PatsFans.com Menu
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans

Rookie, 2nd, & 3rd Year Player Expectations


Status
Not open for further replies.

Simple Jack's Brother

On the Game Day Roster
Joined
Feb 19, 2012
Messages
357
Reaction score
198
Since there's almost nothing to discuss right now and I'm going to Gronk a baby if I have to read any more news about OchoCinco, I thought it'd be fun to bring out the amateur scout in all of us. What are people's realistic (or unrealistic) expectations for the young guns on the team?

In no particular order:
-Does Mccourty have a bounce back season?
-Does Ras-I give us a physical outside presence in the secondary?
-How many footballs is Gronk going to break this year?
-Will Hernandez top the 1000 yard receiving mark?
-Does Solder make the seamless transition to fulltime LT and keep Brady clean?
-Why is the Marcus Cannon only practicing at tackle when he was clearly marked as a guard practice coming out of school, and our interior has so many Q's?
-Does the transition back to a 3-4 (don't forget that's the direction they went in the playoffs) helpe Jermaine Cunningham improve upon a decent rookie season, or did he show his true colors last year?
-Does Vereen or Ridley win the "primary" ball carrier role?
-Does Sterling Moore cement himself as a true playmaker in the secondary?
-How long will it take Chandler Jones, Hightower, and Bequette to make an impact on the field?
-Will Alfonzo Dennard make his presence felt in the secondary at all? He seems to be around the ball all the time.

Feel free to add scenarios as you see fit. I just really want to talk about OUR TEAM ON THE FIELD again. :)
 
A good set of questions to pass the time with

In no particular order:
-Does Mccourty have a bounce back season?\
Yes and he will get the great majority of his snaps at the outside CB

-Does Ras-I give us a physical outside presence in the secondary?
Yes, If healthy Dowling will be big CB who can man up on the other team's #1 WR. He will have a HUGE impact on the secondary.

-How many footballs is Gronk going to break this year?
10-12, He'll see more coverage in the red zone this season, and the Pats have added other threats that will take some of the looks he gets away

-Will Hernandez top the 1000 yard receiving mark?
No, but I won't be surprised if he isn't in the 800 yd range. If he gets to the 1000 yard area, it will be because he is taking looks away from Welker

Does Solder make the seamless transition to fulltime LT and keep Brady clean?
This is easiest question you asked and surest bet to come true. Solder did a remarkable job coming in without an off season and playing so many snaps at 3 positions in his rookie year. It wasn't flawless, but he is going to be better than Matt Light, and I really appreciated Matt Light

-Why is the Marcus Cannon only practicing at tackle when he was clearly marked as a guard practice coming out of school, and our interior has so many Q's?
I was looking forward to seeing be the big "power" RG we haven't had in recent years, but the potential need to have someone ready to back up Volmer outweighs the ideal situation which would be at RG. If Volmer's back healed well this off season, maybe he can go back to G next season after Water's retirement. Meanwhile, he didn't do badly in his opportunities at RT, given his trials his first year.

-Does the transition back to a 3-4 (don't forget that's the direction they went in the playoffs) helpe Jermaine Cunningham improve upon a decent rookie season, or did he show his true colors last year?
We will be in both the 3-4 and 4-3 depending on the match ups week to week I think Cunninngham was one of those players hurt by the lockout. This off season he's been in NE full time and I'm hoping we see a big difference in his play.

-Does Vereen or Ridley win the "primary" ball carrier role?
Yes, I think if they are healthy, we will be very happy with those 2 guys as our primary RB's

-Does Sterling Moore cement himself as a true playmaker in the secondary?
I really don't know what to expect of Moore. He played better last season than anyone had a right to expect. He could just be one of those guys who will make a big jump with a full off season in the system.....Maybe he won't.

-How long will it take Chandler Jones, Hightower, and Bequette to make an impact on the field?
Jones will take the longest. He is the youngest and least experienced. He is also making the toughest transition from a college DE to someone who will need to play standing up a good percentage of time. I think they'll give him snaps as a DE in 4-3 pass rush D to help him ease into being an OLB

Beguette will be a one trick pony in the Mark Anderson role. Hightower should make the most immediate impact in any one of the several positions he's going to be asked to play.


-Will Alfonzo Dennard make his presence felt in the secondary at all? He seems to be around the ball all the time.

I'm just hoping he makes the team. His lack of success at the combine and senior bowl worry me a lot more than his fight with the off duty cop. He could play an important roll as a physical presence in the slot and CB depth if he pans out.

Now I have a question. When is Ian going to add the Quote and bold features that virtually every other site have. Features that would make answering post like this and responding to specific items in other people's posts much easier. Especially for those of us who are keyboard challenged ;)
 
Last edited:
-Why is the Marcus Cannon only practicing at tackle when he was clearly marked as a guard practice coming out of school, and our interior has so many Q's?
I was looking forward to seeing be the big "power" RG we haven't had in recent years, but the potential need to have someone ready to back up Volmer outweighs the ideal situation which would be at RG. If Volmer's back healed well this off season, maybe he can go back to G next season after Water's retirement. Meanwhile, he didn't do badly in his opportunities at RT, given his trials his first year.

One point worth noting: like most of the Pats OL, Cannon played LT in college, and by all accounts did a very good job protecting Andy Dalton.

I'm wondering if the Pats always saw him as an OT first, and an OG second, rather than the other way around.
 
-Does the transition back to a 3-4 (don't forget that's the direction they went in the playoffs) helpe Jermaine Cunningham improve upon a decent rookie season, or did he show his true colors last year?
We will be in both the 3-4 and 4-3 depending on the match ups week to week I think Cunninngham was one of those players hurt by the lockout. This off season he's been in NE full time and I'm hoping we see a big difference in his play.

Im really hoping Cunningham becomes a playmaker this year. I was hopeful last year. Maybe I'm just building him up like I did,,,,,,Crable :bricks: I hope not.
 
clint-eastwood-snarls.gif


Pro-Bowl selections. All of them.
 
Last edited:
Is it just me that didn't like Solder that much last year? I thought he had bad footwork and got beaten by ends/olbs alot because he was to slow in his feets. I am hopefull that he has improved in this area a lot during offseason as it is far from impossible. But I think you will notice that Matt is gone on LT.
 
Nate Solder playing LT?

Hur svårt kan det vara? :D
 
-Will Alfonzo Dennard make his presence felt in the secondary at all? He seems to be around the ball all the time.

I'm just hoping he makes the team. His lack of success at the combine and senior bowl worry me a lot more than his fight with the off duty cop. He could play an important roll as a physical presence in the slot and CB depth if he pans out.

I am no draftnick, but him not producing in the Senior Bowl and particularly the combines don't scare me all that much. He hurt himself in the Senior Bowl that could have affected his play. The lingering affects could have affected his combine numbers.

Besides, I think people put too much stock in the Senior Bowl and combines. We see all the time a player who has an unremarkable career and then explodes in the Senior Bowl and/or Combines and shoots up the draft board only to end up an NFL bust. We also hear about a player who was a stud his entire college career and drops on the draft boards because of a bad Senior Bowl and/or Combines and becomes a steal.

The Senior Bowl is one game. I cannot ignore what a player did his entire college career because of his performance in one game.

I am optimistic about Dennard. You take away the Senior Bowl and his arrest, he would have probably gone in the second round. Doesn't mean he will pan out and being a low round pick he will not have the time a second round pick would have to prove himself.
 
Nice comments, Ken. I'd change only a few things:

A good set of questions to pass the time with

In no particular order:
-Does Mccourty have a bounce back season?\
Yes and he will get the great majority of his snaps at the outside CB
Agreed. I think that McCourty gives the Pats versatility in the safety rotation if Gregory and Wilson don't progress quickly enough, but hopefully he will be mostly used at outside CB.

-Does Ras-I give us a physical outside presence in the secondary?
Yes, If healthy Dowling will be big CB who can man up on the other team's #1 WR. He will have a HUGE impact on the secondary.
I completely agree. McCourty and Dowling will hopefully be the outside CBs, with Arrington in the star position. A healthy Dowling would give Pats a physical outside presence that they haven't had since Leigh Bodden in 2009.

-How many footballs is Gronk going to break this year?
10-12, He'll see more coverage in the red zone this season, and the Pats have added other threats that will take some of the looks he gets away
I agree that Gronk may see more red zone coverage, but I doubt his TD's will go down that much. He had 10 as a rookie. 18 may be too much to hope for, but 13-15 seems quite possible.

-Will Hernandez top the 1000 yard receiving mark?
No, but I won't be surprised if he isn't in the 800 yd range. If he gets to the 1000 yard area, it will be because he is taking looks away from Welker
Or Gronk. Gronk's yardage may go down this year, while Hernandez' goes up. They had 2200+ yards combined last year, and they could reach that with more like 1100 each instead of 900/1300 like in 2011.

Does Solder make the seamless transition to fulltime LT and keep Brady clean?
This is easiest question you asked and surest bet to come true. Solder did a remarkable job coming in without an off season and playing so many snaps at 3 positions in his rookie year. It wasn't flawless, but he is going to be better than Matt Light, and I really appreciated Matt Light
You nailed this one, Ken.

-Why is the Marcus Cannon only practicing at tackle when he was clearly marked as a guard practice coming out of school, and our interior has so many Q's?
I was looking forward to seeing be the big "power" RG we haven't had in recent years, but the potential need to have someone ready to back up Volmer outweighs the ideal situation which would be at RG. If Volmer's back healed well this off season, maybe he can go back to G next season after Water's retirement. Meanwhile, he didn't do badly in his opportunities at RT, given his trials his first year.
Do you think Cannon is purely limited to RT and guard, or could he develop to be a swing tackle as well? He's not a natural LT, but he has great athleticism and nice footwork for his size. I think he's an important part of the long term OL equation.

-Does the transition back to a 3-4 (don't forget that's the direction they went in the playoffs) helpe Jermaine Cunningham improve upon a decent rookie season, or did he show his true colors last year?
We will be in both the 3-4 and 4-3 depending on the match ups week to week I think Cunninngham was one of those players hurt by the lockout. This off season he's been in NE full time and I'm hoping we see a big difference in his play.
That's easy. We're not transitioning back to a 3-4 at all, so the question is irrelevant. Whether Cunningham can fit into the hybrid scheme that is evolving is another question altogether. I'm not too optimistic.

-Does Vereen or Ridley win the "primary" ball carrier role?
Yes, I think if they are healthy, we will be very happy with those 2 guys as our primary RB's
I think that Vereen becomes the feature back with Ridley as a complementary back. But if Vereen slips up, then Ridley takes over as the #1 back. Those 2 guys should get the vast majority of the carries.

-Does Sterling Moore cement himself as a true playmaker in the secondary?
I really don't know what to expect of Moore. He played better last season than anyone had a right to expect. He could just be one of those guys who will make a big jump with a full off season in the system.....Maybe he won't.
Moore was a pleasant surprise last year. Whether he makes the Kyle Arrington leap is still an open question but I'm cautiously optimistic.

-How long will it take Chandler Jones, Hightower, and Bequette to make an impact on the field?
Jones will take the longest. He is the youngest and least experienced. He is also making the toughest transition from a college DE to someone who will need to play standing up a good percentage of time. I think they'll give him snaps as a DE in 4-3 pass rush D to help him ease into being an OLB. Bequette will be a one trick pony in the Mark Anderson role. Hightower should make the most immediate impact in any one of the several positions he's going to be asked to play.
Not sure I agree with you. Jones will probably take the longest to develop fully, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him come on sooner than later. He brings some nasty hands and good technique on his pass rushes. I think he'll be effective as an inside rusher as well as on the edge, and he'll cause a lot of errant throws with his long arms. Bequette will start as a sub rusher, but he's much bigger and stronger than Anderson, and is capable of being more of an edge setter.

-Will Alfonzo Dennard make his presence felt in the secondary at all? He seems to be around the ball all the time.
I'm just hoping he makes the team. His lack of success at the combine and senior bowl worry me a lot more than his fight with the off duty cop. He could play an important roll as a physical presence in the slot and CB depth if he pans out.
I think Dennard will be a pleasant surprise, and will contribute significantly more than Sterline Moore did last year. He brings a nice physical dimension to the DB position, and will get used in a variety of roles, assuming he stays out of jail. I'm not worried at all about his offseason issues - the Pats will scheme to use him effectively. He will bump receivers off their routes and cause a lot of mis-timing on passes, which hopefully the other DBs can take advantage of.
 
-Does Mccourty have a bounce back season?Yup.

-Does Ras-I give us a physical outside presence in the secondary?Yup

-How many footballs is Gronk going to break this year?
14

-Will Hernandez top the 1000 yard receiving mark?No but he will be close.

-Does Solder make the seamless transition to fulltime LT and keep Brady clean?
Yup

-Why is the Marcus Cannon only practicing at tackle when he was clearly marked as a guard practice coming out of school, and our interior has so many Q's?Vollmer's back

-Does the transition back to a 3-4 (don't forget that's the direction they went in the playoffs) helpe Jermaine Cunningham improve upon a decent rookie season, or did he show his true colors last year?He showed his true colors last season

-Does Vereen or Ridley win the "primary" ball carrier role?
No. I see them splitting carries with roughly equal PT

-Does Sterling Moore cement himself as a true playmaker in the secondary?
No.

-How long will it take Chandler Jones, Hightower, and Bequette to make an impact on the field?
I think Jones and Hightower are day 1 starters. Bequette will be used as a sub rusher and he should excel in this role.

-Will Alfonzo Dennard make his presence felt in the secondary at all? He seems to be around the ball all the time.
Dennard will make the team as a talented backup. If all goes to plan we won't need him too much.
 
Im really hoping Cunningham becomes a playmaker this year. I was hopeful last year. Maybe I'm just building him up like I did,,,,,,Crable :bricks: I hope not.
I don't ever see Cunningham being a "playmaker". I don't think he's explosive enough for that role. However I CAN see him becoming a player on the line of Ninko. Solid, steady edge setter with enough of a pass rush to get there 4-5 times a year.
 
One point worth noting: like most of the Pats OL, Cannon played LT in college, and by all accounts did a very good job protecting Andy Dalton.

I'm wondering if the Pats always saw him as an OT first, and an OG second, rather than the other way around.
Oh I don't doubt that Cannon has the capability to play OT,CT and Volmer's back issues might make it necessary to have him play sooner rather than later.. But when he was drafted a lot of guys thought that he was the ideal guy to play that RG position. At 350 lbs he'd would have given the Pats a power presence they haven't had at there before. The thought of he and Volmer as a ruin blocking duo, was very enticing. But given the presence of Waters and Connolly, and the lack of depth at tackle, need overcomes the luxury of having him there. Maybe next year. ;)
 
I am no draftnick, but him not producing in the Senior Bowl and particularly the combines don't scare me all that much. He hurt himself in the Senior Bowl that could have affected his play. The lingering affects could have affected his combine numbers.

Besides, I think people put too much stock in the Senior Bowl and combines. We see all the time a player who has an unremarkable career and then explodes in the Senior Bowl and/or Combines and shoots up the draft board only to end up an NFL bust. We also hear about a player who was a stud his entire college career and drops on the draft boards because of a bad Senior Bowl and/or Combines and becomes a steal.

The Senior Bowl is one game. I cannot ignore what a player did his entire college career because of his performance in one game.

I am optimistic about Dennard. You take away the Senior Bowl and his arrest, he would have probably gone in the second round. Doesn't mean he will pan out and being a low round pick he will not have the time a second round pick would have to prove himself.
I care less about the Combine numbers. The Combine is used mostly to confirm information you already have. But the Senior Bowl is more important. Its just a week, but its a week of full pads, going against top competition and with NFL coaching. A good or poor showing in that arena is more telling than the Combine.

Now I didn't know or have heard that he was dinged during that week. It might have made a difference. Still the more I have heard about the altercation with the off duty cop, the more I think his slide to the 7th round had more to due with perceived talent than off field issues

I am hopeful that he works out, but I am less hopeful than many.
 
Nice comments, Ken. I'd change only a few things:
A couple of rebuts

1. The only time we will see McCourty at S, will be in specific sub packages or injuries

2. I have to admit I am a bit concerned about Cannon as a pass defender. At almost 360 lbs, I worry about him against speed rushers. Its a worry I wouldn't have if he were playing OG. But only time will tell. His brief showing last year, didn't prove him to be deficient at pass blocking, but it was too small of a sample to really tell.

3. I still think that this team is a base 3-4 team, especially when they are teaching basic techniques. I know they have been aligned in a 4-3 a great deal of the time in recent years, but I think that was more a necessity than a philosophical change. I don't think we've suddenly become a 'one gap' attack first team. Still it will be an interesting item to follow since we certainly brought in a lot of players who fit that one gap criteria.

4. I don't doubt that Jones and Hightower will get a lot of run in their first year. The word "starter" on this defense has almost no meaning on this defense. More players are going to be run in and out of that lineup than the Park St. MBTA stop at rush hour. I think 40-50% of the defensive snaps would be a good number....and you are dead right about Beguette. He and Scott will be fighting for the Anderson role in this defense.

5. I'm a bit less optimistic about Dennard than most Pats fans. First I have to get over my bias against 5'10 CBs in general, and that Senior bowl fiasco still bothers me, even though I know it was just one week out of a 3 year career.

like I said before, given what we know now about "the fight", I think his drop was more about perceived talent than this off season altercation. This isn't to say that because he was closer to being perceived as 7th round talent than a 2nd round talent, doesn't mean he won't turnout to be an effective player. It more a matter of managing expectations
 
3. I still think that this team is a base 3-4 team, especially when they are teaching basic techniques. I know they have been aligned in a 4-3 a great deal of the time in recent years, but I think that was more a necessity than a philosophical change. I don't think we've suddenly become a 'one gap' attack first team. Still it will be an interesting item to follow since we certainly brought in a lot of players who fit that one gap criteria.


5. I'm a bit less optimistic about Dennard than most Pats fans. First I have to get over my bias against 5'10 CBs in general, and that Senior bowl fiasco still bothers me, even though I know it was just one week out of a 3 year career.

3. Agreed, i know they're in a sub defense almost 1/2 the time and they're more accurately a "week to week, game plan specific defense", but i think they're a base 3-4 when teaching techniques. I think the base being a 3-4 will give our defense the ability to disguise the play a little bit more.

5. I'm definitely bias again 5'10" corners as well, and i think Field Yates said he was disappointed when he finally got to size up Dennard and said something along the lines of "he's stockier than i thought"...but i've also read that he's been around the ball and is still very physical at the line. Also, i think a lot of people overlook the fact that at the Senior Bowl, the coaches were having him play a different technique than he had been playing his whole career (I believe they were playing off zone vs normally playing man coverage, not positive tho).
 
I think Chandler Jones will be a real factor in year 1. Reports of his rawness are overstated. Maybe he's raw mentally, I don't know, but the physical skillset that he brings to the table right now is rare in the college game.

All the other college pass rushers are trying to just run past the tackle. He can use his hands and have his way with OL. He's a freak.

I will be shocked if Belichick can't find a way to use Jones in a manner that makes him a productive first year player. Maybe he won't be Mayo level impact, but I can see him being like Spikes, someone who certainly makes his mark in his rookie year, get some real reps, also making some mistakes as well. And then, down the road, the upside is probably much higher than Mayo to be honest. Hightower, I can see being an immediate staple like Mayo.
 
Last edited:
I care less about the Combine numbers. The Combine is used mostly to confirm information you already have. But the Senior Bowl is more important. Its just a week, but its a week of full pads, going against top competition and with NFL coaching. A good or poor showing in that arena is more telling than the Combine.

Now I didn't know or have heard that he was dinged during that week. It might have made a difference. Still the more I have heard about the altercation with the off duty cop, the more I think his slide to the 7th round had more to due with perceived talent than off field issues

I am hopeful that he works out, but I am less hopeful than many.

There's some bad news for a Husker who is a prime NFL prospect. Cornerback Alfonzo Dennard was injured during workouts for the Senior Bowl and he's been replaced on the roster.

Dennard is nursing a hip flexor, but he hopes to be healthy in time for the NFL combine next month.



Read more: Dennard Injured During Senior Bowl Workout | KETV Home - KETV Home

The thing is that I forgot about. He didn't even play in the game. He wasn't practicing well for the game and then pulled out after an injury. So he got downgraded because of a few bad practices Senior Bowl week, not the game itself.
 
My rebuts to your rebut.

A couple of rebuts

1. The only time we will see McCourty at S, will be in specific sub packages or injuries

I agree, IF Wilson and Gregory step up at safety. If not, it's possible that BB could need to shift McCourty or one of the other CBs to safety.

2. I have to admit I am a bit concerned about Cannon as a pass defender. At almost 360 lbs, I worry about him against speed rushers. Its a worry I wouldn't have if he were playing OG. But only time will tell. His brief showing last year, didn't prove him to be deficient at pass blocking, but it was too small of a sample to really tell.

Im not as worried about Cannon as you are. He came in off the PUP list last year without any real preparation time. I doubt he was in optimal shape given his medical treatment and lack of pre-season preparation. But, as you say, only time will tell.

3. I still think that this team is a base 3-4 team, especially when they are teaching basic techniques. I know they have been aligned in a 4-3 a great deal of the time in recent years, but I think that was more a necessity than a philosophical change. I don't think we've suddenly become a 'one gap' attack first team. Still it will be an interesting item to follow since we certainly brought in a lot of players who fit that one gap criteria.

I think it's meaningless. The "base" isn't the base anymore, as the team is only in it about 30% of the time. And it won't be a 3-4 much of that time. I think that BB is clearly moving to a hybrid that merges 3-4 and 4-3 concepts. Fencer has devoted a couple of threads to this:

http://www.patsfans.com/new-england...14171-clues-next-years-defensive-scheme.html
http://www.patsfans.com/new-england-patriots/messageboard/10/919274-sub-vs-base-who-plays-when.html
 
Pretty much everything's already been said at this point, but re: Hernandez I'd point out that he did miss two games last season. If he plays all 16, then I think 1,000 yards is very attainable for him.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.


Tuesday Patriots Notebook 4/16: News and Notes
Monday Patriots Notebook 4/15: News and Notes
Patriots News 4-14, Mock Draft 3.0, Gilmore, Law Rally For Bill 
Potential Patriot: Boston Globe’s Price Talks to Georgia WR McConkey
Friday Patriots Notebook 4/12: News and Notes
Not a First Round Pick? Hoge Doubles Down on Maye
Thursday Patriots Notebook 4/11: News and Notes
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft #5 and Thoughts About Dugger Signing
Matthew Slater Set For New Role With Patriots
Wednesday Patriots Notebook 4/10: News and Notes
Back
Top