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Trading out of the first round completely... hear me out
So most 'top' draft experts are saying there are around 25 '5-star' players at the top of this draft class. From position 26 to a round the 70 mark contain all the '4-star' prospects.
So basically unless a miracle happens and one or more of the '5-stars' drops to #27 and/or #31 we should trade completely out of the first round, preferably for next years first and a second this year for both our first round picks... there will be a couple of desperate teams I'm sure.. This seems like the logical and smartest thing to do. We still get four '4-star' players but gain two extra first round picks next season. I may well be stating the obvious, I apologize if that is the case. |
Re: Trading out of the first round completely... hear me out
If there are 25 '5 star' players, there is a very good chance that one ends up at 27! Only needs 2 '4 star' players to be taken!
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Re: Trading out of the first round completely... hear me out
I doubt it drops off so precipitously. More likely, it drops off from a 5-star, to a couple of 4.9 stars, a few 4.8 stars, etc...Also, teams value guys differently. So all picks in that 26-70 range are not equal. I'd rather be picking who I want than settling for the leftovers.
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Re: Trading out of the first round completely... hear me out
I could buy this concept.
If the choice is: (a) two 1sts and two 2nds this year, versus (b) four 2nds, plus a 1st and a 2nd next year, I would take (b) with no remorse. |
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My bet is that list is much smaller than 25 players AND it has several players that the national rating services/scouts/press/other teams that play dramatically different styles have rated as 2nd or 3rd rounders or completely off the board. For instance, the Patriots are looking for a certain linebacker/defensive end profile so a 6-1 MLB that weighs 224 pounds and can run like the wind might grade very high for a Tampa-2 team, but the Patriots look at that player as at best a 3rd down coverage backer or a special teams player that just happens to have a LB number on their shirt and therefore only worth a 5th rounder. |
Re: Trading out of the first round completely... hear me out
My guess is that they trade up from 27 and down from 31. I also think the talent dropoff is right around 25, making 27 a pretty dangerous pick to hold on to. Getting into the early 20s would only cost their 3rd or 4th, which they can easily recoup with a trade down from 31.
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At least you were able to keep up with all of the picks. One of these days Belichick is going to misplace one of the damn picks, we'll have so many. So it'd be 4 second round picks this year, and 2 firsts and 2 seconds next year again? I'm all over it. |
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