04-22-2012, 12:12 PM
Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
Join Date: Mar 2011
re: Mike Reiss lists potential players the Patriots are interested in; Mark Barron #1
Originally Posted by Wilfork#75
To me this is the key thing to remember for a potential Mark Barron trade. He might be a very good player in the NFL, but there is no way I would trade two 1st round picks for him. Not only do I think you would get far greater impact from two late 1st rounders compared to Barron, such a dramatic trade up would completely handcuff the Pats for the rest of the draft. It makes it much more difficult to move around because they are already low on late round picks. And it would make it extremely difficult to trade a high pick into next year. Trading up for Barron is a desperation move that bad teams would make, I don't think the Pats are that desperate.
The trouble with picking late in the first is that you tend to get left with mediocrity. Look at the picks the Patriots have made when picking in the top 20:
And then when picking in the 20-32 range:
Devin McCourty (hopefully we'll see his year performance back, but if last year becomes the norm...)
Obviously there are two exceptions to the second list:
Logan Mankins (A guard so a devalued position)
Vince Wilfork (picked @21 so right on the cusp).
It's not a rule of thumb, but dominant franchises are built around players in group A, not group B. That doesn't mean I'm an advocate for always trading up. Generally I like BB's approach to the draft. But you do, from time to time, need to add group A type players to prevent average players from consuming the team.