Seems that all Mr. Know-it-all can use as an excuse for not picking the Pats is one bad half of football. Gee, I wonder how the Colts were picked year-in and year-out after their playoff blunders:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/peter_king/06/03/mmqb/index.html
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/peter_king/06/03/mmqb/index.html