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- Jan 22, 2005
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First off, I'm not going to predict specific players, because I'm bad at it, and IBBIT.
That said, I do think there are certain things that are very likely to happen, based on historical tendencies:
1. I expect the Patriots will draft a total of FOUR players in the first three rounds. My main reason for saying this is that, historically, EVERY player drafted in the first four rounds makes the roster, AND at least one UDFA makes the opening day roster as well.
2. I expect the Patriots to trade ONE of the three seconds—most likely #34, since that will get them an extra first—into the 2010 draft.
3. I expect the Patriots will use either #58 or #89 to trade up. According to the value chart, #47 + #89 = #33, so they could easily trade away #34 and still draft a player in the #30s.
4. I also expect the Patriots to use at least one of their three remaining "late" picks (their 4, their 6, or their 7) in trades. In all, I expect the Patriots will draft 8-9 players total.
5. I expect the Patriots to draft at least one LB in the first three rounds, and at least one player who can play S.
6. I expect that somewhere on day two, most likely in rounds four or five, they will take a QB to challenge Gutierrez.
7. I do NOT expect them to draft a punter, but I do expect them to sign one as a UDFA to push Hanson. I do NOT expect that UDFA to replace Hanson.
8. I expect the Patriots will draft at least one "slash" type player (WR/QB, CB/S, RB/WR, etc.)
9. I do NOT expect they will trade DOWN in the draft unless they can find a way to push the picks they accumulate into 2010. Drafting a ton of players this year, again, makes little sense.
10. I expect that, all of the above said, I will still, nevertheless, say "WTF?" at least once next weekend.
That said, I do think there are certain things that are very likely to happen, based on historical tendencies:
1. I expect the Patriots will draft a total of FOUR players in the first three rounds. My main reason for saying this is that, historically, EVERY player drafted in the first four rounds makes the roster, AND at least one UDFA makes the opening day roster as well.
2. I expect the Patriots to trade ONE of the three seconds—most likely #34, since that will get them an extra first—into the 2010 draft.
3. I expect the Patriots will use either #58 or #89 to trade up. According to the value chart, #47 + #89 = #33, so they could easily trade away #34 and still draft a player in the #30s.
4. I also expect the Patriots to use at least one of their three remaining "late" picks (their 4, their 6, or their 7) in trades. In all, I expect the Patriots will draft 8-9 players total.
5. I expect the Patriots to draft at least one LB in the first three rounds, and at least one player who can play S.
6. I expect that somewhere on day two, most likely in rounds four or five, they will take a QB to challenge Gutierrez.
7. I do NOT expect them to draft a punter, but I do expect them to sign one as a UDFA to push Hanson. I do NOT expect that UDFA to replace Hanson.
8. I expect the Patriots will draft at least one "slash" type player (WR/QB, CB/S, RB/WR, etc.)
9. I do NOT expect they will trade DOWN in the draft unless they can find a way to push the picks they accumulate into 2010. Drafting a ton of players this year, again, makes little sense.
10. I expect that, all of the above said, I will still, nevertheless, say "WTF?" at least once next weekend.