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I see a few very critical factors that will impact the outcome of this game.
1) I think Tom Brady will have one of the best days of his career, because the OL will give him time, and the Giants just cannot cover our receiving weapons
2) While we have lost 2 straight to the Giants, lost in that is that BB has schemed very well for Eli. Last game, aside from a 10 yard drive after a fumble, the Giants had 3 points on the board with 7 minutes left in the game, even after getting 3 other turnovers. All that changed after that, really, was they figured out how to get pi calls and exploit special team players forced into duty. In SB 42, the Giants also had just 3 points on the board until the last 2 drives and without the helmet catch or any one of the dropped Ints would have scored 10 all day.
3) I have never seen a better opportunity for BB to create a scheme to exploit an offense. First, the Giants have struggled against us, as noted above and dont realize it. Second, Eli has worked himself into a position where, in his brothers house, he must prove he is elite, and in Bradys class. Third, the best way to defend the Giants is to dare them to run, play a deep shell and force them to take yards in small chunks, be patient and be consistent on long drives. Eli is not normally patient, and will be less so with eliteness on the line. Also, disguising coverage will cause Eli to think the intermediate and deep throws will be there presnap. That will cause either poor decisions or late checkdowns, which will lead to him trying to extend the play, leave the pocket and get our pass rush to him (this happened a lot vs SF too). Eli has struggled against us, and SB 46 will be no different.
4) The Patriots hurryup will either leave the Giants shorthanded in the pass rush, or undersized to stop the run. I think we will have a good mix early, then exploit the weak pass D, then run with the lead.
I see Brady coming out on fire. Manning will be frustrated needing to check down, and we will do just fine vs the run, especially since a big chunk of Bradshaws success comes from cutting back against the grain after contain has broken down. Our disciplined D scheme will limit that. I expect Brady and the offense to resemble the Bronco game in the first half.
By halftime, I expect the Patriots to have build a large lead, say 24-7.
Defensively we will be playing somewhat prevent which isn't far from the original gameplan, but trailing and throwing every down, and under pressure, Eli wiill be more willing to take the short stuff, and they will be more effective. We will play slower on offense, and unfortunately revert to a 'keep on schedule offense' and will have some second half drives killed by just misisng on 3rd down conversions. The margin will stay around the same or close up a bit.
The Giants will have a late rally where they take way too much time to get no where near enough points, and we gladly oblige.
Final Score Patriots 38 Giants 24
Brady 25-33-295
Manning 31-55-321
Turnovers
Patriots 0
Giants 2
Rushing Yards
Patriots 138
Giants 90
MVP TFBrady aka GOAT
1) I think Tom Brady will have one of the best days of his career, because the OL will give him time, and the Giants just cannot cover our receiving weapons
2) While we have lost 2 straight to the Giants, lost in that is that BB has schemed very well for Eli. Last game, aside from a 10 yard drive after a fumble, the Giants had 3 points on the board with 7 minutes left in the game, even after getting 3 other turnovers. All that changed after that, really, was they figured out how to get pi calls and exploit special team players forced into duty. In SB 42, the Giants also had just 3 points on the board until the last 2 drives and without the helmet catch or any one of the dropped Ints would have scored 10 all day.
3) I have never seen a better opportunity for BB to create a scheme to exploit an offense. First, the Giants have struggled against us, as noted above and dont realize it. Second, Eli has worked himself into a position where, in his brothers house, he must prove he is elite, and in Bradys class. Third, the best way to defend the Giants is to dare them to run, play a deep shell and force them to take yards in small chunks, be patient and be consistent on long drives. Eli is not normally patient, and will be less so with eliteness on the line. Also, disguising coverage will cause Eli to think the intermediate and deep throws will be there presnap. That will cause either poor decisions or late checkdowns, which will lead to him trying to extend the play, leave the pocket and get our pass rush to him (this happened a lot vs SF too). Eli has struggled against us, and SB 46 will be no different.
4) The Patriots hurryup will either leave the Giants shorthanded in the pass rush, or undersized to stop the run. I think we will have a good mix early, then exploit the weak pass D, then run with the lead.
I see Brady coming out on fire. Manning will be frustrated needing to check down, and we will do just fine vs the run, especially since a big chunk of Bradshaws success comes from cutting back against the grain after contain has broken down. Our disciplined D scheme will limit that. I expect Brady and the offense to resemble the Bronco game in the first half.
By halftime, I expect the Patriots to have build a large lead, say 24-7.
Defensively we will be playing somewhat prevent which isn't far from the original gameplan, but trailing and throwing every down, and under pressure, Eli wiill be more willing to take the short stuff, and they will be more effective. We will play slower on offense, and unfortunately revert to a 'keep on schedule offense' and will have some second half drives killed by just misisng on 3rd down conversions. The margin will stay around the same or close up a bit.
The Giants will have a late rally where they take way too much time to get no where near enough points, and we gladly oblige.
Final Score Patriots 38 Giants 24
Brady 25-33-295
Manning 31-55-321
Turnovers
Patriots 0
Giants 2
Rushing Yards
Patriots 138
Giants 90
MVP TFBrady aka GOAT