Midway Stats and Projections Going Forward

[ivanvamp]

Here are some statistics and what I project will be those stats by season's end.

Brady
Stats: 209-320 (65.3%), 2408 yds, 16 td, 3 int
Proj: 420-635 (66.1%), 4735 yds, 35 td, 7 int

Ridley
Stats: 150 att, 716 yds, 4.8 ypc, 5 td
Proj: 280 att, 1380 yds, 4.9 ypc, 9 td

Vereen
Stats: 17 att, 72 yds, 4.2 ypc, 2 td
Proj: 70 att, 301 yds, 4.3 ypc, 6 td

Welker
Stats: 60 rec, 736 yds, 12.3 ypc, 2 td
Proj: 101 rec, 1202 yds, 11.9 ypc, 4 td

Gronkowski
Stats: 43 rec, 580 yds, 13.5 ypc, 7 td
Proj: 90 rec, 1233 yds, 13.7 ypc, 15 td

Hernandez
Stats: 17 rec, 143 yds, 8.4 ypc, 2 td
Proj: 52 rec, 470 yds, 9.0 ypc, 6 td

Lloyd
Stats: 37 rec, 435 yds, 11.8 ypc, 3 td
Proj: 60 rec, 750 yds, 12.5 ypc, 5 td

Jones
Stats: 6 sacks, 33 tackles+assists, 3 FF
Proj: 11 sacks, 55 tackles+assists, 5 FF, 1 DTD

Mayo
Stats: 1 sack, 1 INT, 3 FF, 78 tackles+assists
Proj: 1 sack, 2 INT, 4 FF, 135 tackles+assists


I think the Pats as a team will end up with the #1 offense in the league in points (averaging about 34 ppg by season's end) and yards (averaging over 450 ypg). I think they'll end up with a defense that's around #10 in scoring (give or take a few) and #22-24 in yards allowed.

I think they go 7-1 in their last 8 and make it to the playoffs as the #2 seed somehow, with a 12-4 record.

 

[Metaphors]

Brady Completion Percentage:
2009: 65.7
2010: 65.9
2011: 65.6
2012: 65.3

That is just silly consistency. I'll put him down for 65.6% for the end of 2012 and feel pretty confident.

 

[ivanvamp]

Brady Completion Percentage:
2009: 65.7
2010: 65.9
2011: 65.6
2012: 65.3

That is just silly consistency. I'll put him down for 65.6% for the end of 2012 and feel pretty confident.

Yeah, that is pretty amazing.

 

[manxman2601]

Brady Completion Percentage:

(Edited out)
2010: 65.9
2011: 65.6
2012: 65.3

That is just silly consistency. I'll put him down for 65.6% for the end of 2012 and feel pretty confident.

You see!. He's regressing.

 

[Patsfanin Philly]

You see!. He's regressing.

I know you're kidding and not to sound like Giselle but if there were a few less drops (team is tied for 7th most with 20)

Football | NFL | Team Leaders - Passes Dropped - washingtonpost.com
even drop to the league average of 16.5 ( roughly 2 a game) his numbers would be higher...

 

[Metaphors]

Yeah, that is pretty amazing.

I'm sure it isn't unprecedented (I think Manning had a similar stretch a few years back) but consider the offensive lineup changes over those 4 years:

2009 First Game (2012 First Game)

QB Brady (Brady)
RB Taylor (Ridley)
WR Moss (Lloyd)
WR Welker (Welker)
TE Watson (Gronkowski)
TE Baker (Hernandez)
OT Light (Solder)
OG Mankins (Mankins)
C Koppen (Wendell)
OG Neal (Connolly)
OT Kaczur (Vollmer)

The offense has almost been completely revamped over the last 4 years...transitioning from an attacking, 3-wide, run-as-a-diversion offense to a balanced, multiple, 2-TE scheme. Yet Brady has stayed amazingly consistent over that period of transition.