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They're not completely out of it, but food for thought: according to playoffstatus.com, if the JEST go 10-6 (5-1 the rest of the way), they only have a 50-50 chance of making the playoffs. If the Pats go 4-3 the rest of the way, ending up 10-6, they have an 87% chance of making the playoffs.
"Momentum was quickly snatched away by New England, who once again proved that any Patriot, at any moment, can make a play." —Inside the NFL, Packers v. Patriots
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I can understand that the Jets have a much easier remaining schedule than the Ravens, Bengals and Titans do, and also that one AFCN team like the Bengals could get knocked out of the race by playing all those division games.
However, the Jets seem to be built so much on emotion - confidence and swagger - that I don't think they have the intestinal fortitude to persevere and bounce back. Obviously, as pointed out things can change dramatically in just a week or two, but right now I see as no better than the 4th most likely team to be a wild card, behind Baltimore, Cincy, and Tennessee.