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Twas' the night before Thanksgiving and all through the house....... oops.

Well anyway I was thinking about various things before the week starts up on Thursday, and the next thing you know I was at my computer. I called this the "ambitious edition" mostly because I know I'm going to have a lot of difficulty explaining what I want and do it well So I better just begin.

I can remember specifically when the moment happened.. It was way back in TC when I first saw it. I suppose like most of you, I had heard about it before, but I had never ACTUALLY seen it happen. IIRC it happened on the 2nd day of full pads. I remember it just like it was yesterday...... I never will forget it. (fade out and refocus in)

Edelman and Lafell had lined up in a bunch formation to one side of a 4 wide out formation.. I'm pretty sure it was during a 2 minute drill......and then it happened. Believe me I have seen it several times since, but you never forget your first. You never forget..... the first time you actually see Darelle Revis run the WR's pattern better than he does. I happened to be watching closely that play and I would have have sworn that Revis made his break a microsecond before Edelman. (and don't forget Edelman is a player who builds his success on his quickness)

OK, perhaps that was a bit over dramatic (a bit?) Well, Bite me. ;) The point was that I was thinking about that play after hearing countless glowing reports of Revis's play this week. It got me thinking of a simple question. "How's he do that?" Remember Revis isn't the biggest corner around. He isn't the fastest, quickest, or strongest guy either. So what makes him so good. And THAT is what I will try" to attempt to do (without a white board)

Now I have a small experience playing a DB(S) from one NFL TC in a long ago era, back when men where men and you played for a minimum of about $15K/season and I was a converted LB, who used to be a small college NT ;) . OK you're right, I have no real experience at all. ;) But most of my knowledge in this area comes from standing in front of boards watching people smarter than you are trying to explain what the principles of their particular system entailed.

So lets begin:

1. Man and Zone principles differ drastically, though when the ball gets there, things remarkably become similar again.

2. In man coverage in order to mirror the receiver so well Revis has to be able to do several things, 2 of which are key.

a. He has to be able to read the pattern.....the whole pattern not just his guy. All pass patterns make sense geometrically in that they al fill needs. For example we often see a pattern that will cover an area of the field , say the sideline, that will wind up with a man in the flat, a man in the middle, and a man deep and alll the QB to hit the open man.

Another is the curl/slide which gives you a good example of how you might read a pattern. Strange at it seems 99% of the time, if you are a LB dropping into coverage, if you see a TE or WR head to the flat, then are are most likely to see a receiver looking for a dead spot in the "hook/curl area".

When run against man coverages, you see less, but you can see some, and those subtle signals can help tell you when your man is likely to go by telling you where some other guy is going.

b. Even more important than reading pattern, is the ability to read your man. Somehow by the end of the week. Revis has to find that in combination with months and sometimes years of tendencies, repetitions, down/distance, weather, etc. he has to figure how which clues will tell him what the pattern is on that play.

For example it might be as finite as noticing that on dig route a receiver might sink his hip deeper than he does in a comeback or with a double move. Or as easy as noticing that a receiver is a decoy when his hands are on his hips at the snap.

And BTW its not just one sided. I'm sure Reggie Wayne has run by numerous young DB's in his career that he "flashed" the decoy signal to and got off the ball lazily.....at first.

4. So now you get the idea. Revis will study all the receivers he's likely to cover. He will scan them for "tells" that might tell him some advanced info. The staff will brake down all the pass plays by formations, position groupings, and down and distance tendencies. Then he'll study those. Then he'll take it out to eh practice field and further reinforce the lessons

5. But here is the problem, guys. So are the rest of the DB is room studying JUST as hard, as well as the rest of the 325 odd DB's currently playing in the NFL are studying. Its not a matter of effort, or even physical talent. There has to be something more. Because there are a LOT of hard working physical freaks out there, but only about 3 are Dareelle Revis types in the league. You can use these explanations to show how Revis can do it, but NOT why 99% of the other DB's can't.....or at least not to that level.

So now that I've eliminated some some of the more ordinary reasons for Revis' success, Lets get the the strange and weird.

6.First let me ask you "what makes a great QB"? We we have seen a bunch come and go in recent years. We know it has little to do with arm strength. It has little to do with speed and running ability. These are all nice things, but no matter how good you your pro day is, it's not going to tell you in advance if you are going to be a great QB in the NFL.

To some degree, I believe that the biggest asset is the QBs ability to not only absorbs large amounts of data in 2-4 second bursts, but to assimilate and spit out the correct decisions just as quickly. AND then, and only then be able to execute an accurate throw.

I think to some degree, the same kind of "hard wiring" is going on in Revis's head, and damned few others on the planet. So to go along with all the studying of route running, pass patterns, tells, and clues, is the innate ability to either anticipate another players'movements, or the physical ability to to move simultaneously as another Receiver.

You can coach a player to be a good DB, but no one can coach him to be a Revis.
He just is.

BTW this was not the outcome of this post that I was anticipating when I started, bt I would add a cautionary tail. Before you spend the farm to get back this statistical rarity please remember what position he plays. Do not forget and that we went to a superbowl with 3 DB's (including 2 starting CB's) who couldn't start on our current team, let alone the rest of improvements we've made to this team

So as much as I want Revis back, and how good he's played, there has to be a certain line that we cannot cross for this guy......and this would be mine. for a 3 year deal.

1. $8.4MM/year guaranteed (unless for cause)
2.$ 388K/game for ever game he's on the roster
3. $1MM/bonus for every year the team makes it to the superbowl

So essentially this is $14MM/yr deal with 60% guaranteed 8.4 up front and the rest he gets paid when he plays...PLUS a million on top with a super bowl appearance. Ever better would being able to amortize it over 4 years BTW- I'd pay $16MM if he were 27, not 29

I havent't figured out the purpose of this thread, but it seemed like the right thing to do at the time....enjoy....or not ;)
 
Now I have a small experience playing a DB(S) from one NFL TC in a long ago era, back when men where men and you played for a minimum of about $15K/season...

http___makeagif.com__media_11-26-2014_1AZUth_zpseo9ubuwg.gif
 
I think it's called intangibles.

Because it defies what your rational part tells you (the sum of the parts don't add up to the whole). Football IQ synergy!
 
What impresses me most about Revis is how he consistently knows when to look back for the ball. Most cornerbacks that look back get burned and lose track of the wr but not him. Jonathan Wilhite, for example, could stick to guys like glue but never learned how to look back and play the ball while in man coverage. I don't think this can really be taught.
 
I think he's like Tom Brady, or Larry Bird, in that they seem to see the game being played in slow motion.

An amazing talent, for sure, but quite rare.

At least, that's how I see it.
 
Twas' the night before Thanksgiving and all through the house....... oops.

Well anyway I was thinking about various things before the week starts up on Thursday, and the next thing you know I was at my computer. I called this the "ambitious edition" mostly because I know I'm going to have a lot of difficulty explaining what I want and do it well So I better just begin.

I can remember specifically when the moment happened.. It was way back in TC when I first saw it. I suppose like most of you, I had heard about it before, but I had never ACTUALLY seen it happen. IIRC it happened on the 2nd day of full pads. I remember it just like it was yesterday...... I never will forget it. (fade out and refocus in)

Edelman and Lafell had lined up in a bunch formation to one side of a 4 wide out formation.. I'm pretty sure it was during a 2 minute drill......and then it happened. Believe me I have seen it several times since, but you never forget your first. You never forget..... the first time you actually see Darelle Revis run the WR's pattern better than he does. I happened to be watching closely that play and I would have have sworn that Revis made his break a microsecond before Edelman. (and don't forget Edelman is a player who builds his success on his quickness)

OK, perhaps that was a bit over dramatic (a bit?) Well, Bite me. ;) The point was that I was thinking about that play after hearing countless glowing reports of Revis's play this week. It got me thinking of a simple question. "How's he do that?" Remember Revis isn't the biggest corner around. He isn't the fastest, quickest, or strongest guy either. So what makes him so good. And THAT is what I will try" to attempt to do (without a white board)

Now I have a small experience playing a DB(S) from one NFL TC in a long ago era, back when men where men and you played for a minimum of about $15K/season and I was a converted LB, who used to be a small college NT ;) . OK you're right, I have no real experience at all. ;) But most of my knowledge in this area comes from standing in front of boards watching people smarter than you are trying to explain what the principles of their particular system entailed.

So lets begin:

1. Man and Zone principles differ drastically, though when the ball gets there, things remarkably become similar again.

2. In man coverage in order to mirror the receiver so well Revis has to be able to do several things, 2 of which are key.

a. He has to be able to read the pattern.....the whole pattern not just his guy. All pass patterns make sense geometrically in that they al fill needs. For example we often see a pattern that will cover an area of the field , say the sideline, that will wind up with a man in the flat, a man in the middle, and a man deep and alll the QB to hit the open man.

Another is the curl/slide which gives you a good example of how you might read a pattern. Strange at it seems 99% of the time, if you are a LB dropping into coverage, if you see a TE or WR head to the flat, then are are most likely to see a receiver looking for a dead spot in the "hook/curl area".

When run against man coverages, you see less, but you can see some, and those subtle signals can help tell you when your man is likely to go by telling you where some other guy is going.

b. Even more important than reading pattern, is the ability to read your man. Somehow by the end of the week. Revis has to find that in combination with months and sometimes years of tendencies, repetitions, down/distance, weather, etc. he has to figure how which clues will tell him what the pattern is on that play.

For example it might be as finite as noticing that on dig route a receiver might sink his hip deeper than he does in a comeback or with a double move. Or as easy as noticing that a receiver is a decoy when his hands are on his hips at the snap.

And BTW its not just one sided. I'm sure Reggie Wayne has run by numerous young DB's in his career that he "flashed" the decoy signal to and got off the ball lazily.....at first.

4. So now you get the idea. Revis will study all the receivers he's likely to cover. He will scan them for "tells" that might tell him some advanced info. The staff will brake down all the pass plays by formations, position groupings, and down and distance tendencies. Then he'll study those. Then he'll take it out to eh practice field and further reinforce the lessons

5. But here is the problem, guys. So are the rest of the DB is room studying JUST as hard, as well as the rest of the 325 odd DB's currently playing in the NFL are studying. Its not a matter of effort, or even physical talent. There has to be something more. Because there are a LOT of hard working physical freaks out there, but only about 3 are Dareelle Revis types in the league. You can use these explanations to show how Revis can do it, but NOT why 99% of the other DB's can't.....or at least not to that level.

So now that I've eliminated some some of the more ordinary reasons for Revis' success, Lets get the the strange and weird.

6.First let me ask you "what makes a great QB"? We we have seen a bunch come and go in recent years. We know it has little to do with arm strength. It has little to do with speed and running ability. These are all nice things, but no matter how good you your pro day is, it's not going to tell you in advance if you are going to be a great QB in the NFL.

To some degree, I believe that the biggest asset is the QBs ability to not only absorbs large amounts of data in 2-4 second bursts, but to assimilate and spit out the correct decisions just as quickly. AND then, and only then be able to execute an accurate throw.

I think to some degree, the same kind of "hard wiring" is going on in Revis's head, and damned few others on the planet. So to go along with all the studying of route running, pass patterns, tells, and clues, is the innate ability to either anticipate another players'movements, or the physical ability to to move simultaneously as another Receiver.

You can coach a player to be a good DB, but no one can coach him to be a Revis.
He just is.

BTW this was not the outcome of this post that I was anticipating when I started, bt I would add a cautionary tail. Before you spend the farm to get back this statistical rarity please remember what position he plays. Do not forget and that we went to a superbowl with 3 DB's (including 2 starting CB's) who couldn't start on our current team, let alone the rest of improvements we've made to this team

So as much as I want Revis back, and how good he's played, there has to be a certain line that we cannot cross for this guy......and this would be mine. for a 3 year deal.

1. $8.4MM/year guaranteed (unless for cause)
2.$ 388K/game for ever game he's on the roster
3. $1MM/bonus for every year the team makes it to the superbowl

So essentially this is $14MM/yr deal with 60% guaranteed 8.4 up front and the rest he gets paid when he plays...PLUS a million on top with a super bowl appearance. Ever better would being able to amortize it over 4 years BTW- I'd pay $16MM if he were 27, not 29

I havent't figured out the purpose of this thread, but it seemed like the right thing to do at the time....enjoy....or not ;)

If I were Revis' agent, I wouldn't even take your offer to my client. If I did, I would strongly recommend against any counter offer. There just isn't enough guaranteed money in the deal.

I see a starting offer of an $18M bonus and a $1M 2015 salary, with bonuses and later salaries to be negotiated. One resulting contract might be $14 AAV plus bonuses. The 2015 cap hit for the new contract would be $7M, a 2015 cap savings of $13M. There could be higher 2016 and 2017 salaries if the team is willing.

Revis is now under a $12M "show me" deal. Well he has shown everyone. I don't see how he would take less that $14M AAV now. Note that the 3rd year is essentially a team option at $14M. The base deal is really 2 years for $28M, IMHO well deserved.

SIGNING BONUS $18M
2015 $ 1M
2016 $ 9 M
2017 $14M
-------
$42M
 
Another great post. Thanks, Ken.

I love the stories about how Revis runs receiver's routes better than they do!
 
Epic post, and I was totally captivated, but the end confused me. You were gushing about Revis the whole time and then said to be careful about what you pay him? Obviously we can't throw a Mazzarotti contract at him (3/50) but wouldn't this be one player we can't let get away? He's an all timer and he has made such an impact. Anyways great post and it took me back to training camp where I too saw how special he was in person for the first time.
 
That sort of Football IQ is what separates the All time greats from other excellent players. Hopefully the Front Office puts together a salary structure to keep the correct people.

BTW when you spoke of QB's you hit the nail on why Bready (barring catastrophic injury) is far from done. His primary skill is his football genius iq not his physical skills combined with his passion for the game including relishing the year round work going into extending his NFL career he may be around for more years than people expect.
 
That sort of Football IQ is what separates the All time greats from other excellent players. Hopefully the Front Office puts together a salary structure to keep the correct people.

BTW when you spoke of QB's you hit the nail on why Bready (barring catastrophic injury) is far from done. His primary skill is his football genius iq not his physical skills combined with his passion for the game including relishing the year round work going into extending his NFL career he may be around for more years than people expect.

Select company of athletes who performed at high levels well into their 40s, Nolan Ryan (no-hitter at 44), Jack Nicklaus and Gordie Howe......No reason TFB couldn't potentially join that list...
 
Select company of athletes who performed at high levels well into their 40s, Nolan Ryan (no-hitter at 44), Jack Nicklaus and Gordie Howe......No reason TFB couldn't potentially join that list...


C'mon, Nicklaus doesn't count.
 
Epic post, and I was totally captivated, but the end confused me. You were gushing about Revis the whole time and then said to be careful about what you pay him? Obviously we can't throw a Mazzarotti contract at him (3/50) but wouldn't this be one player we can't let get away? He's an all timer and he has made such an impact. Anyways great post and it took me back to training camp where I too saw how special he was in person for the first time.
.... and that's why BB gets the big bucks, because he has the stones to make those kinds of decisions. Clearly I love to watch Revis play. I am astounded by some of the things he does, and if he isn't the finest practitioner in the league, there are only 2 or 3 others ,and while they might be AS good, none are better.. Is that glowing enough.

But here is the case for NOT paying the kind of money the Mazz's of the world seem to be so eager to give to just one guy.

1. He's a CB. If there is one thing we've proven this year is that you need 10 good ones, not just one. so while there is only one Revis we somehow managed to win a few games over the last few years without him. Even a QB has a limit to his worth and he's worth much more than a CB

2. If used like Rex did, a CB can be isolated or at least have his impact minimized by simply avoiding him. BB did that very effectively during Revis' Jets years. It also helps with this strategy if you DON'T have a couple of diva wr's who need to be constantly fed. (check)

3. .....and the most important to my mind, is that, in its wisdom. the NFL has virtually legislated the CB out of being an impact position. Or at least made it much harder for a CB to succeed. When I marvel at Revis each week, I literally mourn not to be able to have seen him play on a regular basis, before DB's were castrated.

4. The rules situation is likely to get worse long before it gets better. How does it make sense to overpay for a talent your own league won't let you use.

No I'm not saying we should just let him go, or not offer him some big money. I'm really not that far off from some of the crazy numbers being tossed about. If you look over the deal I proposed, I'm offering $14MM/yr on a 3 year deal, and the only caveat I ask of him is that he actually get on the field in order to collect 40% of the total..
 
If I were Revis' agent, I wouldn't even take your offer to my client. If I did, I would strongly recommend against any counter offer. There just isn't enough guaranteed money in the deal.

I see a starting offer of an $18M bonus and a $1M 2015 salary, with bonuses and later salaries to be negotiated. One resulting contract might be $14 AAV plus bonuses. The 2015 cap hit for the new contract would be $7M, a 2015 cap savings of $13M. There could be higher 2016 and 2017 salaries if the team is willing.

Revis is now under a $12M "show me" deal. Well he has shown everyone. I don't see how he would take less that $14M AAV now. Note that the 3rd year is essentially a team option at $14M. The base deal is really 2 years for $28M, IMHO well deserved.

SIGNING BONUS $18M
2015 $ 1M
2016 $ 9 M
2017 $14M
-------
$42M
I don't get your point. I'm offering more money (or the same with incentives) and YOU won't show my offer?????? You prick That's why I hat agents. ;)

Fro what I can gather, the only difference between my offer and yours, is I have the temerity to expect him to wait for him to EARN his money, before I pay it.
 
If I were Revis' agent, I wouldn't even take your offer to my client. If I did, I would strongly recommend against any counter offer. There just isn't enough guaranteed money in the deal.

I see a starting offer of an $18M bonus and a $1M 2015 salary, with bonuses and later salaries to be negotiated. One resulting contract might be $14 AAV plus bonuses. The 2015 cap hit for the new contract would be $7M, a 2015 cap savings of $13M. There could be higher 2016 and 2017 salaries if the team is willing.

Revis is now under a $12M "show me" deal. Well he has shown everyone. I don't see how he would take less that $14M AAV now. Note that the 3rd year is essentially a team option at $14M. The base deal is really 2 years for $28M, IMHO well deserved.

SIGNING BONUS $18M
2015 $ 1M
2016 $ 9 M
2017 $14M
-------
$42M
Then again the question is if Revis would take a 2 year $14M AAV contract like that. Or if he would rather get a realistic 3 year $14M contract. I think it's much better for both the team and Revis to do a real 3 year deal because it benefits both of them.

The contract you responded too would most likely be better for Revis if the base, as stated, is guaranteed as it's unlikely that he's inactive. I don't understand why you say that the contract is so much worse than the one you suggest, when it's actually better if he plays.
 
Last edited:
I don't get your point. I'm offering more money (or the same with incentives) and YOU won't show my offer?????? You prick That's why I hat agents. ;)

Fro what I can gather, the only difference between my offer and yours, is I have the temerity to expect him to wait for him to EARN his money, before I pay it.
:)

Guaranteed money is much more important than AAV. Obviously, every team would like to have your strategy of not giving the players a lot of guaranteed money. For the record, I don't disagree with the idea of incentives, over and above the $14M base AAV. It is the guaranteed money that is the issue.

And yes, feel free to hate agents who represent the players, rather than the team or the fans.
 
:)

Guaranteed money is much more important than AAV. Obviously, every team would like to have your strategy of not giving the players a lot of guaranteed money. For the record, I don't disagree with the idea of incentives, over and above the $14M base AAV. It is the guaranteed money that is the issue.

And yes, feel free to hate agents who represent the players, rather than the team or the fans.
The contract you responded to had more guaranteed money than the contract you suggested.
 
Then again the question is if Revis would take a 2 year $14M AAV contract like that. Or if he would rather get a realistic 3 year $14M contract. I think it's much better for both the team and Revis to do a real 3 year deal because it benefits both of them.

The contract you responded too would most likely be better for Revis if the base, as stated, is guaranteed as it's unlikely that he's inactive. I don't understand why you say that the contract is so much worse than the one you suggest, when it's actually better if he plays.

Guaranteed money is the key. Yes, I agree that Revis might prefer a 3-year deal that has HIM taking less risk to get the $14M in the 3rd year. Revis might consider the deal I set out as a 2-year $14 AAV deal with a team option for a 3rd year.

The contract I put out there gives Revis $19M ($18M plus $1M) up-front. Is that enough? Is it too much? Someone with more knowledge of other contracts to top corners can weigh in on this subject.

Perhaps Revis will command more guaranteed money. One way to do that is to have a bonus in the second year. Perhaps, the 2nd year could have $8M in bonus money and $4M in salary. This $3M increase in 2014 compensation would be made up by a reduction of 2017 to $11M.
===========
AN ASIDE
Patriot fans are now used to contracts with lots and lots of game day incentives, and protections to the team. There are two different kind of situations where we do this. The first is on very long term contracts: Brady, Mayo and Gronk. The second is on players who have been severely injured once or twice and who are not healthy at the time of signing. Wilfork is an example. Mayo will likely be an example in 2015.

Teams protect themselves. Players protect themselves. Players often would rather have guaranteed money in the early years of a contract rather than a high contract total AAV.

A healthy Revis will command a lot of guaranteed money in the market. Do you disagree? Personally, I think the $14M AAV number that we've been discussing for awhile will be fiction if Revis continues to play well and is healthy at the end of the season.

BOTTOM LINE
Sure, a team should want a player to earn his money every year, and for a player to have very little guaranteed money. That just doesn't happen in the world of free agency. The time has long gone when the teams can dictate what contract levels should be.
 
The contract you responded to had more guaranteed money than the contract you suggested.
If I've misunderstood ken's proposal, I certainly apologize to him. His post was awesome. Neither he nor I would short change Revis.

Under Ken's proposal, if Revis is injured in Training Camp, how much is guaranteed?

IMHO, there are only two real issues. How much money is guaranteed (and for what), and how much money is Revis likely to earn under "normal" scenarios.

The team and Revis will negotiated how much risk each will take on a contract that IMHO will total MORE than $14M AAV over at least three years, probably more. IMHO, all the suspenders of protecting the team are appropriate (in the market for top players) only for long term contract and for injured players.
=========
The market for Revis will be an open one. How much would GB offer? I'm sure that there are several playoff quality teams that would be interested in his services. And, YES, I believe that Revis would love to sign a 3 year deal to play here with Brady and Gronk.
 
:)

Guaranteed money is much more important than AAV. Obviously, every team would like to have your strategy of not giving the players a lot of guaranteed money. For the record, I don't disagree with the idea of incentives, over and above the $14M base AAV. It is the guaranteed money that is the issue.

And yes, feel free to hate agents who represent the players, rather than the team or the fans.
Yeah, but the problem is when you are forking out 42 odd million that you'd like at least the EXPECTATION that it be earned. In my deal, 60% is fully guaranteed even from injury. All he has to do to earn all or part of the rest is actually play the game. no funny money.......cash on the table. $28MM guaranteed the day the deal is signed (only paid out over 3), and 14 Million paid out in addtional per game checks over the 3 year period. He doesn't even have to be good enough to start to get paid each week. Just good enough to be useful

It was never my intention that this contract be like so many in the NFL. So while I believe Revis isn't worth more than 14mm (and I'd rather be closer to 12), I think he talent deserves the kind of contract that is a majority guaranteed, and the team is protected against season ending injuries. This is a LIKELY to be made "incentive" since all he has to do is pick up his $388K check every week he's still in the defensive game plan. This is NOT an onerous caveat. Its more than fairly compensates Reveis for elite play. A good contract is never just one way.
 
If I've misunderstood ken's proposal, I certainly apologize to him. His post was awesome. Neither he nor I would short change Revis.

Under Ken's proposal, if Revis is injured in Training Camp, how much is guaranteed?

IMHO, there are only two real issues. How much money is guaranteed (and for what), and how much money is Revis likely to earn under "normal" scenarios.

The team and Revis will negotiated how much risk each will take on a contract that IMHO will total MORE than $14M AAV over at least three years, probably more. IMHO, all the suspenders of protecting the team are appropriate (in the market for top players) only for long term contract and for injured players.
=========
The market for Revis will be an open one. How much would GB offer? I'm sure that there are several playoff quality teams that would be interested in his services. And, YES, I believe that Revis would love to sign a 3 year deal to play here with Brady and Gronk.
If you fully guarantee the base in Ken's proposal then $25,2M is guaranteed. With $6,2M each year being tied to being active in games. You could just as well make 22M into a signing bonus so he gets it right away and then the remaining $3M as base salary each year.
 
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