Spread on Pats to Win Sunday Rising (fast)

[PatsFanSince74]

Looks like Vegas is "once burned, twice shy" when it comes to spreads on late season Patriots games in Foxboro.

You might recall that last week most houses waited until Sunday or Monday to lift a 3 1/2 or 4 point spread to 6 points when, as was reported in the media, 55% of the money was being put on the Patriots.

This week, it's only taken them a day to lift the spread from 3 points up to 5 1/2 and even 6 points (MGM Mirage for the latter); I think a few casinos lost some serious bucks on the game last week.

 

[Double TE]

QB Driven league. You want to bet on a TB or CK? Hmmmmmmm.....

 

[denverpatsfan]

They will get burned again. I expect a close game. Pats have lost to Seattle and Arizona this season. Can they beat an NFC West team? Tough defenses.

 

[Double TE]

They lost early in the year? Different team now and it was the D not the O that lost the game that was actually IN Seattle.

Not sure I see a correlation here.

 

[SoCal Bong]

Yeah I was in Vegas this past weekend and could have gotten 3 on Saturday but wasn't ready to place that bet yet so I waited. On my way out of town on Monday it went to 3.5 and I didn't want to bet it then only to get bitten by the hook and then after MNF it shot up to 6. Could go up to 7 by game day which would be a great middle opportunity (bet both sides and hope the Pats win by 4-6 points and win both bets).

 

[JMC00]

They will get burned again. I expect a close game. Pats have lost to Seattle and Arizona this season. Can they beat an NFC West team? Tough defenses.

beat St Louis 45-7. Who took San Fran to the distance twice tying them once and beating the other

Arizona- lost on a debatable holding call and a missed FG

Seattle- should have taken the FG before the end of the first half

 

[denverpatsfan]

Agreed but this isn't Alex Smith they are facing either. CK is the type of rookie that gives this team fits. I hope I am wrong and it's another enjoyable blow-out but I think it will be a tough game.

 

[shmessy]

beat St Louis 45-7. Who took San Fran to the distance twice tying them once and beating the other

Arizona- lost on a debatable holding call and a missed FG

Seattle- should have taken the FG before the end of the first half

Let's face it. But for 4 points in Sept-Oct, this is a 13-0 team that just crushed an 11-1 team while missing the GREATEST TIGHT END WHO EVER LIVED.

Anything can happen, but with this running game, this team could be right up there with the 2004 and 2007 editions.

 

[PatsFanSince74]

...this isn't Alex Smith they are facing either. CK is the type of rookie that gives this team fits...

A big "yep" there. I'm nervous about Kaepernick.

I'm also probably the only person on this Board who is NOT happy about playing @JAX next week. Assuming they lose to Miami, nobody in their right mind wants to play a 2--12 team in December in what will be its Super Bowl. It is still an NFL team.

 

[Uncle Rico]

...
I'm also probably the only person on this Board who is NOT happy about playing @JAX next week. Assuming they lose to Miami, nobody in their right mind wants to play a 2--12 team in December in what will be its Super Bowl. It is still an NFL team.

Not so sure about that.

 

[ctpatsfan77]

Not so sure about that.

To quote Patriots Planet:

Back in 2007, Cris Collinsworth, describing NE@MIA: “So far today we saw 23 teams play football and the Patriots play something else. We don’t know what that is.”

That "something else" was the Dolphins. I don't know that what they do qualifies as "Football". :nooo:

 

[PatsFanSince74]

Not so sure about that.

Famous Last Words...

 

[IllegalContact]

Agreed but this isn't Alex Smith they are facing either. CK is the type of rookie that gives this team fits. I hope I am wrong and it's another enjoyable blow-out but I think it will be a tough game.

and the same CK that cost his team the game....literally

 

[PATSYLICIOUS]

I'm expecting a closer game, kind of like the home game vs. GB late in 2010. Though our offense was good I don't think they were 42 points good on Monday. Got a couple penalties extending drives, one being questionable. The bomb to Stallworth who's no longer here. The fumbles bouncing right to us. And SF's defense is better than Houston's IMO. With each week Gronk is out it's going to be harder and harder to stay potent. I expect our O to struggle a bit in this one but I see us pulling it out with a solid D performance.

 

[reflexblue]

They will get burned again. I expect a close game. Pats have lost to Seattle and Arizona this season. Can they beat an NFC West team? Tough defenses.

While i automatically think of SF as a real tough out when i looked at who they beat by how much they're wins aren't that impressive. But i fully accept that i could be wrong on this. To my knowlege SF hasn't dominated or destroyed teams.This week they're traveling across country to play a team that is 20-0 in home games in Dec. and possibly in sleet and freezing rain.. They're a run first team that does enough to winStill out of any team they scare me the most. Ahh except for the giants, in the playoffs.

 

[borg]

The interesting number for me is the lack of completions to Vernon Davis in the last 3 games. Since a 6 catch game vs Chicago in Kaepernick's 1st start, a total of 3 catches in 3 games.
And without Manningham, the QB has been leaning on Crabtree. If the Pats can eliminate his binky, then his inexperience may come into play.
My guess...this will be a field position game and BB will want to make SF prove that Kaepernick can move the ball efficiently 80 yards at a time.....by stringing together lots of short passes. Kind of reminds me of 2001 Brady.....high %, short passes.
Can't wait for this one....a real coaches game

 

[The Gr8est]

While i automatically think of SF as a real tough out when i looked at who they beat by how much they're wins aren't that impressive. But i fully accept that i could be wrong on this. To my knowlege SF hasn't dominated or destroyed teams.This week they're traveling across country to play a team that is 20-0 in home games in Dec. and possibly in sleet and freezing rain.. They're a run first team that does enough to winStill out of any team they scare me the most. Ahh except for the giants, in the playoffs.

They beat the rodents 34-0.

Then again, there is that old "is that really an NFL team?" argument.

 

[Uncle Rico]

Famous Last Words...

Yeah, no point getting ****y.

But hey, let's not look pass the Niners this week, OK? As some here point out often, it's very important that we fans take it one game at a time.

 

[PatsFanSince74]

Yeah, no point getting ****y.

But hey, let's not look pass the Niners this week, OK? As some here point out often, it's very important that we fans take it one game at a time.

yeah, especially since this is not a team to look beyond. Kaepernick scares the **** out of me; I don't like QB's who prolong the play out of the pocket, even if, as RGIII and Michael Vick have reminded us this year, their NFL longevity might be brief...all I care is that we have to play the dude this week.

as for next week, 2--10 teams at home, playing for jobs, pride and fans (unfortunately in that order) are scary because the entire playbook will be open, because "four down territory" might start a little beyond midfield and, most importantly, because pissed-off players are more likely to play recklessly and cause injuries...I mean, they might think getting kicked out of the game and suspended for the last week is actually a good thing (thank goodness for fines as an incentive).

 

[Froob]

beat St Louis 45-7. Who took San Fran to the distance twice tying them once and beating the other

Arizona- lost on a debatable holding call and a missed FG

Seattle- should have taken the FG before the end of the first half

I think they should have have been able to take that FG. Never seen that kind of intentional grounding call, throwing it out of the back of the endzone in my years watching the game. But w/e guess Brady is the only one who gets called for grounding these days lol.