Re: Adalius Thomas, my preference
BB doesn't have a poor record with developing LBs. On the contrary he has doneextremely well, with the few where he has tried. Mostly he prefers established starting veterans for his Team.
There are three examples where he has done very well. He started the conversion of Tedy Bruschi from a star collegiate DT into first an OLB, and then a ILB/MLB back under the Tuna.
He took an un-established FA veteran pickup and turned him into the Mike Vrabel we now know.
He is taking a seventh round DE pick and has already converted TBC into a pretty good OLB; we don't fully know how this will turn out but he surely isn't a stiff at all.
He has also taken an UDFA and made Matt Chatham into a pretty good reserve LB, too.
I said
rookie LBs. Vrabel had experience in Pittsburgh's 3-4 scheme for
four seasons. Bruschi was drafted in 1996. McGinest, in 1994. Pfifer and Colvin were FAs.
IMO, you're overrating TBC. I didn't say he was a stiff, but he hasn't showed anything beyond an occasional sack either. We'll see just how good he is now that Seau is on IR. Additonally, whether or not he pans out, it took his 4th season to do so. Moreover, I think he's a FA after this season.
Chatham was/is only a reserve. This team will need starters to continue their run.
I can't name one player that was drafted, or UDFA, in the BB era that has become a quality starter. That's a poor track record in my book.
The Pats were able to get away from spending too much at LB due to finding a few diamonds in the rough. Those days are coming to an end. Vrabel and Bruschi have lost a step and won't get better in 2007. Colvin is good but if Seau returns, he'll be entering his 18th season. Moreover, more teams have switched to the 3-4 and look for the same type of players as the Pats.
I believe the Pats will open up their wallets for prime defensive talent, especially out of necessity. In the past, the Pats were spared this, but whether it's to keep Samuel at CB or raid the FA market for LBs, the Pats will have to overpay one way or another. If they don't, then their nucleus will rot.
If the Bears tag Briggs, the Pats could offer up one of their '07 #1s in a sign and trade. Briggs is worth a low #1.
Since 2005, the Pats are 0-6 vs Denver/Indy/SD. Inability to compete against elite competition is the first sign of a decline and the only way to save the LB corps is via FA.