Not really. OP asked "Can we trust the scouts?" I'm just pointing out it's a lot harder to know the answer for sure because of how badly Belichick botched his development.
Let's say they had signed Hopkins this year and kept Karras in 2022 so they could draft Tyler Smith instead of Strange. If...
In particular, whoever was compiling the draft data on QBs almost certainly wasn't thinking, "What would happen if we completely derailed his development after his rookie year?"
One point to note here: 3 to 6 was the equivalent of two 2s and a 3 that year, if one goes by the rule that a pick a year from now is worth one round less. By that same logic, 3 to 12 was the equivalent of a 2, a 3, and a 4.
That said, Miami did not need a QB; the Patriots do. I don't know what...
A few minor points here:
(1) Yes, teams can roll over cap space, but they must be pro-active about it; it doesn't happen automatically. That said, since the current roll over system was implemented in 2011, the Patriots have always rolled over 100% of their cap space.
(2) The 2020 CBA set up the...
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