Vegas loves the Pats

[tombonneau]

I suspect that Baltimore is underrated. They now have as good a chance as the other three.

Goo posting. My two preseason wagers are Balt SB champs and over on Detroit wins which hopefully will be 4.5 or 5.5.

Also, for those looking at these odds for Pats as a good thing, Vegas sets the odds not just on what they think will happen, but they also lower the odds for teams they know will get lots of public action, like Pats and dallas.

 

[patsinthesnow]

I know they got Boldin, but the Ravens seemed so flat on offense in the divisional playoff against the Colts.

Is Flacco good enough to make a SB run? I haven't seen many ravens games and in ours he just handed off a bunch since we imploded.

 

[tombonneau]

I know they got Boldin, but the Ravens seemed so flat on offense in the divisional playoff against the Colts.

Is Flacco good enough to make a SB run? I haven't seen many ravens games and in ours he just handed off a bunch since we imploded.

They added Boldin and Stallworth, the latter a very underrated signing. Much like with the NEP, he'll just be the #3 guy to stretch the field, behind Boldin & Mason.

If Pitta pans out at TE that will be a complete offense. (In fact the more I think of it, the more I think the league owes us one for stealing Gronk from under them.)

And then on D, if just one of Kindle and Cody makes an impact in 2010, that D is much better.

Add in the fact that they are a shoe-in for the division with Ben out 6 games and Ravens at 20-1 is the best value on the board.

 

[CheeseMonkeys]

They added Boldin and Stallworth, the latter a very underrated signing. Much like with the NEP, he'll just be the #3 guy to stretch the field, behind Boldin & Mason.

If Pitta pans out at TE that will be a complete offense. (In fact the more I think of it, the more I think the league owes us one for stealing Gronk from under them.)

And then on D, if just one of Kindle and Cody makes an impact in 2010, that D is much better.

Add in the fact that they are a shoe-in for the division with Ben out 6 games and Ravens at 20-1 is the best value on the board.

The Ravens appear to have an amazing Defense right now. And as if their run stopping wasn't good enough, they added Cody and Kindle. They now have a brick wall defensive line unless Cody is a bust.

 

[supafly]

The Ravens appear to have an amazing Defense right now. And as if their run stopping wasn't good enough, they added Cody and Kindle. They now have a brick wall defensive line unless Cody is a bust.

I always saw teams such as the NYJ and BAL as those who had top 3 defenses, and focused on running the ball + good ball control, clock mgmt, etc. It will be interesting to see if they now are better for their changes, at least on offense. The NYJ have added some decent weapons, as have the Ravens. BAL has decent downfield threats now too in Boldin, Mason, Clayton, and Heap/Pitta. With Ray Rice out of the backfield, I think they will win the North and continue making noise.

As far as the NYJ go, it'll be pretty hard at times to successfully throw against them, and I realize that everyone looks to Cromartie as the weak link in the secondary--yet I somehow think Rex Ryan is too smart for that. I believe he brought him there to shut down the passing game, thus buying an extra second or two for his elite pass rush schemes. Revis has already proven he can and will shut anyone down one on one, and I see Rex Ryan rolling a safety to Cromartie's side for more help at times--practically double coverage, giving his pass rush specialists even more time to do their jobs creating havoc. I believe that the NYJ will be very competitive, and that many of us are hoping that Sanchez is the weak link--although for a rookie he made good strides down the stretch, and I believe they will continue his game managing and he will be obviously better.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

latest odds show Jets 6-1 and Pats 9-1 to win SB

 

[PatsFanStnfrd]

latest odds show Jets 6-1 and Pats 9-1 to win SB

The Jets must have passionate big-wallet bettors to have moved the line that much in a week.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

The Jets must have passionate big-wallet bettors to have moved the line that much in a week.

MGM Grand in Las Vegas has set the latest odds

Strange thing is the Colts are favored at 5-1,the Jets second at 6-1,the Cowboys at 7-1 but the world champion Saints who have a good chunk of the team coming back is at 10-1 just above the Redskins and below the Pats who didn't get into the divisional round...figure it out,I can't

 

[tombonneau]

MGM Grand in Las Vegas has set the latest odds

Strange thing is the Colts are favored at 5-1,the Jets second at 6-1,the Cowboys at 7-1 but the world champion Saints who have a good chunk of the team coming back is at 10-1 just above the Redskins and below the Pats who didn't get into the divisional round...figure it out,I can't

Bear in mind, Vegas odds are necessarily the odds that they think a team has of winning the SB: it's the odds they think will best balance their book based on anticipated action.

Saints are a traditional public team a la Cowboys, Pats, Packers, Colts, NY teams. So those teams will have lower odds as Vegas knows they will get more action on them than they will less popular teams.

 

[JoeSixPat]

I was in Vegas the weekend before the draft and the Pats were 8-1 at Mirage and 7-1 at Caesars. I'm not sure why the odds would be longer now.

Vegas odds are intended to keep equal numbers betting for or against a team - ensuring that Vegas doesn't lose their shirt because everyone's betting on one side and "the house always wins".

It IS reflective of how the betting public views the teams - and I suspect that the odds on the Patriots are more a representation of public admiration for what Belichick and Brady can do, rather than anything regarding the make up of the team via free agency or the draft.

If the Patriots odds are getting "worse" its because more of the betting public is jumping on their bandwagon and Vegas wants to foster some balance.

Fans often read too much in to Vegas odds - it has less to do with reality than perception.

 

[jeffbiologist]

I think the best money is betting AGAINST the Saints! I thought they had the best chance at the SB 2 years ago but they played a first place schedule and finished last in their division at 8-8. Playing a LAST place schedule they almost went undefeated. But now they are back to a first place schedule and there is no way they repeat! Everyone already knows what that division is like..