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Idle Thoughts – The mid-way through camp edition


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1) BB over reacted

2) the media caught onto it

3) It got into the kid's psyche.

It could have been handled alot better.

No BB saw a technique problem, and coached him up. Then moved on. He didn't even admit he benched Ridley this time; but he couldn't simply condone the loose ball. That is as far as Belichick went.

The Mediots saw a story and overdid it as usual.
 
Lots of discussions are going on about possible “final” rosters and who is hot and who is not. I have had some ideas about what is going on this camp and thought this would be a good time to put them down on paper.

Really good stuff, Ken. A few thoughts:

1. This is going to be perhaps, the deepest Pats team in the BB era. Maybe not the best front line talent ever, but certainly we will have more quality depth at more positions than at any time in memory.

When you look at QB, RB, OL WR, DL, and DB’s. They all run 3 deep in relative quality talent, especially given all the position flexibility we have there. Only the TE’s and LB positions are looking a bit thin, and even there, there can be arguments made that we are fine.

I don’t think that this is by accident. I think BB knows how lucky he was to have survived the injury devastation that plagued us all last season and still wind up 12-4 and in the AFCCG. So to that end he restocked the OL with young talent. Restocked the DL with a bevy of more versatile athletic guys, and packed a secondary with more talent than we’ve ever seen. Many of last year’s starters on a good team, are going to be struggling for playing time on this year’s edition. As a fan you have to LOVE it.

I think that is why we are seeing the myriad of musical chair rotations with the OL, WR’s, DL, and DB’s. BB is preparing his team for the worst by maximizing his team’s position flexibility. You’d be hard pressed to think of a player who will make this roster and be unable to play multiple positions.

2. Every year after the draft we all wring our hands complaining about the picks we made, and even more often the picks we DIDN’T make. This year we all whined about the WR we didn’t pick, the CB we didn’t take. I for one complained bitterly about that hybrid S/.LB we didn’t take. The kind of guy exemplified by Shazir, KPL and the kid from Montana that the Dolphins drafted whose name escapes me.

Well it seems that BB filled those needs in FA with Butler, Tyms, and D.Flemming all making big impressions in the first few weeks of TC. Butler and Tyms have already been widely discussed, but Flemming is also pressing for a roster spot.

I’m constantly amazed how on such a consistently successful team, BB finds one or two young FA’s EVERY year talented enough to make a difficult roster. This year looks to be no different.

You've sold me on Darius Fleming. I really hope he sticks. And I generally agree with your arguments about depth. I think BB wants as much experience as deep as possible. The season is a war of attrition.

It's become more and more clear to me how much of a crapshoot the draft is, and how difficult it is to separate the top 250 players from the next group. Every year there are a ton of guys with day 1-2 talent who go undrafted, for various reasons: character issues, off-field issues, injuries, poor workout numbers, etc. Vontaze Burfict, Da'Rick Rodgers, AC Leonard, Colt Lyerla, Christian Jones, etc. These are very talented guys. The odds on each guy are low, but in the aggregate it seems that there are always a couple of gems to be found. OTG has been way ahead in terms of planning to load up on UDFAs every year and see who sticks. It's a great and cost-effective way to go.

3. I don’t think enough has been said about Vince Wilfolk’s remarkable return from such a devastating injury, ESPECIALLY given his size and age. I was one who felt the Pats were better off clearing the cap space, because the MOST we could reasonably expect from him this season was to be a decent run stopper on GL and SY situations.

However, by all reports, Vince is back to being an impact DLman; and is a lot closer to the guy who was a consensus ALL PRO in 2012, playing over 85% of the defensive snaps, to the limited shell of his former self, most of us expected. So while it wouldn’t be realistic to see him play at the 2012 level for so many snaps, it’s safe to say all our expectations for him have got to be raised. Medically it was a remarkable recovery IMHO.

BTW- Tommy Kelly’s, ACL recovery isn’t far behind.

I have been openly skeptical about Wilfork's ability to come back effectively, and so far I'm eating crow big time. I'm keeping my fingers crossed that he truly does have the explosiveness when it comes to combat, and that he doesn't re-injure himself, but so far I've been way off on this one.

4. So with the Worthy acquisition, the quick start shown by Easley, and solid improvement shown by Joe Villano, plus Chris Jones, Silga, Kelly and Vince, we are starting look like we might have an excess of quality talent at the DT position for a change. So it got me thinking that, with all the injuries around the league (D Dockett being the latest), the Pats might have a nice trade option come open before the end of the pre-season.

5. I don’t think enough has been made of the fact the Pats have, for the most part, played a pretty vanilla 3-4 for the first 2 games. Clearly the personnel is geared to the 4-3. The Worthy acquisition screams 4-3. So why haven’t we been running it? For the most part so far, our best pass rusher from last season has been dropping back in coverage. What’s up with that? I’d love to get into BB’s head to find out what the point is with all this 3-4 play….because I know there IS one.

Good thoughts. As you say, the personnel is geared to a 4-3, or at least to a multiple defense rather than a pure 3-4. I don't expect the 3-4 to hold come regular season, but it's been an intriguing storyline that hasn't gotten much attention.

I'm personally rooting for Worthy to stick. I think it was Brady6 (if not, I apologize) who called him an "Armstead replacement", and I think that's a good way to look at it.

6. Here are my positions on all the most talked about issues

a. I’m getting more and more comfortable with our situation at TE. I know it looks incredibly thin compared to recent years, but the past is the past. Between Gronk Hooman, Devlin, LaFell, and Solder, the Pats have enough talent to align in 2 TE’s and take advantage of what that alignment gives to an offense.

Among those are forcing defenses to be balanced. Forcing outside pass rushers wider. Taking advantage of smaller players in the run game, and bigger players in passing game. Better pass blocking. The disadvantage is of course not being able to spread the field as much as you can in 3 and 4 WR formations.

b. As of right now Tyms looks like he deserves a roster spot over Josh Boyce. If he keeps up his progression, he’ll get one when he comes back from suspension. The key thing is he has to keep getting better. BB has talked about players in the past who get off to fast starts in TC and for some reason just stall. I don’t think Tyms is going to be such a player, but he still has more to prove.

c. Josh Boyce is likely to keep his roster spot for at least the first 4 games. I think he’s progressed nicely this TC. I’ve seen none of the lazy attitude from him that certain haters have ascribed to him. He’s doing OK, its just Tyms is doing better….right now.

d. More and more posts have been made to show that, while we’d all like him to do it less, Steven Ridley’s so call fumbling issues are more the norm in the league than the exception. Yet somehow his name is connected to fumbling so much more than any other RB in the league, even those who fumble more than he does. He is our best RB, and we need him to be our best RB for this offense to reach its full potential. RB’s will occasionally fumble, and as long as their ball security technique is sound we should all just deal with it and stop making it seem like a capital crime when the inevitable happens .

e. I once thought I had a handle on what would be the best starting OL for this season. Now I haven't a clue. I will be very interested to see how if all finally turns out. For now BB is making it an adventure in learning with almost every series. :eek:

I agree that Boyce has been underwhelming, but I think he's likely to stick initially. He'll either work his way on as a kick returner, improve as a WR, or be bumped by Tyms or someone else. But I'm nowhere near as confident as I was before TC started, and it certainly wouldn't surprise me to see him get bumped.

Like you, I haven't a clue at this point about how the OL will sort out, or the depth at DL.
 
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Do you want a public announcement with regard to a locked in third DE? I don't.

Last year we had a very raw Buchanan, Bequette and Carter. In total they got few reps.

This year, we have Smith and an improved Buchanan (not a high bar). We even could keep Bequette if Belichick thinks that he is worthy. Various others can play DE in a 3-4 set. Worthy could be part of the puzzle.

IMHO, the backup situation is better than last year by quite a bit. To me, it is unimportant if posters don't know how the backups will be used, or even who will make the 53 man roster.

I'd feel better about the team's overall depth if we went reliably even two deep at safety, or three deep at TE, or had a more locked-in DE3. This team seems to be a bit of a hybrid: excellent depth in some positions, and really suspect depth in others. Pretty much par for the course on a salary cap-era team.
 
Fleming is competing against Beauharnais and White for 1 or 2 LB/ST positions. Anderson seems to be safe as the #4 position linebacker is a system than averages 2.2 linebackers on the field.

The 5th LB is an emergency position linebacker (see Collins and Fletcher last year). However, this player must be top special teamer. The 6th LB/LB position might reasonably be given to a SS/STer.

It seems that that Fleming could make the 53, but he is more likely to be on the Practice Squad. I hope that I am wrong and that he has progressed enough to beat out Beauharnais and White for the 5th LB roster spot.
 
Deep? Really?

S, TE, DE, LB, are all thin. And the o-line may have a bunch of bodies, but they haven't exactly looked so hot thus far.

Why do you even bother posting when it's pretty clear you didn't read PFK's entire post? If you had, you'd have seen that he made sure to mention TE and LB as places the Pats were thin. BTW, the Pats aren't thin at DE, contrary to your ramblings. And they are only thin at one safety spot.

As for the O-line, you might want to go back and re-watch the games to see what was going on with them. You might actually learn something, though I doubt it.
 
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