onegr8om

I love this pick. I think a majority of pats fans do as well, especially since we didn't "earn" the pick by being horrible and losing, but by actually doing smart business. Since last year i've wondered what a team like the Patriots could do with the supposed value of the pick and having a full day to wheel and deal and i'd LOVE to hear what everyone thinks we could turn this into. I'll start!

Patriots Trade Pick #33 to......

The Tampa Bay Bucs for their 1st round pick in 2012 AND Pick #51 in 2011.

This is something along the lines of what i'm HOPING for. My hopes is that some team who thinks they're VERY close falls in LOVE with a player who slides out of the first round. They may feel like a LOT of teams are vying for the pick from us and give more than they have to/want. I didn't use a draft chart value system because i think this pick really doesn't apply to that.

More than likely, it wouldn't be Tampa that would overpay for the pick. It would probably be a team who needs a QB that slides, but i just wanted to throw it out there. Thoughts? Ideas?

Uncle Rico

I like the idea that teams will know there's a lot of competition for 33, and wayoverpay for 32 to head them off. That would be cool.

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SirApropos

Agreed. I think it will be more likely that the Pats will trade back from 32 into round 2 than the 33rd.

Everyone though last year St. Louis would make some killer trade after having a whole night to wheel and deal the 33rd and it didn't happen.

However Minnesota traded their 30th pick to Detroit so they could move up and take Javid Best and moved back to 34, swapped 4th rounders and picked up a 7th rounder.

I could see the Pats doing something similar to the Vikings. Moving back a bit and swapping mid round picks with a team picking in the early spots. The pats also shouldn't have any picks after round 5 so they may use this tactic to pick some up or replace all of the late round 2012 picks they gave up for Moss (7th) and Tracy White (conditional 2012 6-7).

cstjohn17

Although pick #32 will pay a slightly higher salary it also gives the team the ability to sign a player for 5 years.

If there is a QB that a team likes at #32, having the five year window could make the pick have more value.

Metaphors

Interesting thread. There are a couple of components that go into this:

1) What player/position is likely to slip that could entice a trade?
2) What teams are missing high picks (more likely to trade up)?
3) What teams are under enough pressure to win now to give up a 2012 #1?

You are looking for the perfect storm of those 3 components. Looking at them one at a time:

1) Slipping 1st rounders?

From a position perspective, I would say QB and WR stand out. It is likely that the "first wave" of those positions will bleed out into day 2. That makes #33 a good position to get a Jake Locker or a Michael Floyd/Jon Baldwin. From a player perspective, I would look to Kyle Rudolph. He looks to be the top TE with a good-sized drop to the next guy.

2) Teams missing picks?

A handful of teams have traded away picks in the top 3 rounds. OAK (1st), CAR (2nd), MIA (2nd), NYJ (2nd or 3rd), WAS (3rd), MIN (3rd), SEA (3rd). I doubt the Fins or Jets are dealing with the Pats. The Panthers are unlikely to trade for their old pick (it would be embarrassing). That leaves the Raiders, Skins, Vikings and Seahawks.

3) Under pressure?

New coaches get a pass their 1st year so the eliminates OAK, DEN, CLE, SF, MIN and OAK. Garrett is not really "new" and the expectations in Dallas are so high, so they stay on the list. Knock off playoff teams and teams that were unexpectedly close (TB, STL). Eliminate the dumpster fires that are still crawling up to respectibility (BUF, DET). That leaves CIN, ARZ, TEN, DAL, WAS, HOU, MIA, JAX, SD and NYG.

So it looks to me like the Skins are the optimal trading partner. They need a QB (even if they sign a vet) and WRs. Ownership and the fan base are seriously losing patience with Shanahan. And they have shown in the past they are willing to mortgage the future to win now. Since the Skins don't have a 3rd or 4th this year, any trade would likely involve 2012 picks. Say a 1st and 3rd in 2012 for the #33 this year.

The other team that seems interesting is Houston. They need to revamp their entire secondary and this draft has some nice talent at the top. They will also need a TE if they don't re-sign Daniels. If they are transitioning to a 3-4, they also need some pieces to do that. However, their options might dry up before they pick in the 3rd round. They might be willing to trade their 3rd round pick and their 2012 #1 for #33 in order to have 3 picks (#11, #33, #42) to solidify their DBs to finally knock off the Colts next year.

patfanken

No I think you do it in reverse. The reason to keep the 32nd is (I think) is that the team can control first rounders an extra year. IIRC after the first round you can only sign a guy for 4 years max. So if you want to trade down or out, the 33rd pick would be the place to do it.

anotherbruschi

The Patriots will have numerous options, but the 33rd pick in effect gives them 3 1st round picks this year.

jeffbiologist

There are numerous possibilities here but one thing I havent seen anyone suggest is to package say both our 2s to a team like Carolina for a 1st rounder next year. I think if its a notably bad draft maybe we grab our 2 first rounders and trade out. Truth is with the way we have been picking up players off the street I tend to think the draft is getting a bit over rated...anyone else?

borg

Or the 32nd pick in effect gives them 3 2nd round picks this year...just saying

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jsull87

Our 33rd straight up is worth a 1st next year. but yes that is an option if BB wants out of this draft and into next years. Same with our 32nd pick. That is somehting no one is talking about... how funny would it be if we trades our 32nd for someones 1st next year and a 3rd/4th this year and same with our 33rd... we'd have 3 picks in the 1st next year hahah yet still be picking 17, late 2nd and have 4 picks in the 3rd pretty funny situation what ever we do