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Sal Paolantonio opinion - agree or not?


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OK, those statistics are pretty straight forward. His INTs are high, but perhaps I don't give enough credence to my own point about how only good quarterbacks can accumulate a lot of INTs because only they would play enough games for this to happen. Consider me illuminated.

Thank you kindly.

I think it's possible to believe a player belongs in the Hall of Fame, as I believe about Favre, while still believing he's overrated. But for a Hall of Famer to be overrated, the media would REALLY, REALLY have to fawn over him a lot to rate him so highly.

Yes, as I was saying....

I was responding to godef, who said specifically he felt Brett Favre was a borderline Hall of Fame candidate based on his carelessness with the football, and he felt his INT record (evidence of the above) offset his TD record (evidence of success). So I compared his TD/INT ratio with the last four first-ballot Hall of fame quarterbacks. Favre compares favorably, especially considering he plays in the most inhospitable home environment of the four.

In addition to TD/INT, which is more a measure of a passer's scoring success, I like comparing ATT/INT, which measures how careful that quarterback is with the football. Here for you now are the same quarterbacks, organized by ATT/INT ratio:

Code:
Name		Att	Int	%
Warren Moon	6823	233	3.41
Brett Favre	8648	281	3.25
John Elway	7250	226	3.12
Dan Marino	8358	252	3.02
Steve Young	4149	107	2.58
[B]lower % is better[/B]

Given that (I suspect) the NFL average is something like 1 pick every 60 attempts, and .5% difference means one more pick per 200 attempts, the only thing the above numbers can really be said to show is that Steve Young was a more accurate passer than Warren Moon.

Here are some assorted non-HoF quarterbacks with substantial stats:

Code:
Name		Att	Int	%
Dave Krieg	5311	199	3.75
Jim Everett	4923	175	3.55
Boomer Esiason	5205	184	3.54
Phil Simms	4647	157	3.38
R. Cunningham	4289	134	3.12
Drew Bledsoe	6717	206	3.06
Brad Johnson	4236	117	2.76
Rich Gannon	4206	104	2.47
[B]lower % is better[/B]

You'll note Favre fits right in between Simms and Cunningham, right in the middle of what you'd expect from a quarterback.

And finally, here's the two Hall-of-Famers to-be:

Code:
Name		Att	Int	%
Tom Brady	3456	82	2.37
Peyton Manning	5269	151	2.87

I think the opinions on this Pats board are screwed up vis á vis Brett Favre the crazy gunslinger because Brady has been historically and incomprehensibly judicious in distributing the football. Brady's ATT/INT ratio makes him a meaningfully more accurate quarterback than just about anyone not named Rich Gannon, Steve Young, or Brad Johnson.

Finally, as to your point about hype, I don't feel announcers are any more complementary to Favre than they were to Marino, Young, or especially Elway. Just about the only one of the Hall of Famers I listed that wasn't "overhyped" was Moon. Looking at this stats and at his teams you can somewhat understand why.

I imagine the anger over Favre that permeates Pats message boards is because Favre's career is the only one of the five that overlaps Brady's. If Elway was still playing no doubt people here would be somehow *****ing about how overhyped he was too.
 
Sal Paolantonio is the author of the new book, "The Paolantonio Report: The Most Overrated and Underrated Players, Teams, Coaches & Moments in NFL History." Here are his five most overrated quarterbacks of all-time:

1. Joe Namath: His legend has much more to do with his Super Bowl III performance and his prolific off-field antics than his career stats.

2. Brett Favre: His image in the media has been hyperinflated to the good ol' boy routine, and that's why people like him.

3. Terry Bradshaw: He was ultimately an average quarterback who was surrounded by the greatest cast of talent ever assembled on one NFL roster, including eight Hall of Fame players.

4. Ken Stabler: His only accomplishment was winning the 1976 Super Bowl where the Raiders mostly ran and the defense stifled Fran Tarkenton.

5. Tony Romo: He barely made the team, and after one season of play he became a full-fledged superstar without really accomplishing anything to deserve it.

Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

* I agree for the most part.
The media has overinflated a lot of these guys. Favre, for example, has been given a free ride on a lot of bad decisions in his career. I would even consider putting Manning at 6.

Sal loses a lot of credibility saying Romo at #5. The guy came into the league unheralded, has played mostly to very good in his first full season (and pretty good last year's half season). I might agree with the rest on the list but Romo overrated before Micheal Vick? Michael Vick was fawned over so often it was borderline disturbing. Don't know but I bet Vick threw Int's almost at the rate of TD's and maybe one year above 60% comp%? That alone puts Sal's list on the -not well thought out list- 'of all time'
 
It's hard to take ths book seriously when Romo is on the List and not Ron Jaworski
 
Saying Ron Jaworski was overrated makes me a Eagles fan?
Your post history makes it obvious. It's ok. You can post here as an Eagles fan or continue to troll, no matter. We have many posters from other teams. They're not afraid to admit that.
 
Your post history makes it obvious. It's ok. You can post here as an Eagles fan or continue to troll, no matter. We have many posters from other teams. They're not afraid to admit that.

For the Last Time, I don't have a team I root for unless they are playing the Eagles. Other than that, I watch all NFL games and enjoy the excitement of the Sport
 
Who are the best QBs to enter the league since Brady?

Carson Palmer and Drew Brees are high on the list, but Romo and Ben R probably make the top 5 as well.

They're not overhyped.
 
For the Last Time, I don't have a team I root for unless they are playing the Eagles. Other than that, I watch all NFL games and enjoy the excitement of the Sport
OK. Enjoy the excitement of the sport. Not sure Jaworski was overrated. He had one great season, 1980. However, in other seasons his interception numbers were close to his TD numbers. While he was nominated for admission to the HOF, he really didn't have the career that would have ensured his admission. Which is why his bust is not in Canton. He was an exciting player, and was fun to watch on those Eagle teams from '78-'81. I can remember his interceptions against Oakland in the Super Bowl. Not a shining moment. Ah, but I was rooting for Jim Plunkett at the time and enjoying a former New England QB who never had a decent offensive line built around him during his tenure with the Pats.
 
You can't even put a QB on an overrated list when he's not even close to finishing his career.
 
You can't even put a QB on an overrated list when he's not even close to finishing his career.
If you're referring to Romo, how does he even qualify for mention after starting in games that amount to the equivalent of one full season??? I don't get it either.
 
I think posters who judge a quarterback overrated, should mention whether they saw them play for real, not in highlights.

If you never saw them, how can you judge?
 
I think posters who judge a quarterback overrated, should mention whether they saw them play for real, not in highlights.

If you never saw them, how can you judge?

this is silly.

unless you actually fought in WWII, should you be allowed to debate/discuss the decisions and armies involved?

are you not allowed to judge or have an opinion on any part of history that you were not alive to see?
 
this is silly.

unless you actually fought in WWII, should you be allowed to debate/discuss the decisions and armies involved?

are you not allowed to judge or have an opinion on any part of history that you were not alive to see?

Is Don Sutton overrated? He's in the hall of fame. I watched baseball in that era and Sutton was only the third or fourth best pitcher on his team at times.

He stayed healthy and pitched a lot of seasons. There's something to be said for consistency. Was Sutton an all time great? Not even close.

He wasn't even great for his time. There are pitchers who had occasional injury problems who were great pitchers but didn't make the hall.

I don't dispute the need for stats for hall of fames.

A real fan knows greatness.

Sometimes it shows in cumulative numbers, sometimes not. Occasionally, a journeyman like Sutton compiles a lot of good games over a long period of time and you have to put him in the HOF. I have no problem with that.
 
Well I dont think Sammy Baugh or Otto Graham can even be discussed because they played so long ago. So, I'll leave them out.

Can you explain why Fran Tarkenton is better than Troy Aikman or Roger Staubach?

How are Marino and Montana BOTH on the list? Montana simply won, Marino simply didnt. What is your criteria? If Montana gets no credit for winning 4 SBs, why isnt Steve Young ahead of him? The 49ers were a better offense in Youngs years than Montanas.

Why does Fran Takenton make the list and Terry Bradshaw not?
Tarkenton had years where his defense was the best in the NFL, but they didnt win. If Bradshaw is penalized for winning with a good D why isn't Tarkenton penalized for losing with a good D?

Shouldn't Ken Anderson be on your list? If winning is not a consideration, he may have the best stats ever when you compare them to his contemporaries.

What exactly has Fran Tarkenton, Brett Favre and Dan Marino done better than Tom Brady that would make them top 10, but Brady isn't?

I have no idea what your criteria is. In some examples you seem to be just looking at a stat book and taking the top guys, but in others you seem to credit winning. Is Troy Aikman not on the list because he didnt play for 20 years to compile numbers like Tarkenton or Marino?


the criteria is mostly individual, but team achievements are also weighted in. this is why a dominant performer such as Marino can make it in. I won't go through each of your questions, I'll just explain why each guy is on here (besides Graham and Baugh, who you dont seem interested in)

Elway: gaudy individual stats, gaudy team stats (2 SB's, setting the record for wins), carried his early teams with his ability to both run and pass very well

Favre: very similar to Elway. huge personal stats, also made his team great

Marino: the best pure passer to ever play the game. the fact that he never won a SB says much more about his teamates than him, so his lpace his easily secured but how great individually he was

Montana: yes he won 4 SB's. but he always had complete control of his pass oriented offense, and he always made big plays while avoiding the INT.

Tarkenton: an amazing individual performer. he held the records for completions, touchdowns and yards before Marino broke them. he played in the same run oriented era as Bradshaw, but put up huge passing numbers. played for 17 years, made 9 Pro Bowls

Unitas: he doesnt have the stats, but here I will trust the opinion of all old-timers, who say he was the greatest. despite his era, he has the record for throwing a TD in 47 straight games

+ Baugh, Graham, and eventually Manning and Brady makes 10. Peyton will be on for breaking ALL the career records and leading an amazing offense (plus a great team) and Brady will be on for putting up good numbers while surrounded by good talent, all-time numbers when surrounded by great talent, and winning 3,4,5 Super Bowls
 
Is Don Sutton overrated? He's in the hall of fame. I watched baseball in that era and Sutton was only the third or fourth best pitcher on his team at times.

He stayed healthy and pitched a lot of seasons. There's something to be said for consistency. Was Sutton an all time great? Not even close.

He wasn't even great for his time. There are pitchers who had occasional injury problems who were great pitchers but didn't make the hall.

I don't dispute the need for stats for hall of fames.

A real fan knows greatness.

Sometimes it shows in cumulative numbers, sometimes not. Occasionally, a journeyman like Sutton compiles a lot of good games over a long period of time and you have to put him in the HOF. I have no problem with that.

ok, but who the hell said Sutton was great? I sure didn't. the HOF makes an awful lot of mistakes, this goes for all sports
 
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this is silly.

unless you actually fought in WWII, should you be allowed to debate/discuss the decisions and armies involved?

are you not allowed to judge or have an opinion on any part of history that you were not alive to see?

Comparing someone's experience in world War II, with someone who reads about it shows the weakness of your argument.

They were using real bullets you know. Reading about WWII and fighting in it are similar? :D
 
ok, but who the hell said Sutton was great? I sure didn't. the HOF makes an awful lot of mistakes, this goes for all sports

Sutton won over 300 games. A lot of HOFers didn't. If you only went by statistics, Sutton was better.

I suppose you could go back and read about guys who were great and fought through injuries and such, I'll grant that.

You're saying players you never saw were overrated. I assume you base thison statistics.

Otherwise, you're reading from the people who "overrated" them in the first place. This is very confusing to me.
 
Sutton won over 300 games. A lot of HOFers didn't. If you only went by statistics, Sutton was better.

no, you're just looking at the wrong statistics.

You're saying players you never saw were overrated. I assume you base thison statistics.

Otherwise, you're reading from the people who "overrated" them in the first place. This is very confusing to me.

sorry
 
Comparing someone's experience in world War II, with someone who reads about it shows the weakness of your argument.

They were using real bullets you know. Reading about WWII and fighting in it are similar? :D

ok, so change my example to juding a debate, or judging a court case. should law students not debate who presented a historical case the best, despite the fact they weren't there to witness the actual case?
 
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