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Real World 09-11-2009 02:00 PM

Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Not looking good for this guy. At least he's got a career in property management to fall back on.

September 11th, 2009

Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble

Posted by Sean Trende | Email This | Permalink | Email Author

14 months out from election day, Democratic Senator Chris Dodd is in a heap of trouble. According to Rasmussen Reports, not only is he below 50%, he is below 40%, and his likely GOP opponent, former Representative Rob Simmons, is almost at 50%. Dodd trails 49%-39%. Dodd trails former ambassador Tom Foley 43%-40%. He leads state Senator Sam Caliguri 43%-40%, and venture capitalist Peter Schiff 42%-40%. His statewide favorables stand at 40%; his unfavorables stand at a whopping 59%

To put things in perspective, this is only slightly better than where Rick Santorum was in 2006. A September Strategic Vision (R) poll had it at 52%-38% Casey; Keystone had it at 50%-37% Casey, and Quinnipiac had it at 52%-34% Casey. Santorum lost by 18 points.

There's a long way to go to election day, and Connecticut is a deep blue state right now. But this has to be considered at least a "Slight Lean Republican" right now, if not a "Lean Republican." Very few incumbents come back from numbers like this.

DarrylS 09-11-2009 02:03 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
If I remember correctly Lieberman was in deep trouble about a year prior to the last election as well... Connecticut is a weird state.

Real World 09-11-2009 02:11 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DarrylS (Post 1497604)
If I remember correctly Lieberman was in deep trouble about a year prior to the last election as well... Connecticut is a weird state.

Yes it is Darryl. Wierd indeed.

efin98 09-11-2009 02:48 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DarrylS (Post 1497604)
If I remember correctly Lieberman was in deep trouble about a year prior to the last election as well... Connecticut is a weird state.

Lieberman was in trouble right up until he was reelected...he lost the primary and is officially an "independent" NOT a Democrat.

DarrylS 09-11-2009 02:54 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efin98 (Post 1497673)
Lieberman was in trouble right up until he was reelected...he lost the primary and is officially an "independent" NOT a Democrat.

Thanks for watching, if you notice did not qualify his party affiliation, he was in trouble, but pulled it out.. read prior to responding..

Harry Boy 09-11-2009 03:05 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Obama and the Pelosi gang are going to bring about a big change in the Congress & in the Senate, that change being they are destroying the Democratic Party, many many democrats who were "star-struck" by beautiful Barack and his glorious speeches are now watching reality in action and they don't like what they see, THE YES WE CAN PEOPLE are nothing but a bunch of Chicago ***** Bums.

efin98 09-11-2009 03:08 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DarrylS (Post 1497682)
Thanks for watching, if you notice did not qualify his party affiliation, he was in trouble, but pulled it out.. read prior to responding..

In other words, your claim got backed up by someone else.

And take your own advice, you have a problem reading before responding in most of the threads you respond to :rolleyes:

scout 09-11-2009 03:10 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efin98 (Post 1497673)
Lieberman was in trouble right up until he was reelected...he lost the primary and is officially an "independent" NOT a Democrat.

Sooooooooooooooooo, does that mean Dodd can run as an Independent and he wasn't in trouble previously?

patsfan13 09-11-2009 03:13 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Since Dodd is a democrat he will be OK. Ct is a dem state and dems seem to have no problem voting for corrupt pols. If he were a pubbie in a pubbie state he would be toast, probably would have resigned already.

Speaking of corrupt pols Rangel seems to be OK also.

efin98 09-11-2009 03:30 PM

Re: Chris Dodd Is In Deep Trouble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by scout (Post 1497724)
Sooooooooooooooooo, does that mean Dodd can run as an Independent and he wasn't in trouble previously?

Yes and yes. It looks like his only hope is that things improve in the economy and the focus of Congress goes away from the state's major employers(insurance) and onto something else.


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