Off The Grid
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
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This is a good Thread, by the way. Props to the OP, our divergent Perspectives notwithstanding.
01 ~ I'm sure that we all agree that Matt Forte has been a tremendous PowerBack for many Years.
02 ~ And it goes without saying that for the right Price, Forte would be a great addition.
03 ~ But that would be true of many Free Agents.
04 ~ Therefore, it seems to clearly come down to two things, yes?
05 ~ What would we have to pay to get'm?
06 ~ And what would we get?
07 ~ Corey Dillon was 29, going into 2004.
08 ~ Matt Forte will be 30, going into 2016.
09 ~ If you don't think that that's a substantial Difference, you haven't done your HomeWork.
10 ~ However, Frank Gore was 32, going into 2015.
11 ~ And that is an enormous Difference.
12 ~ Lead HalfBacks age rapidly.
13 ~ History tells us that most Lead HalfBacks slow down, often, substantially, at about 29.
14 ~ Ladanian Tomlinson was spectacular at 28...and sucked at 29. Look it up.
15 ~ Shaun Alexander was phenomenal at 28...and sucked at 29.
16 ~ There is no hard and fast rule: Barry Sanders was sensational at 29.
17 ~ And Dillon had his Swan Song with us at 29 before fading fast.
18 ~ But Matt Forte will be 30.
19 ~ I'm not saying that he'll suck. I think that he's probably got a couple of solid Years left.
20 ~ But his YPC numbers strongly suggest that he peaked 3 Years ago.
21 ~ I'd like to have'm...but for far less than I think he'll command.
01 ~ I'm sure that we all agree that Matt Forte has been a tremendous PowerBack for many Years.
02 ~ And it goes without saying that for the right Price, Forte would be a great addition.
03 ~ But that would be true of many Free Agents.
04 ~ Therefore, it seems to clearly come down to two things, yes?
05 ~ What would we have to pay to get'm?
06 ~ And what would we get?
07 ~ Corey Dillon was 29, going into 2004.
08 ~ Matt Forte will be 30, going into 2016.
09 ~ If you don't think that that's a substantial Difference, you haven't done your HomeWork.
10 ~ However, Frank Gore was 32, going into 2015.
11 ~ And that is an enormous Difference.
12 ~ Lead HalfBacks age rapidly.
13 ~ History tells us that most Lead HalfBacks slow down, often, substantially, at about 29.
14 ~ Ladanian Tomlinson was spectacular at 28...and sucked at 29. Look it up.
15 ~ Shaun Alexander was phenomenal at 28...and sucked at 29.
16 ~ There is no hard and fast rule: Barry Sanders was sensational at 29.
17 ~ And Dillon had his Swan Song with us at 29 before fading fast.
18 ~ But Matt Forte will be 30.
19 ~ I'm not saying that he'll suck. I think that he's probably got a couple of solid Years left.
20 ~ But his YPC numbers strongly suggest that he peaked 3 Years ago.
21 ~ I'd like to have'm...but for far less than I think he'll command.