Who wins on Sunday

So I think the last time the top seeds all won was something like 10 years ago. It almost never happens in todays NFL so I came into this week expecting an upset (maybe 2) and hoping it would not be the Pats. Thankfully we pulled through and just like I thought they would; Seattle did too.

Now we have

Dallas @ GB
Indy @ Denver

I still think we will see an upset as history tells us to expect one.

So which team would you guess it is if you are assuming at least one will lose?

My pick in Denver loses and GB wins.

Manning just does not look right. I know they can run but the Colts don't let that happen to the tune of 150 if they feel confident Manning can't beat them deep.

GB beats Dallas for a variety of reasons.

1) I think Dallas' D is not that good.
2) Dallas going to GB? They don't come off to me as a cold whether team even with Murray
3) I still don't believe in Romo. If he wins this one I will start to though. Beating Detroit does not make me think you ready for prime time particularly when you needed help to do it from the refs.

How do you feel about it?

BobDigital said:

Manning just does not look right. I know they can run but the Colts don't let that happen to the tune of 150 if they feel confident Manning can't beat them deep.

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Look at the stats re: Manning for weeks 1-10 (before the injury to J.Thomas), and weeks 11-17 (after his injury). They are night and day.

Now that J.Thomas is back, I believe that they'll go back to showing the "regular" side of scoring pts. On top of that, they also have a very well balanced offense now with the emergence of CJ Anderson, so that's something to keep in mind.

As far as Manning's dead arm, I agree--but I also think they attempt to mask that. He's still very effective on shorter/intermediate routes. If they come here I think we pick him off 1-2 times, but I also think they put up 20+ points in their sleep. Hope I'm wrong, because the SB is within sniffing distance!

I picked Green Bay and Denver but I would prefer Dallas and Indianapolis. Dallas has proven they can beat Seattle in Seattle and the forehead going one and done again would be too good.

Dallas and Denver will win I think.

It's hard to bet on Denver games because of postseason Peyton.

Denver was arguably better last season and Indianapolis was arguably worse, and Indianapolis won that game last year, albeit in Indy.Denver basically escaped earlier this year with a win after it was all Indy in the 2nd half, and that was in week #1 is when Peyton is always playing his best football lol.

Luck is 1-1 against Poutyface, and was very nearly 2-0. so I'm not sure anyone should count him out, and Peyton played the last half of the season like he was playing the Patriots every week.

Manning faces for everybody.

If I had to place a bet, I'd bet on Denver, because they're at home and a more complete team, but Luck is Luck and Peyton is in the playoffs now, which is when he needs a multi-billion dollar media industry to make excuses for his crappy performances.

If Denver wins, I imagine it's going to be with CJ Anderson, not with Peyton throwing ducks at Indy's corners.

Dallas is going to have to dominate time of possession. I see a close Dallas win or a brutally one-sided Green Bay win. Hoping for the former but expecting Green Bay to take it.

supafly said:

Look at the stats re: Manning for weeks 1-10 (before the injury to J.Thomas), and weeks 11-17 (after his injury). They are night and day.

Now that J.Thomas is back, I believe that they'll go back to showing the "regular" side of scoring pts. On top of that, they also have a very well balanced offense now with the emergence of CJ Anderson, so that's something to keep in mind.

As far as Manning's dead arm, I agree--but I also think they attempt to mask that. He's still very effective on shorter/intermediate routes. If they come here I think we pick him off 1-2 times, but I also think they put up 20+ points in their sleep. Hope I'm wrong, because the SB is within sniffing distance!

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I don't know if I buy the injury story. Maybe he got a boo-boo but I don't know if I can blame a whatever on his thigh on his bad play recently considering he was well enough to be out there. It looked to me like the teams that beat him just had his number. He looked like classic week#4 Peyton against Cinci for the 3rd quarter. If he's injured he's injured, if he's not he's not.

Mostly it just looked like classic Peyton choke jobs.

Denver runs like five plays outside their running game, and everyone is pretty hip to their bubble screens outside of Oakland.

I think his noodle arm just starts to fall apart towards the end of the season from so much stat-padding through the air early on.

If we play Denver, I'm assuming the defensive game plan will be to shut down CJ and make Peyton throw his ducks around. If his arm isn't rested and improved, it could get uglier than last time.

Quack, quack, pick.

Edit: Oh, you were talking about JT's injury.

Dallas over GB

IND over Broncos

No way the Broncos lose against Indy and I think Green Bay wins at Lambeau

the cowboys are a much better road team and they are facing the packers who can not stop there run game the way the lions did I got them winning this one easy as for the colts I would love to see them win but its not going to happen

ArchAngel007 said:

No way the Broncos lose against Indy and I think Green Bay wins at Lambeau

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I'd be a rich man if I had a dollar for every time someone said "No way Peyton's team loses to them" in the play offs.

PATS16N0 said:

I'd be a rich man if I had a dollar for every time someone said "No way Peyton's team loses to them" in the play offs.

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Ha ha! There have to be a upset today! Both home teams should win but either Dallas or Indy are capable of pulling off the upset! Denver's doomed if Luck starts off hot like lava!

The real question is, who does the league want to win, one has to think "Brady vs. Manning" would get them great ratings, just saying...

That being said, I think Denver and Dallas will win today

102 Pat said:

The real question is, who does the league want to win, one has to think "Brady vs. Manning" would get them great ratings, just saying...

That being said, I think Denver and Dallas will win today

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The ascension of Luck is good for business, too, not that I think these games are rigged. Arguably better than another Peyton choke which everyone at this point understands to be a foregone conclusion.

While driving to work this morning i was listening to the NFL radio. A nitwit cowboys fan called in and said that he had bet his grand kids college tuition money on the 'boys.

I'm going with this QB today......

Not a chance in hell Indy wins today. Dallas has a very good chance to beat Green Bay though.

Denver's chances hinge on how well Talib's replacement plays.

I'm thinking Green Bay and Denver. Indy just isn't nearly as talented as Denver; they could still win, but only if Manning blows it and/or Luck goes crazy (both are possible). Dallas is undefeated on the road, but who exactly have they beaten?

Week 2: @TEN, 26-10
Week 3: @STL, 34-31
Week 6: @SEA, 30-23
Week 10: @JAX, 31-17
Week 12: @NYG, 31-28
Week 14: @CHI, 41-28
Week 15: @PHI, 38-27
Week 17: @WAS, 44-17

The only remotely impressive wins are against Seattle when they just weren't the same team they are now, and Philadelphia, although they were destroyed by that same team in Dallas 33-10 just 2 weeks earlier.

Meanwhile, the Packers have done nothing but take care of business at home. With the exception of a mid-September Jets game back when we thought the Jets might actually be alright, they've destroyed all the bad teams to come to Lambeau (ATL scored most of their 37 in garbage time), dropped scores of 55, 53, 43, and 42 on opponents, and beat the Patriots on a day where they didn't look particularly off.

I don't mean to entirely discredit Dallas, because that offense is loaded with talent and could certainly overwhelm GB's defense, but I just think the Packers are a better team and the Cowboys undefeated road record is more because of the schedule than any "road warrior" thing they might have going. Another factor that could go in Dallas's favor is that the Packers with Rodgers haven't really been all that good in the playoffs (mostly the defense just blows it) with the exception of their SB run.

My predictions for today: 31-24, Packers. 37-29, Broncos.