If we traded our two first rounders for a higher pick?

[unoriginal]

I think that's an excellent point. Combine the lower cap cost of later picks, the lack of consensus after the top handful of picks and the contract thresholds, and you should get a near plateau approaching #16, then a sharp drop at 17 with a deceleration to 32, then another drop.

The best cost/benefit slots in the draft are 16 and 32. Hmm...didn't somebody just mention that packaging #24 and a 2nd would put the Pats around #16? And of course we're all gunning for #32. That pair of picks would be oh-so-Patriotlike.

The question is, are the Packers dumb enough to trade that pick? Thompson seemed pretty astute last year ultimately getting Greg Jennings and Jason Spitz for Javon Walker, with us in the middle.

 

[pats1]

Kraft already said it's uneconomical to pick that high in the draft.

He said they'd prefer to have more quality picks in the late 1st round than 1 high up that they'd have to dig deep down to pay for.

 

[pats-blue]

It's the pick Seattle handed over for Mr Three Catches for 38 yards and six million bucks.

You forgot to add Mr. allowing himself to be "tapped" out of bounds on fourth down while your QB is trying to make a play and running for his life.

 

[patfanken]

Kraft already said it's uneconomical to pick that high in the draft.

He said they'd prefer to have more quality picks in the late 1st round than 1 high up that they'd have to dig deep down to pay for.

As usual Kraft is right. IIRC, the Jets drafted in the 2003 Drob #4 and paid him MORE than it cost us to sign Ty Warren at #13 PLUS the rest of our draft COMBINED. THERE really is a high cost to pick high in the draft these days. The best values REALLY are at in the early teens.

 

[VJCPatriot]

According to the draft value chart pick 24+32 is equivalent in point value to the #6 or #7 pick in the draft. I doubt that happens though. I can see a small trade up from #24 happening if BB sees someone he likes slipping.

 

[PatsFanSince74]

I think Kraft is completely right on the expected value of a low pick in the first round. If he had to draft in the top 10, he'd probably trade down for a handful of first and second round picks. The only way I could see them trading up would be if there were someone we really wanted available at the fifteenth or sixteenth slot and then trade the Seattle pick and our second round pick (740 points plus 270 points) or maybe our own first and second round picks, which would get us up to 19 or 20.

Imagine the resentment if we win the SB and then end up as the only team in the Draft with two first rounders. Delicious!

 

[Patriot Missile]

I would have to think a majority here are more than happy holding onto the low first rounders after watching the masterful work Pioli,Belichick and the scouting team have done over the years.

We haven't had a real glamorous pick since Richard Seymour with the 6th pick back in 01. One pick after LT? Ahh..what could have been. I thought we had one in Chad Jackson last year but so far he has not been what I expected. He could be really good,he just doesn't happen to be a shooting star straight out of the sky like Terry Glenn was.

Come to think of it though,we've had so many great players drafted over the entire draft that makes most teams high 1st rounders look like 7th rounders.
I have no reason to think this years crop will be any different.