JDSal45
Third String But Playing on Special Teams
- Joined
- Dec 21, 2004
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Most sportsbooks took the Pats game off the board tonight. No idea why.
J D Sal
This isn't BS, it's absolutely true.
One of the webs largest sportsbooks, Sportsbook.com, which is advertised in USA Today, ESPN, etc just took it OFF TOTALLY.
This is not good news, IMO. Something big has got to be going down. There would be no good reason if it's not a major injury, etc. It's got to be something really big to be taken off the boards 12 hrs before.
Trust me, its off the board you log on and try to bet it. That thing was written days ago likely and scheduled to run. The game just came off tonight.
Not to be facetious, but let's say for the moment that "something big" is "going down." How do you know it won't hurt the Dolphins?
Heck, for all we know, it's just that the betting ended up too f***ed up and they were afraid of losing too much money on the game (as someone else noted, most of the money was coming in on the Pats, and yet they lowered the line during the week).
The person who said there was "98%" money on NE is not even close to correct. As of right now it's 74% NE with the pointspread, but the public is backing MIA on the moneyline, which means the spread is low enough that there's a decent chance they could win the game outright (MIA).
I didn't quote the number since it seemed high, although the basic point seemed correct.
In any case, there are really only three possibilities (more than one of which may be true):
(1) Something major has happened in the last 24 hours or so. [If that's the case, I expect BB to launch a thorough investigation to figure out how the oddsmakers got their tips. . . .]
(2) BB was flat-out lying when he filled out his injury reports this week (remember, he said Brady was participating fully).
(3) The problem that led to the game being taken off the books is something unrelated to Brady.
Since there have been some newer rumors regarding a major star player, they probably just want to be sure they have the correct info, and proper spread. Some of the books had it at -3, while others were up to -5 recently. Somebody knows something (not necessarily negative) that someone does not know currently.
As someone who doesn't gamble, it would seem that -5/-3 isn't really spectacular per se. Wouldn't lines tend towards an "equilibrium" value? [In other words, if the spreads were, say, Team X -9 v. Team X +1, wouldn't both lines get pushed towards something around -4?]