PYPER
Third String But Playing on Special Teams
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This projection model provides the expected win totals of the AFC Playoff contenders if each of the contenders beat the poor teams on their schedule and split their games against other contending teams.
Here are the expected records for the rest of the AFC teams in contention.
TEAM.....Current Record.....Schedule.....Expected Wins (EW's)....Competive Games (CG's).....Expected Record
1) Titans: 12-1; Hou,Pit,@Ind; 1 EW's; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 14-2
2) Steelers: 10-3; Bal,@Ten,Cle; 1 EW; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 12-4
3) Dolphins: 8-5; SF,KC,@NYJ; 2 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 10.5 - 5.5
4) Broncos: 8-5; @Car,Buf,@SD; 0 EW's; 3 CG's; Exp.Record = 9.5 - 6.5
5) Colts: 9-4; Det,@Jax,Ten; 2 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 11.5 - 4.5
6) Ravens: 9-4; Pit,@Dal,Jax; 1 EW’s; CG's; Exp.Record = 11–5
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7) Jets: 8-5; Buf,@Sea,Mia; 1 EW's; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 10-6
8) Patriots: 8-5; @Oak,Ari,@Buf; 1 EW's; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 10–6
9) Texans: 6-7; Ten,@Oak,Chi; 1 EW's, 2 CG's; Exp. Record = 8-8
10) Bills: 6-7; @NYJ,@Den,NE; 0 EW's; 3 CG's; Exp.Record = 7.5 - 8.5
11) Chargers: 5-8; @KC,@TB,Den; 1 EW's, 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 7-9
Note: Teams are ordered based on their expected records, which is NOT necessarily the way it would look if the season were to end today. For example, the Jets are currently in line for the #4 seed but when we use the expected record formula they lose the AFC East title to the Miami Dolphins and fall to the #7 slot.
Here are the expected records for the rest of the AFC teams in contention.
TEAM.....Current Record.....Schedule.....Expected Wins (EW's)....Competive Games (CG's).....Expected Record
1) Titans: 12-1; Hou,Pit,@Ind; 1 EW's; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 14-2
2) Steelers: 10-3; Bal,@Ten,Cle; 1 EW; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 12-4
3) Dolphins: 8-5; SF,KC,@NYJ; 2 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 10.5 - 5.5
4) Broncos: 8-5; @Car,Buf,@SD; 0 EW's; 3 CG's; Exp.Record = 9.5 - 6.5
5) Colts: 9-4; Det,@Jax,Ten; 2 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 11.5 - 4.5
6) Ravens: 9-4; Pit,@Dal,Jax; 1 EW’s; CG's; Exp.Record = 11–5
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7) Jets: 8-5; Buf,@Sea,Mia; 1 EW's; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 10-6
8) Patriots: 8-5; @Oak,Ari,@Buf; 1 EW's; 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 10–6
9) Texans: 6-7; Ten,@Oak,Chi; 1 EW's, 2 CG's; Exp. Record = 8-8
10) Bills: 6-7; @NYJ,@Den,NE; 0 EW's; 3 CG's; Exp.Record = 7.5 - 8.5
11) Chargers: 5-8; @KC,@TB,Den; 1 EW's, 2 CG's; Exp.Record = 7-9
Note: Teams are ordered based on their expected records, which is NOT necessarily the way it would look if the season were to end today. For example, the Jets are currently in line for the #4 seed but when we use the expected record formula they lose the AFC East title to the Miami Dolphins and fall to the #7 slot.