It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

So how many of you think the C's will get the short end of the stick again in the lottery? My guess is that if Oden comes out the C's draft 3rd, and if he doesn't they'll draft 2nd. :(

For your amusement, I've posted the click'o'meter from ESPN. Enjoy!

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/lottery2007/mockdraft

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

Did it 10 times, and the Celts came up with #1 or #2 5 times, those ain't bad odds.. wait and see.

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

when do they do the ping pong balls?

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

On May 22 I believe.

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

When reckoning the odds for the Celtics getting Oden there is a tendency to assume that the first selection will invariably be Oden. In fact, even if the Celtics get the first lottery selection (19.9% lottery weighting) and because of Jefferson (and Perk) they may choose Durant. This same dilemma affects all of the 14 teams in the lottery. In a sense Oden is competing at the center position with Gasol (Memphis), Jefferson, Bogut (Milwaukee, and the number 1 selected in the 2005 draft), Stoudemire (Phoenix), Okafor (Charlotte) and nine others. Some analysts give Durant as much as a 35% possibility of being the first selected in the draft. I think it’s more like 25% Durant. This means that there is a chance that the Celts could get Oden with the second selection (18.8% lottery weighting). Assigning a 90% probability that the Celtics would choose Oden with the first selection [(0.9)x(0.199)] plus the probability of selecting him with the second lottery position if still available, [(0.25)x(0.188)] gives about a 23% chance of landing Oden. There’s a (19.9% + 18.8%) = 38.7% chance of landing either Durant or Oden.

Oden and Durant together cover the 2 through 5 positions very well, and I don’t know of a PG available in the draft that’s likely to be taken first or second.

I got Oden 36% in the ESPN mock draft. Maybe the Celtics should have Tom Hiensohn stay home, and send me to Secausus for the lottery.

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

I'd be ecstatic with the 1 or 2 pick. Durant or Oden. Personally I like Durant alot better but I'd be more than happy with Oden. Ofcourse we aren't going to get either. We had 2 high lottery picks back with Duncan and we got jinxed back then too.

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

There is no way on God's green earth that the C's would take Durant over Oden. I love Durant and think he'll be a 10 time all-star and franchise player, but you don't pass up a franchise center like Oden. They come along once every 8-10 years.

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

YOU (and I) would pick Oden, but there's nothing in God's green earths that certain! As you say, Durant is very solid and could make an immediate contribution. Odds are the Celtics will get neither (so sad).

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

If we get a late pick I think Hibbert is a really good center (no where near as good as Oden) but still really good.

Re: It's Draft Lottery Time!
 

I'm totally convinced that they will get the 3rd pick. It won't be the 5th, or the 4th, it'll be the 3rd pick because there are only two special guys in this draft. :(

Anyhow, saw this online, and I thought it was funny.

http://www.celticsblog.com/images/st...gs/cavedoc.jpg