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Alan Millstein: Brady's chances of en banc hearing dramatically improved with latest amicus filings


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Maybe, but in that link not even Donaghy suggests that Lakers-Kings was a league mandate. His complaint blamed it entirely on the two officials. And he doesn't cite to any other games that were fixed by anyone other than him. Add it all up and I don't see much evidence against the league. Although that doesn't mean that certain officials haven't fixed games for their own reasons, as Donaghy did.
 
Fair point.

I've been humbled by the respect my views have been given out here since I nailed Judge Berman's profile a couple of days after he was named for the original Appeal. There, I had the advantage of knowing folks in the local media and political community down here (I live in NYC) and figuring out who he was; I took some abuse for it on the Board, but I was proven right.

But, I've never said anything other than that being granted the en banc hearing was a 50-50 proposition. Too many variables to take into account, unlike nailing the profile of one Judge, who is well known in circles with which I am familiar.

If someone asked me to make a bet in my local bar, I'd bet no more than a beer that Brady gets the hearing. Whereas, with Berman, I'd have put some Ben Franklins on the table that Brady would prevail.
Yeah, I wasn't thinking of you here… More the lawyers who tweet out constantly different things where they pretty much end up predicting everything eventually.
 
What if the Patriots 4-0 or 3-1 during a Brady suspension? (I still don't think he will be suspended, this is just hypothetical)

I become a futbol fan.
 
Actually I think the notion that the NFL is openly and blatantly "fixing" games could very well be at the heart of the matter. Government has stepped in before as the FBI did with the NBA fixing games (though amazingly some have short memories of major league sports fixing games).

I've worked for the judiciary including with many Supreme Court Justices, and although I'm not a lawyer I have pretty good understanding of issues that go into an Appellate decision - so I consider my opinion as valid as any of the other "experts" out there.

The Supremes or any Appellate Judge will tell you all judges HATE to be overturned - they like to "get it right" though certainly have their own views of justice... at times they will allow the word of law to win the day - effectively admonishing the law makers to make their laws more specific sending them "back to the drawing board" as it were so as not to provide too much gray area, as Judges know they need to interpret but that the laws also should be clearly defined.

There are times however when despite there being a need to address a poorly written law, that appellate judges will want to rise above the WORD of law and focus on the SPIRIT - more specifically to enusre that "Justice" is served.

These three judges already decided the case in a 2-1 margin. They (supposedly) knew the case and made their decision based upon the word of law. If 2 of them were truly convinced that their position was the right one, this would have been decided quickly.

It has not been. They have received many briefs - none of which they need read (though their clerks certainly did - and recommended certain ones to the Judges) - though in this case there are some BIG names - and BIG implications to their 2-1 decision - that they can't ignore and we KNOW the judges had to have read them.

After spending all this time - considering the Physicist brief stating that the evidence exonerates Brady - and reading other briefs from the AFL-CIO and other MAJOR legal experts that factually show Goodell to have been boldly and blatantly unfair - I don't see how they will allow their ruling to stand as is

The only question to me is WHAT they do - re-hear it themselves and hold the NFL's feet to the fire on their version of the truth? Send it back to Berman and possibly release notes to allow the "truth" to come to light. Or another route similarly designed to allow the spotlight of justice to shine on the NFL - because ultimately - though they often need to be reminded - "justice" is their job - not simply "the law"

My boldest prediction yet? A decision will be announced this week.

They will want this OFF their dockets (at least temporarilly) before the holiday weekend and it's already well past the time for a simple decision to re-hear or recommend en-banc

It could be as early as today - but my expectation is that it will happen by Friday

Let's see how much of an "expert" I truly am now! ;)-
Thanks.
From your lips to God's ears!!!
 
Yeah, I wasn't thinking of you here… More the lawyers who tweet out constantly different things where they pretty much end up predicting everything eventually.
I didn't take it personally. Just saw your post as an opportunity to clarify where I am today...could change tomorrow, of course! :)
 
Brace yourselves fellas....
 
resized_winter-is-coming-meme-generator-brace-yourselves-the-brace-yourself-posts-are-wait-91fb0f.jpg

Brace yourselves fellas....
 
Brace yourselves fellas....


He's probably right but it's only speculation like everyone else. Only the judges know - I doubt he has some insight into the court.
 
Our buddy Munson thinks that en banc will be denied but there's a real chance SCOTUS will agree to hear it and that is what team Brady expects too.
 
Our buddy Munson thinks that en banc will be denied but there's a real chance SCOTUS will agree to hear it and that is what team Brady expects too.

Has the disbarred lawyer been right about anything?
 
He's probably right but it's only speculation like everyone else. Only the judges know - I doubt he has some insight into the court.

He freely admits it's just his speculation. In the twitter conversation kicked off by that tweet someone asked him if he'd heard any rumblings and he said "no rumblings".
 
Our buddy Munson thinks that en banc will be denied but there's a real chance SCOTUS will agree to hear it and that is what team Brady expects too.


I'm not sure if Munson knows the difference between his bartender SCOTT and SCOTUS. Both serve something Munson should stay away from. Law and Alcohol.
 
Does anyone know if the Court posts their dockets with decisions on the website during a day as they come in or are they all posted at once for the day? Someone on SoSH thinks it's all at once so just wanted to check.

There's one decision posted about 1/2 hour ago. Should I keep refreshing? :D
 
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Does anyone know if the Court posts their dockets with decisions on the website during a day as they come in or are they all posted at once for the day? Someone on SoSH thinks it's all at once so just wanted to check.

There's one decision posted about 1/2 hour ago. Should I keep refreshing? :D

You need a PACER account I think...
 
You need a PACER account I think...

For those who don't know, anyone can get a PACER account (you don't have to be a lawyer). Having the account is free. However, virtually everything (except opinions) is $0.10/page, including search results. However, if your total charges in a calendar quarter are less than $15, the entire amount is waived.
 
Our buddy Munson thinks that en banc will be denied but there's a real chance SCOTUS will agree to hear it and that is what team Brady expects too.

I'm not sure if Brady cares about how the public outside of NE views him at all, but if he does, he really needs to think pretty hard about whether or not to take this to SCOTUS (if needed).

Right now, the overwhelming majority of football fans in the country aren't paying attention and really don't care how this turns out. But if this goes to SCOTUS, that's a whole 'nother level. Football fans and non fans will all be paying attention.

And potentially (most likely in my opinion) be pretty freakin' pissed a case about deflated footballs (which is how most would see it) and a CBA agreed to by complete idiots, would be competing for time with other cases having to do with issues like abortion, immigration/deportation, LGBT rights, and so on...

Not saying he absolutely shouldn't do it, but he just better consider the consequences. If he does go through with it, at bare minimum he better have one heck of a PR team explaining his (or the broader) case to those outside NE.

I know most of you think he should do it. But trust me, I don't know a single person who thinks SCOTUS should spend a single second of their time on this.

Hopefully it doesn't even matter and Brady gets his appeal now. Guess we'll see soon enough.
 
I'm not sure if Brady cares about how the public outside of NE views him at all, but if he does, he really needs to think pretty hard about whether or not to take this to SCOTUS (if needed).

Right now, the overwhelming majority of football fans in the country aren't paying attention and really don't care how this turns out. But if this goes to SCOTUS, that's a whole 'nother level. Football fans and non fans will all be paying attention.

And potentially (most likely in my opinion) be pretty freakin' pissed a case about deflated footballs (which is how most would see it) and a CBA agreed to by complete idiots, would be competing for time with other cases having to do with issues like abortion, immigration/deportation, LGBT rights, and so on...

Not saying he absolutely shouldn't do it, but he just better consider the consequences. If he does go through with it, at bare minimum he better have one heck of a PR team explaining his (or the broader) case to those outside NE.

I know most of you think he should do it. But trust me, I don't know a single person who thinks SCOTUS should spend a single second of their time on this.

Hopefully it doesn't even matter and Brady gets his appeal now. Guess we'll see soon enough.

Having the likes of Ted Olson on his team tells me the decision has probably already been made to press on if the en banc referral is denied. Could be wrong though.

Personally I think he has a lot to gain PR wise from a defamation suit launched by either himself or the two equipment guys.
 
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