At least AccuScore is selecting the pats
AccuScore report for Pats-Chargers. At least we have that going for us :)
* Overall, the Patriots won 60 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations of Monday's game against the Chargers by an average score of about 31-27.
* Philip Rivers projects for about 25 more yards passing than Tom Brady, though both quarterbacks project for big days through the air (at least two passing TDs).
* If both QBs have big games -- 280+ yards passing 2+ TDs -- the Patriots are still 60 percent favorites because the Chargers RBs are not running well in simulations.
* San Diego running backs Ryan Matthews and Mike Tolbert are projected for just 3 yards per carry. If they have big games -- 5+ yards per carry -- then San Diego becomes a 58 percent favorite.
Re: At least AccuScore is selecting the pats
Here's a fun fact I unearthed today: Philip Rivers has never won a game in September outside of California. The only road games in the first 4 weeks of the season he's ever won have been @Oakland. He's 0-7 everywhere else. Maybe a coincidence, maybe not.
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