What if...?

[He Ban Me]

Sorry if this has been posted, just saw it on Fox Sports. Thought you guys might be interested.

http://www.whatifsports.com/fox_nfl/ind_ne.asp

 

[PatsDeb]

Re: What if....?

An interesting exercise, but how can Tom Brady have 2 Ints and Manning have none if this is based on this year's play?

 

[invasian]

Re: What if....?

2 INTS for brady...pfft...please.

 

[He Ban Me]

Re: What if....?

2 INTS for brady...pfft...please.

Looks like Brackett took June's place as TB's favorite receiver

 

[Nordy]

Re: What if....?

Well this is what it said about the 2006 teams. How accurate was it?


http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/boxscore.asp?GameID=2967783&ad=1

 

[IndyKen]

Re: What if....?

Colts fans have got to have some hope to cling to......

 

[BingoBrown]

Re: What if....?

The Pats have scored on their first drive of every game
this year and we score 0 in the first Q?

 

[He Ban Me]

Re: What if....?

Well this is what it said about the 2006 teams. How accurate was it?


http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/boxscore.asp?GameID=2967783&ad=1

DOH!!

 

[PatsFanInVa]

Re: What if....?

I like how Tommy has waited for this game to have 50% of his interceptions in 9 games (and of course, to throw a season-low 2 TDs.)

Drek.

I think this game might indeed be a toss-up, ever the pessimist, when I use my brain and repeat the mantras like "remember, the Colts are undefeated... remember, these are the super bowl champs..." etc.

Secretly, I am all giddy and expecting the big "OH OHHHHHHH," when the Pats win handily.

But I would under no circumstances -- including the circumstance of being an Indy fan -- give the edge to Indy.

PFnV

 

[amazinPats]

I wouldn't be surprised at all if Brady gets picked off once or twice this Sunday. I still don't think it would lead to a Colts victory. I also expect Petyon to get at least a pick this Sunday as well. I believe both defences will get a score.

 

[BoltsFan]

Re: What if....?

2 INTS for brady...pfft...please.

Okay, wait a minute. Are you suggesting that TB can't throw 2 ints in a game this season? Are you suggesting nobody can force NE to make a mistake? Or are you suggesting nobody can make it happen, if it happens then it's just NE and/or TB's bad? Which is it?

 

[bradmahn]

Re: What if....?

Okay, wait a minute. Are you suggesting that TB can't throw 2 ints in a game this season? Are you suggesting nobody can force NE to make a mistake? Or are you suggesting nobody can make it happen, if it happens then it's just NE and/or TB's bad? Which is it?

I believe what he is saying (and I apologize if this is an incorrect interpretation) is that it is foolish to assume that Brady will throw those two INTs, let alone anticipate them. So, neither, ya prick.

 

[Brady to Brown]

Brady has 2 Ints and 30 TD's YTD. If we are to assume he gives 2 picks should we not assume he gets 180 points (30 TD's) as well?

 

[xmarkd400x]

My biggest issue: the big plays.


Lets take a look at the Big Play Index, courtesy of Cold, Hard, Football Facts:
http://coldhardfootballfacts.com/Articles/2_1663_2007_Big_Play_Index.html

The nine "Big Plays" are:

Fumble recovery
Interception
Defensive score (return TD, safety)
Pass play of 40 yards or more
Run play of 25 yards or more
Kick return of 60 yards or more
Punt return of 40 yards or more
Blocked kick or punt
50-yard+ field goal

To date, the Pats have allowed 11 over 8 games averaging 1.375 per game. According to this, the Pats allow:
2 Rushing big plays (29 and 56 yards)
2 INTS
2 Passing big plays (45 and 41 yards)
1 FG (56 yards)

That's a grand total of 7. I don't think so.

 

[JJDChE]

Does it say 52-7 if you plug in the Skins-Pats matchup?

 

[BoltsFan]

Re: What if....?

I believe what he is saying (and I apologize if this is an incorrect interpretation) is that it is foolish to assume that Brady will throw those two INTs, let alone anticipate them. So, neither, ya prick.

Heheh, this is what I suspected. Sigh. NE is playing very well right now no doubt. We'll just have to see what the future holds.

 

[pheenix11]

If we tinker with that program a little can we see when Peyton's next date with Kenny Chesney is?

 

[thechris]

I would puke all over myself if we lost due to an OT field goal from Adam the traitor.

 

[FreakGoDeep]

10:28 3/7 own 37 0 - 0 221 Evans is caught behind the line for a loss of 4 yards.


so 3rd and 7 in the first quarter we're running evans???
very accurate.

 

[Ethan 55]

Re: What if....?

Well this is what it said about the 2006 teams. How accurate was it?


http://www.whatifsports.com/nfl/boxscore.asp?GameID=2967783&ad=1

Ditto. I ran 5 sims between the 2006 teams and the Patriots dominated in all of them. Average score of about 35-17. So it seems like something fun to do, but without a lot to back it up.

Accuscore is a system that is more interested in predicting what will happen for gambling purposes, whereas whatifsports is built more for hypothetical matchups and entertainment value. Accuscore has the Patriots winning 62% of their sims in Indy (would be 77% in NE) and winning by an average score of 31-27. In running simulations between this year's teams and last year's teams, they clearly rank the teams as such:

'07 Patriots
'07 Colts
'06 Colts
'06 Patriots

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=3085707