Patriots are early 3.5 point favorites over the Giants

[VOODOOZF]

For what it's worth (which usually isn't much ) the Patriots are 3.5 point favorites over the Giants in the Superbowl with an over/under of 55.5 points.

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5 - CBSSports.com

 

[English Patriot]

Makes sense, the bookmakers go by seeding and have each round we've played. Big margin against Denver, 1 TD margin against Ravens and FG in the SB.

As the Number 1 seed in the SB we should be at least slight favourites and i'd feel very disrespected if we weren't but hey then again let people take us lightly and Tom, Vince and co will make em eat crow.

 

[Patradomous]

I was hoping they'd be the dog.I'll be on the Giants.Was on Balt yesterday with the points.Had the best of both worlds. A Pats win and a Balt. cover.

 

[JJDChE]

Makes sense in the context of betting. People love betting on the Pats.

Back over here in reality, the Giants should be favored. They beat us at home without one of their starting WRs and they are playing their best ball of the year, right now.

 

[RealityCheck52]

This won't even be close.

Giants by 10+.

 

[Dutchmaster617]

Makes sense in the context of betting. People love betting on the Pats.

Back over here in reality, the Giants should be favored. They beat us at home without one of their starting WRs and they are playing their best ball of the year, right now.

We are playing our best too, 10 game win streak is the most since 2007's 18. We are not playing Sergio brown in key moments, and our line is getting pressure (keep in mind 20 hits and 6 sacks on Eli last night).

 

[Ice Cold Bruschi]

I can't see how we're favored in this one honestly. The Giants beat us at home earlier this year without Bradshaw or Nicks. Not only that but if I had to guess which way the crowd at the game is leaning, I'd guess Giants since they seem to travel a bit better than we do.

 

[Fball]

This won't even be close.

Giants by 10+.

I don't really get these pronouncements. In a very unpredictable year, 2 teams are meeting in the SB that share quite a bit in common. Brady is as good as there is, and can light up any D on any given day.

The Pats are just as likely to win by 10 or more, imo. Or, it could just be a shootout w/ the final possession determining the outcome.

I wouldn't bet either way on this game.

 

[cmasspatsfan]

Makes sense in the context of betting. People love betting on the Pats.

Back over here in reality, the Giants should be favored. They beat us at home without one of their starting WRs and they are playing their best ball of the year, right now.

We were missing guys that game too, I think Hernandez was out and a couple other key guys.

 

[Uncle Rico]

We were missing guys that game too, I think Hernandez was out and a couple other key guys.

Hernandez played. Spikes and Chung also both played but both got injured in the game. It was also Albert's last game with the Pats.

The "media picks" thread the week before the game should be interesting. Really, if anyone beside Reiss, McGinest and Rodney pick the Pats, I'll be surprised.

 

[Luke Skywelker]

Spread aside, the majority of experts are going to be picking the Giants in this one, and with good reason. The only reason the Pats are favored is because of brand, perception and respect. Because matchup, regular season duel, balance, recent accomplishments are all on the Giants side.

 

[Doctor DDS]

My guess is the line will drop closer to even by game time but it does make sense to favor the Pats. Pats were 13-3, Giants 9-7. (negative point differential) Giants lost what appeared to be a must win game to the Redskins late in the year. They were also down 12 to the Cowboys late in the 4th before pulling it out. Both the Pats and Giants were fortunate to win last night. Manning had a couple easy picks dropped because 49er defenders ran into each other and w/o the punts return gaffes who knows what happens. Giants are heathier and obviously playing well right now and can certainly win the game but let's not make them out to be some sort of juggernaut.

 

[Patradomous]

Re: Not what we are looking for. Horrorfying stat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Well here is another stat thats not so abstract.

Ravens are 12-0 straight up when they score 17 or more points.This year.

I posted earlier this week that for Pats to win they've got keep balt under 24 points.

I'm hoping the Pats D can pull off what the Indy D did in 2006.

Ravens barely beat Houston last week after winning the TO battle 4 or 5 to nothing.
This is not going to be an easy game buckle in.

This is what I posted yesterday until one of the footie pajama mods put my thread in another forum.This place is worse than MSNBC.
So far in the playoffs I can tell you that the dogs have dominated the playoffs.
I was sick to my stomach when I saw the Pats as favorites for the SB. I don't think they have any shot against the Giants.They have a real QB with real recivers and a D as good as the Ravens.
My hope is Brady has super performance like he does after a piss poor performance.
Pats lose turnover battle 3-1,Flacco outplays Brady and the Pats still win?
You gotta believe.Patriots are playing with house money IMO like the Giants were in 07.

 

[upstater1]

This won't even be close.

Giants by 10+.

Thanks for weighing in. Since your foresight was so good last week, this prediction means all that much more.

 

[Uncle Rico]

This is what I posted yesterday until one of the footie pajama mods put my thread in another forum.This place is worse than MSNBC.
So far in the playoffs I can tell you that the dogs have dominated the playoffs.
I was sick to my stomach when I saw the Pats as favorites for the SB. I don't think they have any shot against the Giants.They have a real QB with real recivers and a D as good as the Ravens.
My hope is Brady has super performance like he does after a piss poor performance.
Pats lose turnover battle 3-1,Flacco outplays Brady and the Pats still win?
You gotta believe.Patriots are playing with house money IMO like the Giants were in 07.

I agree the Pats are playing with house money because a lot of people thought they wouldn't get here. But I'm not sure you can say "dogs have dominated" when the Pats have won both games after entering as favorites.

 

[Kontradiction]

This won't even be close.

Giants by 10+.

Based on what? Sour grapes? The offense played, BY FAR, their worst game of the year against the league's best remaining defense and still won the game. There was a reason why your guys were kicking for OT and not the win, and that's because the better team won in spite of Brady sucking badly. You really think #12 is going to have two games like that in a row?

That said, I would take the Giants. But this game is going to be close. Very close. I think you're letting the fact that your team lost yesterday cloud your thinking.

 

[PatriotSeven]

Spread aside, the majority of experts are going to be picking the Giants in this one, and with good reason. The only reason the Pats are favored is because of brand, perception and respect. Because matchup, regular season duel, balance, recent accomplishments are all on the Giants side.

No they won't. And you have it completely backwards. Patriots are favored because they are the better team on all aspects of the ball.

None of what you say are on the Giants side. None of it. Everything the Patriots accomplished so far in the playoffs are on their side. Nothing the Giants have done has actually shown confidence.

The Patriots not only beat a playoff team with a winning record, but have done it in a fashion only two other teams in history have done, and done it with a - turnover margin. Both of those teams went on to win the Super Bowl.

The Giants beat their opponents, but their opponents looked nothing like they did in the regular season.

Atlanta scored 3 points.
GB had 3 turnovers and the most efficient quarterback in football lost the interception battle.
The 49ers who led the league in takeaways were a -2 at home.

I wanna see the Giants beat a team who doesn't beat itself before I am convinced. I saw the Patriots do that yesterday, despite their - turnover margin. They haven't done that.

 

[Patradomous]

I agree the Pats are playing with house money because a lot of people thought they wouldn't get here. But I'm not sure you can say "dogs have dominated" when the Pats have won both games after entering as favorites.

True. But I'm talking spread wise the dogs have dominated.
Pats 31-30 but for amusment purposes I'm taking the Giants and the points.

 

[deroc5050]

Spread aside, the majority of experts are going to be picking the Giants in this one, and with good reason. The only reason the Pats are favored is because of brand, perception and respect. Because matchup, regular season duel, balance, recent accomplishments are all on the Giants side.

Really? Go back and look at the first match up.. and look at the game objectively. We played horrible that day (4 turn overs)and it took a last minute drive by the giants to win.

This week really boils down to our O line against there D line. If we beat them up front Brady can have a field day with this giants defense. The Ravens have much better cover safeties with ladarius web and Ed Reed. the Giants dont have that luxury to play the way the ravens did.
Its a completely different defense, its going to be a great game.

I think this game is a coin flip.. Another great match up.

 

[Double TE]

NYG has a better D...at least D line. Their receivers are better and their RBs are better. Our advantage is at TE and QB (not significant based on the aforementioned D lines). Not sure what any of this means other than the fact that players will need to make plays. TB cannot miss wide open targets or throw balls up for grabs in triple coverage. We cannot fumble on special teams and we need to run the ball effectively.

It may come down to last possession wins. I hope we can get them but I am uneasy. Very uneasy.