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Been saying this for months now. Been typing it so much I have blisters on my fingers.
Or how about instead of re-inventing the wheel we just use what's already available and smart bettors already know.
Use their actual scoring ability or scoring allowed efficiency which is easily available to anyone in yards per point.
NE's defense is rated #2 in the league and GB #4. San Francisco is still #1. Pittsburg #3. Baltimore #7.
Doesn't that make a little bit more sense?
It does when you start looking at offenses too, considering it matches up better than any other stat to their actual freaking winning records. Especially when you consider 90% of the time the more efficient offense wins the football game for the day. A team with an inefficient offense like Pittsburgh, rather 27th, wasn't really an overdog to the Broncos who were tracking 11th all season, and 15th in defense. Sure they rank lower now, but still higher then Pittsburg when they faced and that was even connsidering their 1-4 start with Orton and after their 3 game skid. They got exposed by a much more balanced team.
Or you know...people can continue to be "upset" and lose money on betting and leave this up to the ones who know about it to continue to rob them on football bets
It's funny because in the NBA, offensive efficiency is listed right there on ESPN and it's incredibly accurate. They rely on it in college football too. But in the NFL, where it's most appropriate and works best....oh no....they bury it and confuse people with yards, red-zone stats and a bunch of other meaningless crap.
Been saying this for months now. Been typing it so much I have blisters on my fingers.
Or how about instead of re-inventing the wheel we just use what's already available and smart bettors already know.
Use their actual scoring ability or scoring allowed efficiency which is easily available to anyone in yards per point.
NE's defense is rated #2 in the league and GB #4. San Francisco is still #1. Pittsburg #3. Baltimore #7.
Doesn't that make a little bit more sense?
It does when you start looking at offenses too, considering it matches up better than any other stat to their actual freaking winning records. Especially when you consider 90% of the time the more efficient offense wins the football game for the day. A team with an inefficient offense like Pittsburgh, 27th, wasn't really an overdog to the Broncos who were tracking 11th all season, and 15th in defense. Sure they rank lower now, but still higher then Pittsburg when they faced and that was even connsidering their 1-4 start with Orton and after their 3 game skid. They got exposed by a much more balanced team. And the 27th most inefficient offense is rarely going to beat the number 11th offense, despite their #1 defense. A number 11 offense can move against the #1 defense. A number 27th offense can't move without committing some kind of costly mistake, like a turnover, which is exactly what they did. It was a given.
Or you know...people can continue to be "upset" and lose money on betting and leave this up to the ones who know about it to continue to rob them on football bets
It's funny because in the NBA, offensive efficiency is listed right there on ESPN and it's incredibly accurate. They rely on it in college football too. But in the NFL, where it's most appropriate and works best....oh no....they bury it and confuse people with yards, red-zone stats and a bunch of other meaningless crap.
