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Biggest Threat in the AFC East?


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My favorite use of a percentage is when a businessman, say, an NFL owner, is expecting to have a 10% increase, but instead gets a 5% increase and calls it a 5% loss.

In a similarly "entertaining" vein, I once had a store manager try to explain to me that 10% off item 1 and 10% off item 2 was "20% off."
 
Bills and that D-line are somewhat worrisome. Fred Jackson is always tough as well. So if I had to choose one its Buffalo. But if our team plays as it should, all we have to worry about in the regular season is injuries.
 
I guess it could be Buffalo if they could ever get a coach and QB as good as Belichick and Brady. hee haw..not happening.

Honestly I just don't feel threatened. This team went through the rebuilding phase and didn't miss a beat. It musty be disheartening to be a fan of another team knowing the Pats are about to start peaking again coming up here in the next couple of seasons.
 
Two games would only require a 12.5% improvement (2/16 = 1/8 = 0.125).

Their biggest improvement was probably replacing Schottenheimer with Sparano at OC. Not sure if that's worth two games, but a two game swing is very possible even without improvements (they have an easy schedule this year, too, playing the AFC South and the NFC West). The real question with them is whether last year's slide was indicative of the walls caving in, or if it was just a temporary setback. If it was the former, they could do worse than 10-6, or even 8-8, but I have no idea what last year was for them.

10-8= 2 div by 8 =25%

Your math explains the increase of playing 18 games instead of 16
 
In a similarly "entertaining" vein, I once had a store manager try to explain to me that 10% off item 1 and 10% off item 2 was "20% off."

I once heard someone explain that since they had a first mortgage at 8% and a second mortgage at 10% they were paying 18% and if they could refinance for 12% they could save a lot of money.
 
10-8= 2 div by 8 =25%

Your math explains the increase of playing 18 games instead of 16
Say what?

Why would you divide by 8, it's a 16 game season. Each game of a 16 game season is 6.25% of the season. 2 games are 12.5% of the season. 4 games are 25% of the season. 8 games are 50% of the season. 16 games are 100% of the season. This ain't quantum physics.
 
Biggest threat? Injuries...
 
My favorite use of a percentage is when a businessman, say, an NFL owner, is expecting to have a 10% increase, but instead gets a 5% increase and calls it a 5% loss.

Or in the world of politics...an assumed three million dollar increase in funding ends to being a million and a half dollar increase over the previous year, and is then called a million and a half dollar cut...or when a reduction of new dept projected to be created over ten years equaling 1% of the current dept is sold to us as significant action and the true path out of the red...you know there are people just waiting for the dollar to end its reign as the global currency. And then we will all know just how screwed we are. But I am just an angry, pessimistic, and frustrated twenty four year old. The rest of us need to balance our check books, it's time Washington remembers they do too.

I digress. Bills prove to be a contender in division until week fifteen and secure a wildcard spot, Jets tank (still can't believe elway scooped Peyton, and the Jets were dumb enough to bite. This, asking with us grabbing Hightower were my early off season fantasies...)and Miami finishes ahead of the Jets at 8-8.

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Say what?

Why would you divide by 8, it's a 16 game season. Each game of a 16 game season is 6.25% of the season. 2 games are 12.5% of the season. 4 games are 25% of the season. 8 games are 50% of the season. 16 games are 100% of the season. This ain't quantum physics.

No it is basic math. To calculate the improvement of a team you would divide the gain in wins by wins.
 
Or in the world of politics...an assumed three million dollar increase in funding ends to being a million and a half dollar increase over the previous year, and is then called a million and a half dollar cut...or when a reduction of new dept projected to be created over ten years equaling 1% of the current dept is sold to us as significant action and the true path out of the red...you know there are people just waiting for the dollar to end its reign as the global currency. And then we will all know just how screwed we are. But I am just an angry, pessimistic, and frustrated twenty four year old. The rest of us need to balance our check books, it's time Washington remembers they do too.

I digress. Bills prove to be a contender in division until week fifteen and secure a wildcard spot, Jets tank (still can't believe elway scooped Peyton, and the Jets were dumb enough to bite. This, asking with us grabbing Hightower were my early off season fantasies...)and Miami finishes ahead of the Jets at 8-8.

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Great point on the political number shuffling.

The Bills have been scaring me for a while now, but for some reason they haven't been able to finish things off. I'm not sure if it's simply their depth after injuries. They've had about as many draft picks as we have over the last few years, only better ones. Maybe this will be their year.

As dysfunctional as the Jersey Jesters are these days, they could still pose a threat. They look as bad as they ever have and may be the most unlikeable team of blowhards in all of sports. I'll be curious to see exactly how they plan on using Tebow. My guess is that he was strictly a gimmick to sell seats, but I could be wrong.

Miami has surprised me. By what I've read in the past, the new ownership could be the real problem. And from what I've heard recently, the only highlite this season may be when the camera shows Ryan Tannehill's girl.
 
To answer the thread title's question- the Bills. I think as long as we come out as one piece after week 3 when we face Osama Bin-Pollard, we should have plenty of wins to win the division.



Hey, don't tell me he doesn't deserve that nickname. :D
 
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Bills hands down. I dont respect Galley as a elite coach, but I think hes pretty solid on the fundamentals. Rex is kind of a dreamer and has no concept of offense, and Im not buying into someone Rex hires as OC either.

I like Wannstedt as assistant and DC of the Bills, but more impressed with what White has done as defensive backs coach.
Bills seem vanilla to me , but dangerous. They have a better overall coaching staff than any other team in the Pats Division, I think. Though Lee as the QB coach has been a weak point for them.

Coaching wise, and not hype, I would worry about the Bills. Players are ok on both sides of the ball, and they are having a good training camp. Unlike Jets who have major coaching issues. I think because if Rex doesnt like you , your not hired, which is crazy, and I dont see them having a good training camp on offense so far. I might be wrong, but have been watching them both.
 
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The Bills could be a great team if Fitzpatrick played consistently good and injuries don't hit them as hard as it did last year. They're not a threat to win the AFC East, but I could see them making the Wild Card round and beating the Patriots in a game.
 
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The biggest threat in the AFC east is whomever the Giants and Dolphins draft with their top 10 picks next offseason.
 
TEAM A
Offense: 15ppg
Defense: 34ppg
Record: 0-8

TEAM B
Offense: 15ppg
Defense: 20ppg
Record: 2-6

Team B is the Indianapolis Colts in the second half of the year. Team A is the Buffalo Bills stats in the second half if you take out one game vs. Tebow.

If any team is a few injuries away from that, they are not a good team. We'll see if their offseason acquisitions is enough to combat how not good they actually are.
 
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I once heard someone explain that since they had a first mortgage at 8% and a second mortgage at 10% they were paying 18% and if they could refinance for 12% they could save a lot of money.

And people wonder why bankers don't have to be all that smart?
 
TEAM A
Offense: 15ppg
Defense: 34ppg
Record: 0-8

TEAM B
Offense: 15ppg
Defense: 20ppg
Record: 2-6

Team B is the Indianapolis Colts in the second half of the year. Team A is the Buffalo Bills stats in the second half if you take out one game vs. Tebow.

If any team is a few injuries away from that, they are not a good team. We'll see if their offseason acquisitions is enough to combat how not good they actually are.

What's your point? Who is a few injuries away from what?

How would TEAM C fit into that analysis; the team wasn't a prize in the second half of last season, surrendering more points on Defense than Team B.

TEAM C
Offense: 24 ppg
Defense: 27 ppg
Record: 3--5



("C" = New York Giants)
 
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TEAM A
Offense: 15ppg
Defense: 34ppg
Record: 0-8

TEAM B
Offense: 15ppg
Defense: 20ppg
Record: 2-6

Team B is the Indianapolis Colts in the second half of the year. Team A is the Buffalo Bills stats in the second half if you take out one game vs. Tebow.

If any team is a few injuries away from that, they are not a good team. We'll see if their offseason acquisitions is enough to combat how not good they actually are.

Two touchdowns a game worse scoring defense is the difference between an all-time-great defense and the 2011 Patriots defense. -19 PPG is atrocious, -5 PPG is merely bad.
 
And people wonder why bankers don't have to be all that smart?

I once watched a banker have to use paper to add 7.5 + 7.5. And she got it wrong.

I closed my account.
 
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