Post-draft: updated 53-man forecast
Understanding that a million things can happen between now and Week One, here's a quick post-Draft view of the 53-man roster.
After thinking about this draft class, clearly the goal wasn't to improve the D. The O will be deeper... but better? For certain, the ST should be much much better. Because so much of the offseason emphasis seems to be on the ST, I decided to breakout the roster projection into three: O, D and ST.
QB Brady, UFA, Cassell
RB Dillon, Faulk, Pass, Moroney
WR Branch, Jackson, Caldwell, Brown, Childress
TE Graham, Watson, Thomas
OT Light, Kaczur, Gorin, O'Callaghan
OG Mankins, Neal, Stevenson
OC Koppen, Hochstein
NT Wilfork, Smith
DE Seymour, Warren, Green, Hill
OLB Vrabel, Colvin, Banta-Cain, Mincey
ILB Bruschi, Beisel, Claridge
CB Samuel, Hobbs, Gay, Scott
S Harrison, Wilson, Hawkins
Special Teams (9)
ST Izzo, Mills, Jones, Sanders, Mitchell, Andrews
Year over year comparisons -
QB Flutie --> UFA, Considering all we got from Flutie was a drop kick, it's not a hard act to follow
RB Evans --> Moroney, Should be a significant upgrade, even if only on ST in the first year
WR Givens --> Jackson, If Jackson lives up to expectations, should be an upgrade; but there's some major risk if it doesn't work out
WR Davis --> Caldwell, Have to call this an upgrade, actually
WR Johnson --> Childress, Childress's gradual progression reminds me of Givens... time will tell
TE Fauria --> Thomas, I really like the Thomas pick-- this is perfect
OT Ashworth --> O'Callaghan, Let's call this a push for now
OG Mruczkowski --> Stevenson Some reason for optimism
DL Wright --> Smith Swapping one project for another
OLB McGinest --> Mincey Really unfair comparison-- no way Mincey can fill this void
ILB Brown --> Claridge Does the fact that BB didn't draft ILB indicate confidence in the redshirt rook?
CB Poteat --> Scott Could be Warfield or Poteat, but I pick Scott will win out in TC
K Vinatieri --> Gostkowski Poor kid... anything less than perfection will start the waterfall of second guessing
ST Chatham --> Mills I'm very high on Mills as an eventual backfill for Izzo
ST Stone --> Jones Tebucky is an elite gunner in the NFL
ST Davis --> Mitchell Based on age alone this is an upgrade, but by all accounts Mitchell is an impact STer
KR Dwight --> Andrews Let's see what Andrews shows us in TC... Maroney could easily win this role, in which case Andrews is a rookie cut
Pass the kool-aid. I know that this is the best bb draft ever, but keeping all 10!! I'm fine for now. I keep all but Andrews.
It will be a long way to July with no roster to argue over. As always, I agree almost entirely. See below for some nitpicks. BTW, I like the idea of separating special teams.
QB Brady, UFA, Cassell
RB Dillon, Maroney, Faulk
C Koppen, Hochstein
1) Mills was the top FB in the draft. It is Pass that will need to make the team as a Ster. Maroney will be fine as the short yardage back.
2) If Childress makes the team, he needs to be able to return punts or kicks. That is the role of the #5 receiver. It will to be interesting to see if he beats out Bethel Johnson.
DEFENSE (22) + Harrison on PUP (or Koppen)
NT Wilfork, Wright
OLB Vrabel, Colvin, Banta-Cain, jag fa
developmental Smith, Mincey
3) Wright is ready to play some backup, and should be kept another year.
4) We need a veteran backup linebacker; a total of six is too thin. Alexander could fill the spot if he can't be upgraded.
5) Gay beat out veterans to make the team in his first year.
6) I think we need to recognize that we sometimes have true developmental players, of which we expect nothing this year. He should be able to do it again.
SPECIAL TEAMS (7)
7) I don't think we need a returner who isn't a position backup.
8) I moved Sadders up to position players, since he backed up at safety and played nickel in 2005.
We haven't seen 2006 injuries, but I still think you underestimate the roster improvement by ignoring the improvement as a result of the return of Light, Koppen, Gay and Harrison. They may not be on the starting roster, but they will greatly improve the 2006 team.
What? No Wesley Britt?!? Hmmm....
But this is the day of the draft, and everyone has a little extra polish on their nameplates today.
I think Stevenson is likely to stick on the depth chart, given his Weis connection and prototypical Pats lineman's size and makeup.
And all the rest of the rookies fit the roster pretty well, actually, given the free agency losses plus some fairly superficial cuts, like Mruc, Bethel and Klecko.
this rocks dude. sorry i have nothing constructive to add right now. i'm on overload, but this is a big help.:rocker:
I think Britt makes it over Gorin. More upside, and O'Callaghan is a tackle capable of playing guard, while Stevenson is a guard capable of playing tackle.
Why is everyone so convince that rodney will be on the PUP it's been nearly a year since the injusty and if i remember correctly (and feel free too) he only tore one ligament which means relaistily he could be back by training camp and not start the first few games why waste the chance he could be ready in week 2 and still have to wait till week 6
I am a little surprised guys are handing the kicking job to a rookie. BB may go with experience. If Gramatica is healthy and kicking well, I think he makes the team and contributes.
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