Vontae Davis and TY Hilton are right on the cusp of elite, at least.
But generally, sure. When people try to discount Belichick's history of hitting on first round picks as if that's somehow a foregone conclusion, always just point them to the Colts. The Colts are what happens when you don't hit on first rounders, and it's pretty common. If first rounders seem like a sure thing to us, it's only because Belichick has spent 15 years conditioning us to think that way.
Since 2003, the Colts have used first round picks on: Marlin Jackson, Joseph Addai, Anthony Gonzalez, Donald Brown, Jerry Hughes, Anthony Castonzo, Andrew Luck, Bjoern Werner, Trent Richardson (trade), and Phillip Dorsett.
To this point, the jury's obviously out on Dorsett. Luck is obviously a hit, and also the most un****up-able sure thing since Peyton Manning. Castonzo has evolved into a decent LT, which makes him worth the pick.
The rest have all been awful picks for the Colts. The best case scenario from that group is that Hughes at least ended up becoming pretty good... for someone else.
