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Let the bidding for #2 overall begin


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I think they are being smart. The downside is the they continue to really suck, finishing with 4 or 5 wins every year- that is, if they are wrong about the QB. If they do nothing, they still won't win eight games with the QBs they have in place. You might as well go for it; just name the top 12 QBs and you essentially have just named the playoff teams. People who think you need to build the rest of the team and take what you are given before getting your franchise QB are delusional and behind by about ten years. If there's a chance to get a superstar quarterback, take it. Your great offensive tackle, wide receiver, or outside linebacker isn't going to get you much in the win column.

I do think they should look at their player development, too, though. It can't just be bad luck that every QB they pick ends up failing so fast.

This is silly. Out of those top quarterbacks you mentioned, how many were drafted in the top 10 picks of the draft?
Tom Brady? Aaron Rodgers? Drew Brees? Russell Wilson?

If you have no team around your quarterback, your quarterback will never develop and get the help he needs. He'll be chased off the football team. Even Brady has below his average years when he doesn't have as much talent around him. What good is your QB if you have nothing around him?
No player is every worth the amount of picks it costs to trade up that far. Look what happened to the Falcons after they traded their picks away for Julio. They have Julio and no one else.

Or imagine if the Browns had actually used the picks they received for trading down wisely... All those extra first rounders and talent they could've had.

Look at what the Cowboys did with the picks they got for their famous trade.
 
They were floating the idea of Manziel being traded to the Jets. I would love that. Manziel in New York City would be a massive dumpster fire.

Yeah, put Manziel in NYC where you can party at bars until daylight. That sounds like recipe for success.
 
They were floating the idea of Manziel being traded to the Jets. I would love that. Manziel in New York City would be a massive dumpster fire.

Have mercy man! He just went thru rehab!:(
 
This is silly. Out of those top quarterbacks you mentioned, how many were drafted in the top 10 picks of the draft?
Tom Brady? Aaron Rodgers? Drew Brees? Russell Wilson?

This is a bit misleading. Since Brady was a 6th that means you don't need to spend to get an elite quarterback? It's not like Rodgers or Brees were late selections, either, so they aren't the best examples. They are more like Eli, Rivers, Peyton, Luck, Stafford, Big Ben, Flacco, Matt Ryan, Cam Newton... and those are just the good first round starters, there are quite a few middling guys who were also selected early on.

The simple fact is that quarterback play has a disproportionate impact on the success of a team. If you can get a guy who is a top 10 talent for two first rounders, that is a layup decision, particularly if you have a solid roster except at QB, like the Browns. Of course, that all depends on the evaluation of Mariotta, but if they are sold they'd be foolish not to at least try, especially since the depth at the position is supposedly weak. From what I've read there is no top of the second round guy who projects to be a solid starter.
 
Greater than meaning a 3rd or higher? I would bet against that.

I hit the wrong sign. Been spending too much time on common core math with the kids which has made me forget simple concepts like greater than or less than :D
 
I don't know a whole lot about trade politics, but 12+19 does NOT seem like enough to snag 2. I like Mariota, though.
 
I really hope Mariota becomes a superstar and a great leader just to stick it to all the caveman attitude from the NFL.
 
Mariota and Winston will both be huge busts.
 
I'm curious to see what Tennessee is gonna do. They drafted Mattenberg who was one of the coveted QB's last year , and he did well against the Steelers (the only time I saw him playing). Another aspect is that to draft Mariota you have to scheme for him and have the right players around, he is not a classic pocket passer.

Some people are speculating the possibility of a trade involving Philip Rivers, I think it makes sense for both sides.
 
This means the Jets will not be getting Mariota. Either the Titans want him and won't trade the pick, or they won't trade it to the Jets, who can't match what the Browns are offering.

Great news for the afc east
 
I think they are being smart. The downside is the they continue to really suck, finishing with 4 or 5 wins every year- that is, if they are wrong about the QB. If they do nothing, they still won't win eight games with the QBs they have in place. You might as well go for it; just name the top 12 QBs and you essentially have just named the playoff teams. People who think you need to build the rest of the team and take what you are given before getting your franchise QB are delusional and behind by about ten years. If there's a chance to get a superstar quarterback, take it. Your great offensive tackle, wide receiver, or outside linebacker isn't going to get you much in the win column.

I do think they should look at their player development, too, though. It can't just be bad luck that every QB they pick ends up failing so fast.
The problem with moving up for a QB every year is that you kill your depth. It's hard for a QB to develop if the teams only chance to win is for the QB to play like one of the best right from the start.
 
I still love the idea of a 3-team trade on this. Something like (not necessarily limited to):

Bradford + 1st round pick from Philly to Cleveland
2 first round picks from Cleveland to Tennessee
#2 pick from Tennessee to Philly

I'm not saying it's a good/bad trade for anyone. I just want to see what Chip Kelly can do if he's got everything he wants on the field.

I agree. I like someone as innovative and anti "That's the way we do it here in the NFL".

I will float this one by for your thoughts? Dreams/ Possibilities? This is for fun but doing the values, can happen.

What if the Pats can help Chip get to Mariota? Wilfork#75 was correct. At least that is what the pundits say about Chip being willing to "donate" players. It's out there and Chip has no regrets trading guys he did not bring in. So here goes:

PREMISE. The Titans pick #2 has a Trade Value of 2600 points

1- The Eagles are willing to give up Bradford in trade. The stickler is Cleveland wants to offer their #19 in the first and not the #12 they also own.

2-Chip sent a spit-ball out to Tenn. to see if they would take that #19 pick , plus the Eagles #20, plus DL Fletcher Cox and LB Mychal Kendricks. They also say DL Vin curry could be had in place (9 sacks in 2014!!!)

3- It appears that the Titans prefer picks..... so nyet on players! The just resigned Morgan and got Orakpo. They have Brown and they picked up Massaquoi. Not needs.

4-I think that Chip will not really sit down with the Browns to argue about #12 versus#19 unless he is sure the Titans will sell him their #2 pick.

5-The Browns would be crazy to pick another rookie QB like Mariota who is a better fit with Chip. Bradford has to be the better choice for the Browns.

6-The trade chart value of Chip's #20 pick is 850

7- The Cleveland #19 pick has a value of only 875. Not a help to Chip

8-The Cleveland #12 pick has a value of 1200 points but that along with #20 is only 2050 points. Now Chip can start throwing more picks at the deal but the value after round one goes down fast, so many picks would be needed and you blow up your Draft.

9-The Pats #32 first round pick has a value of 590 points. Would BB help Chip out here if he can get assets back?

10- The Pats #32, the Browns #12 and the Eagles #20 add up to 2640 points!!!

11-The Browns would part with #12 to get Bradford because even their two first rounders can't catch up to 2600 points at only 2075.So they are out of the Mariota hunt unless they throw many more picks.

12-The Eagles need to throw in a pick to entice the Browns but it should be realistic because Bradford has that potential if he stays healthy and he is still young. Better than that, he is NFL ready. I think a fifth should do it like Eagles pick # 156. So The Eagles trade Bradford and pick #156 for Cleveland's pick #12.

13- The Titans and BB are on the line holding as that deal is made.

14-The Pats give Chip pick #32 for Mychal Kendricks (and yes many say the Pats are seeking LB help) who is one of the better cover LBs in the NFL and young. Mayo and DH are questions marks and Kendricks is still the better cover LB. Kendricks is on his last year (helps our CAP in 2015) but if he works out let's talk in 2016, plus DL Vin Curry who played inside rush D Line and had 9 sacks. He is only 26. Plus Chip gives BB his second rounder in 2016 (see #15).

15-I broke down value of Kendricks and Curry as third rounders in trade value as the perceived Eagles ask. Mid 3rd value is 190. So X 2= 380 in point value. 590 (this years Pats #32 pick)-380=210. In value that 210 is above mid tier third rounder but the chase factor for BB should make a 2016 second round pick fair. The Eagles should be at the last part of the 2016 Draft anyway as Chip hopes.

16-The Eagles ship three first round picks #12, #20, #32 for the second pick #2 and on the Trade chart the Titans are making 40 points (like another fourth rounder for nada). Good deal for the Titans!

17-The Browns gain a non-project ready QB and pick up a later pick while still holding on the their first rounder at pick #19. Good Deal for the Browns!

18-The Eagles get Mariota and not blow up the rest of their Draft. Good Deal for what Chip wanted to do without mortgaging his future. He would move the other two player regardless. Good Deal for Chip!

19-The Pats get DL Vin Curry and LB Mychal Kendricks, two very good proven young players who can fill needs and not picks who may or may not make it in the NFL, plus stock piling a second rounder for 2016 for pick #32....DEAL!

DW Toys
 
This is silly. Out of those top quarterbacks you mentioned, how many were drafted in the top 10 picks of the draft?
Tom Brady? Aaron Rodgers? Drew Brees? Russell Wilson?

If you have no team around your quarterback, your quarterback will never develop and get the help he needs. He'll be chased off the football team. Even Brady has below his average years when he doesn't have as much talent around him. What good is your QB if you have nothing around him?
No player is every worth the amount of picks it costs to trade up that far. Look what happened to the Falcons after they traded their picks away for Julio. They have Julio and no one else.

Or imagine if the Browns had actually used the picks they received for trading down wisely... All those extra first rounders and talent they could've had.

Look at what the Cowboys did with the picks they got for their famous trade.


First, I'm not saying that the only good QBs are in the top 10 picks in the draft; I am placing a higher value on the quarterback position than any other positions, because the reward is so much greater than hitting there than anywhere else. And I'm pointing out that teams give up picks to move up all the time; I believe the only time you should give up picks to move up is for a quarterback because the reward can outweigh the cost.The Patriots are still using second and third round picks on the position despite having Brady because they realize the value of QBs, even as backups.

Sure, there are certainly examples of QBs succeeding with a lower fanfare, drafted in the later rounds. Doesn't change the fact that you'd rather pick 1st than 199th, because more top picks will succeed than sixth rounders, even if there are examples of the the opposite has happened. I believe in trading down, but I believe more strongly in finding the right quarterback. That said, if we are to go with the "more picks" philosophy, I think the Browns would also be smart to pickup a handful of QBs in the mid to late rounds and just hope one of them is really good. Either way, I am saying that a quarterback intrinsically has much more value than any other position, and it isn't even close. If you don't have a franchise QB, get one at all costs and then worry about building the rest later. You can't win without a great QB. You can win with a great QB and below average supporting cast, and franchise QBs these days pretty much all play for over 10 years, so there's going to be time to build a supporting cast.

No player is every worth the amount of picks it costs to trade up that far.

I'm sorry, but do you really believe that no player is worth two first round draft picks? Again, I am a strong believer in trading down in general, but this statement is kind of ridiculous. We are talking about your first round pick this year and next year in exchange for the other team's first round pick this year. That is a net loss of one first round pick. You wouldn't have given up one extra first round pick for Andrew Luck? Calvin Johnson? It's a steep price, yes, but sometimes it is worth trading up, particularly for a top pick. The Redskins had to give up a TON more picks that this to get RGIII, and you know what? Had Shannahan not ruined his knee during his rookie year, he would have been well, well worth it and the Redskins might be Super Bowl contenders now. I'm guessing had they not drafted him to begin with and kept the picks, they'd be cruising along winning 6 games a season now instead of 5. A risk that probably won't pan out, but one I would take again with a similar player coming out of school as RGIII.

By the way, the reason why the Patriots typically trade down is because at the end of the first round, they have just reached the end of the top tier of players and now see the next 15-20 players as having similar grades. Many would see Winston and Mariota as the very top tier of players in this draft, and then a second tier that lasts roughly until pick 20. The Browns may very well see it that way.
 
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First, I'm not saying that the only good QBs are in the top 10 picks in the draft; I am placing a higher value on the quarterback position than any other positions, because the reward is so much greater than hitting there than anywhere else. And I'm pointing out that teams give up picks to move up all the time; I believe the only time you should give up picks to move up is for a quarterback because the reward can outweigh the cost.

So Jones and Hightower aren't worth the extra cost of a 3rd (Jones) and 4th (Hightower)?


Come on.
 
Good for Cleveland. They've made an absolute mess out of their QB choices the past several years, but that doesn't deter them from going after Mariota. I thought every QB decision they've made during that time was completely ridiculous, including keeping Derek Anderson-the one year wonder they could've gotten a good pick for. However, Mariota is a good prospect, and if he can develop to the best of his ability then they're moving in the right direction.
 
Could you imagine what would happen if the Pats offered Jimmy G and some draft picks and moved into the 2 pick. The world would expolde
 
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