SB XLVI Prediction

[condon84]

3) I have never seen a better opportunity for BB to create a scheme to exploit an offense. First, the Giants have struggled against us, as noted above and dont realize it. Second, Eli has worked himself into a position where, in his brothers house, he must prove he is elite, and in Bradys class. Third, the best way to defend the Giants is to dare them to run, play a deep shell and force them to take yards in small chunks, be patient and be consistent on long drives. Eli is not normally patient, and will be less so with eliteness on the line. Also, disguising coverage will cause Eli to think the intermediate and deep throws will be there presnap. That will cause either poor decisions or late checkdowns, which will lead to him trying to extend the play, leave the pocket and get our pass rush to him (this happened a lot vs SF too). Eli has struggled against us, and SB 46 will be no different.

I see us doing the same thing. Whether Eli will play smart (kinda like Rothelisburger did against us earlier this year) is going to be the key. Personally, I think he will and take what the Pats give him.

I see both teams moving the ball pretty well between the 20 yard line. What they do in the red zone will determine this game.

I think we have to run the ball enough to keep them honest and take advantage of play-action in the red zone. Brady does extremely well in play-action situations in the red zone and usually finds the open guy. That's how we're gonna score touchdowns. We can't allow them to sit back in a zone in the redzone playing pass all the time. There will be not enough space especially if we have 4 - 5 receivers going out on routes in a confined area. We must run the ball for us to have success in the red zone.

That being said, I see us being able to run when we are in a hurry up and have them stuck out on the field with the wrong personnel. They'll move the ball too, but I see us exchanging TDs with FGs.

Final score:

Pats 38 - 5 TDs, 1 FG
Giants 23 - 2 TDs, 3 FG



One final thing: Giants will fake injuries to slow our tempo at least 5 times.

 

[Ring 6]

I see us doing the same thing. Whether Eli will play smart (kinda like Rothelisburger did against us earlier this year) is going to be the key. Personally, I think he will and take what the Pats give him.

I see both teams moving the ball pretty well between the 20 yard line. What they do in the red zone will determine this game.

I think we have to run the ball enough to keep them honest and take advantage of play-action in the red zone. Brady does extremely well in play-action situations in the red zone and usually finds the open guy. That's how we're gonna score touchdowns. We can't allow them to sit back in a zone in the redzone playing pass all the time. There will be not enough space especially if we have 4 - 5 receivers going out on routes in a confined area. We must run the ball for us to have success in the red zone.

That being said, I see us being able to run when we are in a hurry up and have them stuck out on the field with the wrong personnel. They'll move the ball too, but I see us exchanging TDs with FGs.

Final score:

Pats 38 - 5 TDs, 1 FG
Giants 23 - 2 TDs, 3 FG



One final thing: Giants will fake injuries to slow our tempo at least 5 times.

Excellent analogy. Another is Bledsoe in the first game of 2003. BB literally dared him to change his spots in that game, and very surprisingly he did.
It's rare, though, and there is a lot about Eli that tells me he won't, because he doesn't, and especially in this game,he isn't going to want to.

 

[Gwedd]

I've been thinking something around the 31 to 17 score, Pats up and running from the first quarter on.

The one intangible that I have heard very little talked about is this: This game will be the first time we've seen New England play indoors.

Think about that for a moment. This team has been able to put up all sorts of numbers playing outside, in the wind, rain, cold, whatever. Now they get to play in what to them will amount to a practice bubble.

I'm looking for New England to score early and often.

I'm also thinking that this defense is damned tired of being dissed and wants to make a point to all the mediots and reportards and other talking heads out there.

Best of luck to our guys, a great game, and mighty win, no injuries and GO PATS!!!!!!!!!!!! :rocker: :rocker: :rocker:

 

[Ring 6]

I've been thinking something around the 31 to 17 score, Pats up and running from the first quarter on.

The one intangible that I have heard very little talked about is this: This game will be the first time we've seen New England play indoors.

Think about that for a moment. This team has been able to put up all sorts of numbers playing outside, in the wind, rain, cold, whatever. Now they get to play in what to them will amount to a practice bubble.

I'm looking for New England to score early and often.

I'm also thinking that this defense is damned tired of being dissed and wants to make a point to all the mediots and reportards and other talking heads out there.

Best of luck to our guys, a great game, and mighty win, no injuries and GO PATS!!!!!!!!!!!! :rocker: :rocker: :rocker:

I think indoors definitely favors us.
No one would call us a FAST team, but we rely on QUICKNESS as much as anyone.
Turf accentuates quickness more than speed.

 

[PatsFanSince74]

Thanks, Andy.

I see the Pats in the Hurry-up on 75+% of plays from scrimmage.

I think BB will take a few pages from the SB XXXVI D game plan and focus on hitting Nicks and Cruz before they get off the line.

As the week's gone on, I am starting to feel a big Pats win. Maybe it's living here in NY and seeing just HOW overconfident the Giants' team, organization, media and fan-base have become over the last two weeks.

 

[Ring 6]

Thanks, Andy.

I see the Pats in the Hurry-up on 75+% of plays from scrimmage.

I think BB will take a few pages from the SB XXXVI D game plan and focus on hitting Nicks and Cruz before they get off the line.

As the week's gone on, I am starting to feel a big Pats win. Maybe it's living here in NY and seeing just HOW overconfident the Giants' team, organization, media and fan-base have become over the last two weeks.

Jamming the WRs with a cover 2 shell does make sense, IF we are confident in the safeties.
IMO, BB is 100% clear on how he wants to defend this offense, and has had 2 weeks to work on the specific calls and techniques he will use. Playing a corner under and safety over will make Eli get impatient. Problem is this is a lot harder against a 3 WR base that a 2 Wr base.