01-07-2013, 03:16 PM
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#25
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All Pro Poster
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 15,599
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Re: Atlanta Mom saves her family with a gun
Quote:
Originally Posted by PatsFanInVa
Checked out the study quoted in your "fact"-sheet, RI.
Here it is, for all those with an attention span longer than a gnat's:
https://www.ncjrs.gov/txtfiles/165476.txt
Under "Key Findings," in case you don't want to do the hard work...
From the body of the report...
Figuring this is a U.S. government doc and therefore in the public domain. Suffice it to say, the researcher in question does a fair job explaining why the insane estimates of defensive gun uses get so inflated, from the one woman claiming 52 defensive gun uses per year (I suppose she goes shopping weekly,) to the greater prevalence of defensive gun uses than attempted crimes in some categories.
I'm not certain exactly why so little crime has happened to me. I have lived in some of the more dangerous zip codes in the country in my time. I've also intervened in a violent crime unarmed, and I've had a home broken into... in fact, at one point I was held at gunpoint in a store robbery where I worked. In none of these instances do I think my chances would have been better with a gun than without one. Of course, that's subject to attribution error; of course I think that, because I lived. But the same is true of anybody who did have a gun and survived such a situation.
I'm sure some people use guns defensively, but these self-report studies from 1994 repeated ad infinitum don't really give us much to go on in quantitative terms -- as the author of one of your quoted studies plainly states.
It is an interesting overview of gun stats from 20 years ago, and while the numbers may well have changed, I am sure some of the dynamics have remained relatively consistent... such as the half-million guns that get stolen each year, just for example.
PFnV
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That funny. I went right to your link and read it. I was about to cut and paste a paragraph and it ended up being the same one you chose. I liked the following section, though:
Respondents might falsely provide a positive
response to the DGU question for any of a number of
reasons:
o They may want to impress the interviewer by their
heroism and hence exaggerate a trivial event.
o They may be genuinely confused due to substance
abuse, mental illness, or simply less-than-accurate
memories.
o They may actually have used a gun defensively
within the last couple of years but falsely report
it as occurring in the previous year--a phenomenon
known as "telescoping."
I have some guns and know this to be true from my anectdotal evidence of listening to over-compensating drunks at the gun club.
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