. Childress for #5 WR and the return game. I think at this point he's a better keeper than Bethel.
    2. Andrews. It never hurts to have another returner, so we're not forced to activate Childress on Sundays if it doesn't fit the game plan. Andrews owns every kickoff and punt return record at Baylor. I think he could also develop into a credible nickel back.
    3. Mitchell. One of the best gunners in the NFL in recent years. I didn't know that until I read up on him this afternoon, that's how obscure those guys are. It's conceivable that Tebucky could take this slot, but I can't see it. Eric Alexander could too, I suppose, if he doesn't make it as a reserve linebacker.
    4. Don Davis. Maybe our best cover linebacker. Has played big safety. Runs the weight room. Fitness freak, good leadership guy, assistant strength coach, but most importantly, a damn fine kick cover guy.
    5. Mike Wright. Could go to Santonio Thomas. Another reserve D-lineman. Wright has the versatility of playing NT and DE, and has been experimented with as LB. Also plays STs.
    6. G Scott/K Jackson/R Ventrone. All can play the gunner, and all can backup safety. Guys who basically will have the same role as Tebucky, but younger, cheaper, and with more Upside.
    7. Mincey. Probably don't want to expose him to P.S. Good developmental player. Could be inactive most games, or used primarily on STs. Also a good candidate to wind up on IR early, allowing for Pass, Izzo, Gardner, Steitz, Mruczkowski, etc. to stick around.
    Last edited: May 9, 2006

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