Very interesting tiebreaker that can be in our favor.

NFL.com just put up their playoff picture predictor, which lets you predict the remainder of the games that are left and give you the seeding results after.

Interestingly enough, if we finish 13-3 and Cincy and Denver both finish 13-3, we will have the tiebreaker over Denver IF they lose to Cincy. We will also have the tiebreaker over Cincy as well, which gives us, yes, the number one seed.

That says:

• If we lose 1 more game.
• If Cincy loses 1 more game.
• If Cincy beats Denver.

We get a bye.

Fencer said:

That says:

• If we lose 1 more game.
• If Cincy loses 1 more game.
• If Cincy beats Denver.

We get a bye.

Click to expand...

And number one seed.

Because Cincy has the tiebreaker over Denver.

Fencer said:

That says:

• If we lose 1 more game.
• If Cincy loses 1 more game.
• If Cincy beats Denver.

We get a bye.

Click to expand...

Also Cincy can only lose one more game, obviously if they lose two more then it gives Denver the tiebreaker back over us.

Just win baby...that's all i am worried about right now

Lets just not lose a game.

We know if we win out we get a Bye.
So the real scenario is what if we lose 1 more (assuming 2 losses makes a bye a longshot), That scenario is affected a lot by either (1) Cincy beats Denver or (2) Denver beats Cincy.

Under that one more loss scenario:
**If 2 happens then HFA is all but dead, and we will need Cincy to lose a game to get that crucial bye (assumes Denver will not lose two of their last three)
**If 1 happens, then HFA is alive if Cincy loses one more, or the Bye is still alive if Denver loses one more.


Bottom line: Win our last 4 and get the Bye week off. Getting the Bye is far more important than anything else right now. But if we do lose one more let's hope Cincy beats Denver. I like the added scenario, via tie break, that it affords. I'd go so far as to say I still marginally like our chances. And if we lose two more? Well, at least we get to see the Patriots an extra game before the SB

win out....cant afford a loss!!

comeback gronk, we need you against the texans.

Pats can win out. I'm waiting for a Blount Force Trauma game ala Indy last couple years, to take the pressure off TB12.

Cincy has a tough schedule.
Pitt, does anyone think Dalton will win a shootout vs Big Ben?
@ Niners. Cincy has to fly cross country and face a big trap game
@ DEN- Dalton in primetime on the road LOSS
BAL- Schaub sucks

Denver isn't much easier
OAK can score
@ PITT is a loss
vs Bengals W
vs Chargers - end of year trap game? Who knows what Rivers shows up

Let's hope Cinci beats Denver and they both lose to Pittsburgh

if we won out and cincy beat denver would we automatically have #1?

gitgronked82 said:

if we won out and cincy beat denver would we automatically have #1?

Click to expand...

I think so but not for sure, would have to see if we still held the tiebreaker over Cincy if they were to win out.

the Pats haven't "won" anything yet....

Joker said:

the Pats haven't "won" anything yet....

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Bu, but,.. I had all these games after Denver as wins on my prediction card. There must be some mistake...

I don't see denver beating Pitt. Hopefully they also lose to the orange cats.

I see the Pats finishing at 12-4, the same as the Bengals. I see the Pats loosing to the Texans and to the Jets. The Broncos will finish 13-3 and be the first seed. The Pats will be the 2nd seed. Indy will come to Foxboro and the Steelers will go Denver and the AFCGC will be the Pats at home versus the Steelers. The game will finish the exact same way as game 1.

Joey007 said:

NFL.com just put up their playoff picture predictor, which lets you predict the remainder of the games that are left and give you the seeding results after.

Interestingly enough, if we finish 13-3 and Cincy and Denver both finish 13-3, we will have the tiebreaker over Denver IF they lose to Cincy. We will also have the tiebreaker over Cincy as well, which gives us, yes, the number one seed.

Click to expand...

mosi said:

I see the Pats finishing at 12-4, the same as the Bengals. I see the Pats loosing to the Texans and to the Jets. The Broncos will finish 13-3 and be the first seed. The Pats will be the 2nd seed. Indy will come to Foxboro and the Steelers will go Denver and the AFCGC will be the Pats at home versus the Steelers. The game will finish the exact same way as game 1.

Click to expand...

Hmmmm...

Joey007 said:

Also Cincy can only lose one more game, obviously if they lose two more then it gives Denver the tiebreaker back over us.

Click to expand...

I'm actually not too concerned about this scenario, since I don't see Denver getting to the CG in any case.

Joey007 said:

And number one seed.

Because Cincy has the tiebreaker over Denver.

Click to expand...

Why would Cincy have the tiebreaker over Denver? If three teams have the same record, head to head doesn't count. Not saying you aren't correct, but until you know who each team loses to, you won't know their rankings if they all end up the same.

Here are the current clinching scenarios for NE this week:
New England can clinch the AFC East division title with:
1) NE win + NE clinches at least a tie in strength of victory tiebreaker over NYJ
2) NE win + NYJ loss or tie
3) NE tie + NYJ loss
4) NE tie + NYJ tie + NE clinches at least a tie in strength of victory tiebreaker over NYJ
5) NYJ loss + NE clinches at least a tie in strength of victory tiebreaker over NYJ
(Note: NE clinches at least a tie in strength of victory tiebreaker in scenarios 1,4 and 5 if 2 of the following occur: BUF Win, PIT Win, MIA Loss, CLE Loss)

New England can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) NE win
2) PIT loss
3) NYJ loss
4) NE tie + KC loss
5) NE tie + PIT tie
6) NE tie + NYJ tie