2007 1st-round pick contract numbers

[patchick]

Cstjohn17 posted this in an earlier thread; I'm giving it its own thread and sticky for reference purposes.

All Salary data from http://www.rotoworld.com/
# Team Player Pos Length Total Contract Average Cap Comments
1 Oakland JaMarcus Russell QB 6 $61.00 $10.17 $7M available in incentives
2 Detroit Calvin Johnson WR 6 $55.00 $9.17
3 Cleveland Joe Thomas OT 5 $42.50 $8.50
4 Tampa Bay Gaines Adams DE 6 $46.00 $7.67
5 Arizona Levi Brown OT 6 $62.00 $10.33 The deal includes $18.1 million in guarantees.
6 Washington LaRon Landry FS 5 $41.50 $8.30
7 Minnesota Adrian Peterson RB 6 $40.50 $6.75
8 Atlanta Jamaal Anderson DE 5 $31.00 $6.20
9 Miami Ted Ginn Jr. WR 5 Unknown Unknown $14M guarantees
10 Houston Amobi Okoye DT 6 $15.40 $2.57
11 San Francisco Patrick Willis ILB 5 $16.65 $3.33
12 Buffalo Marshawn Lynch RB 6 $18.90 $3.15
13 St. Louis Adam Carriker DE 5 $12.80 $2.56
14 N.Y. Jets Darrelle Revis CB 6 $30.00 $5.00
15 Pittsburgh Lawrence Timmons OLB 5 $12.00 $2.40
16 Green Bay Justin Harrell DT 6 $14.50 $2.42
17 Denver Jarvis Moss DE 5 $15.00 $3.00
18 Cincinnati Leon Hall CB 5 $13.60 $2.72
19 Tennessee Michael Griffin FS 5 $7.50 $1.50
20 N.Y. Giants Aaron Ross CB 5 $13.50 $2.70
21 Jacksonville Reggie Nelson FS 5 $9.55 $1.91
22 Cleveland Brady Quinn QB 5 $9.20 $1.84
23 Kansas City Dwayne Bowe WR 5 $9.00 $1.80
24 New England Brandon Meriweather FS 5 $8.75 $1.75
25 Carolina Jon Beason OLB 5 $12.50 $2.50
26 Dallas Anthony Spencer DE 5 $9.00 $1.80 $6M guarantees
27 New Orleans Robert Meachem WR 5 $11.30 $2.26
28 San Francisco Joe Staley OT 5 $8.00 $1.60
29 Baltimore Ben Grubbs G 5 $8.00 $1.60
30 San Diego Craig Davis WR 5 $7.83 $1.57
31 Chicago Greg Olsen TE 5 $7.77 $1.55
32 Indianapolis Anthony Gonzalez WR 5 $7.50 $1.50

[patsfaninpa]

Great idea. This will come in handy after free-agency starts. When we see what our cap situation is going into the draft.

[Jacs_10]

I just don’t see BB giving a rookie a 40,5 mill contract. That’s not going to happen. The more I look at the number, the more I am convinced, pats will trade down to around the 15 pick. A pick to keep away from is the 14. pick, because Darrelle Revis got a big contract by the Jets because of his holdout.

[nittanylions52]

Originally Posted by Jacs_10

I just don’t see BB giving a rookie a 40,5 mill contract. That’s not going to happen. The more I look at the number, the more I am convinced, pats will trade down to around the 15 pick. A pick to keep away from is the 14. pick, because Darrelle Revis got a big contract by the Jets because of his holdout.

First of all, not every guy who is picked at 14 will hold out just because Revis did. If any guy holds out, he'll generally get the money. It's just a matter of what his attitude is, or maybe his agent's stubbornness.

Secondly, trading down requires two teams to agree. I'm not sure why people think the Pats will so readily be able to trade out of the #7 pick. A lot of teams are going to look at what happened with San Fran and they won't bother wanting to trade up to #7, especially since it would cost a decent amount to do so (probably a future first rounder).

[chunkypony]

Yea, I don't think the Pats are staying at 7....

[Miguel]

The problem with these numbers is that some total numbers presume that the player will reach a good number, if not all, of his escalators and some do not.

[Miguel]

If you wish to see the 1st year cap hit for the last two 1st round draft classes,
visit
http://www.patscap.com/1stround.gif

[PatsFaninME]

Originally Posted by nittanylions52

Secondly, trading down requires two teams to agree. I'm not sure why people think the Pats will so readily be able to trade out of the #7 pick. A lot of teams are going to look at what happened with San Fran and they won't bother wanting to trade up to #7, especially since it would cost a decent amount to do so (probably a future first rounder).

I totally agree that it takes two teams but every year there are teams that feel they are one player away and they teams that fall in love with certain guys. Plus there are coaches/GM's who feel they may not be around in a year or two if they don't win now. That's why trades happen. If everyone was as comfortable as Belichick/Pioli, then nobody would trade up.

Just watch the Tuna, for example. He knows he's not going to be there in 3 years so he's going to try to make a name for himself by turning a 1-15 team into a playoff team in 2 years. He'll sell his teams future (ehich he won't be part of) for the present. He's done it with other teams (Jets) and will do it again. Mark my words.

I too think the Pats will find takers to move down. They may not find suckers like the Ravens of 49ers of the past 2 years but they will find reasonable offers to move down. I can't see them spending that much cash on a CB and only Gholston is even close to worth the money a #7 pick will get (and I;m not sure he's worth it). I think they will move down a few times to eliminate the "punishment" of losing the 31st pick.

[NePatriots]

Once again Miguel, you are the man. Anywhere out of the top 10 will be great and we will still get our top needs filled.

[cstjohn17]

Originally Posted by Miguel

If you wish to see the 1st year cap hit for the last two 1st round draft classes,
visit
http://www.patscap.com/1stround.gif

Pretty cool, do you have any idea on what the futures years look like? Capology is like science gone mad.