12-31-2012, 02:52 PM
In the Starting Line-up
Join Date: Mar 2007
Re: Perception, it ain't what it seems, some interesting NFL Fact (to me at least)
Originally Posted by DocHoliday
We just have to cross our fingers and hope our O doesn't get stifled.
The question is: Can the Patriots win a playoff game where the offense gets held in check? Let's call "in check" an average of 24 points or fewer. I use that figure because the Pats, year-in and year-out, average in the high 20's or more. So 24 would represent a low-scoring game, but not a game where NE's offense gets buried.
In the past 3 seasons, the Pats are 2-2 in the playoffs. Outside of their huge win against Denver last year, all 3 other games were games where they were held in check:
L, 28-21 vs. NYJ
W, 23-20 vs. Bal
L, 21-17 vs. NYG
In the past 2 regular seasons, here's the games where the offense has been held in check:
W, 20-16 vs. Dal
L, 25-17 at Pit
L, 24-20 vs. NYG
L, 20-18 vs. Ari
L, 24-23 at Sea
W, 23-16 at Mia
W, 23-16 at Jax
That's a 3-4 record. So in the past 2 years, starting with the Jets playoff game in Jan 2011, the Pats are 5-6 in games where their offense has been held in check.
So they're capable, potentially, of winning a low-scoring game. But it would require an A+ effort from the defense.