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Old 12-07-2012, 06:43 AM   #31
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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Originally Posted by PatriotsReign View Post
We are a wealthy nation, but our gov't has spent as if we're 3 times as wealthy as we truly are.

Like B5 posted, we have a Euro-style gov't with American style tax structure.

So we need to make our minds...do we want to be like Europe or do we want less government?

I have no desire for a European style government myself.

what I would love to hear PR is that our government is auditing itself and it is going to save every penny it can from every facet of the government machine. The problem is that the numbers are so huge that we have to hear things like the military is but 1% of the budget.

So what ... save a few million here and a few million there and keep saving it. Cut the military, cut foreign aid, cut the staffs of the people in Congress and the Senate.

Cut - Cut - Cut.

Click this link and then click the link for your state. My state RI has it's debt going lower all the time. Some like Massachusetts the debt is rising all the time. States have done it ... most all have ... time for Uncle Sam to follow suit and lead by example.

U.S. National Debt Clock : Real Time

State of Rhode Island Debt Clock

State of Massachusetts Debt Clock
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Old 12-07-2012, 07:47 AM   #32
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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Originally Posted by PatsFanInVa View Post
Let's take two scenarios Icy:

Scenario 1: You destroy growth and plunge America in the double-dip recession. Everybody has less, can make less, and is taxed more. All services simultaneously are deeply slashed.

Scenario 2: Growth continues, and has the chance to pick up markedly once the cliff is "past."

Scenario 1 might get us to a more manageable debt-to-GDP profile, but given its predictably effect on growth, it probably will have the opposite effect. However, the absolute number representing the debt will rise less quickly.

Scenarios 2 will get us to a more manageable debt-to-GDP profile. The absolute number representing the debt will rise more quickly, but the debt-to-GDP ratio will decline. Growth will increase, relative to scenario 1.


PFnV
Scenario #2 only works IF you rein in spending. If Congress (both parties) see the added revenues as a chance for more infrastructure/stimulus/porkulus, you've just made the problem worse. I would be in favor of raising taxes IF and only if we couple it with mandatory limits on spending growth. I'm not asking for cuts but freeze spending and make the programs find ways to do more with the same money, much as people and companies in the private sector have to do on a daily basis.
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Old 12-07-2012, 09:24 AM   #33
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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Originally Posted by Patsfanin Philly View Post
Scenario #2 only works IF you rein in spending. If Congress (both parties) see the added revenues as a chance for more infrastructure/stimulus/porkulus, you've just made the problem worse. I would be in favor of raising taxes IF and only if we couple it with mandatory limits on spending growth. I'm not asking for cuts but freeze spending and make the programs find ways to do more with the same money, much as people and companies in the private sector have to do on a daily basis.
PFiP, let me just touch on your last statement, about gubmit "find[ing] ways to do more with the same money, much as people and companies in the private sector have to do on a daily basis." We've been calling for this for about 30-odd years, and government continually tries to answer this call, in terms of the operation of the gubmit itself.

There's a problem with this thinking: The business of government is mostly contracted or directly paid to citizens. Very little of the money that government gets goes into the day-to-day functioning of maligned government offices, and maligned government workforces.

Because we're so anxious about the idea that the government is one big country club, we get very angry when we see anything frivolous (for example, the rogue GSA conference.)

But by and large, what the actual day-to-day feds cost is a pittance -- and by the way, for the same work, you really don't get paid better as a gubmit employee. In many professional activities, you essentially forego income because you really do want to do the people's work, not feather your own nest.

Now, that part aside -- can we cut government expenditures? Sure. The military is a clear example. Our military spending is as great as the next 13 countries combined -- many of whom are our allies. Will we have to accept great power status instead of superpower status? Yes.

We can cut programs that allow the elderly to live independent lives. But what does that mean for poverty relief expenditures? People of a certain age, like me, remember when we talked about old people living on dog food, because many were. Well, I'm sure some still are. But in the past, one of the best ways to predict poverty was to ask if someone was older. Now they're not poor the moment they get old. I think that's a good thing -- do we want to go backwards?

This woolgathering is about what we do about the "no easy answers" topic. I too am a fan of government doing things smarter wherever possible. The question is whether you can just go in with a "government does everything wrong" theory, without system-wide metrics that make the case, and come up with the answer "Hey you guys -- just do everything better." That's magical thinking, because government is, actually, doing a number of things very well as it stands. I'm not saying there's no fat to cut. I'm saying we tend to look at "oh no the gubmit is terrible" as the silver bullet.

Not going to the full argument again, I guess we've all had enough of it. Just wanted to chime in on the "make government work better" answer. It's always a part of the answer. I've been working in gubmit the last 10 years and frankly, I don't see as much waste as is supposed to be all around me. I see people forced out when they're not producing. I see offices where you have to go out and buy coffee, because there's a law against government offices providing the coffee for workers.... and the actual "coffee clubs" invariably end up buying really crappy coffee and making it really weak.... and the electricity is monitored so you're not supposed to have your own personal coffee pot. I've seen people with pretty impressive responsibilities working out of cube farms, just like in the private sector. I've also seen a workforce with different levels of motivation. I've certainly seen worse than the lowest level out in the private sector. I have never seen better than the more highly motivated gubmit employees I've had the pleasure to serve with.

Whatever people think, what I've seen of gubmit work is not this slack-o-rama.

(And before anybody asks, yes, I am out of the office today.)

PFnV

Last edited by PatsFanInVa; 12-07-2012 at 09:26 AM..
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Old 12-07-2012, 09:49 AM   #34
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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Originally Posted by JackBauer View Post
Don't think anyone is talking about confiscatory taxation nor closing the gap solely by taxing the wealthy.
He is saying that there aren't enough dollars available to close the gap on the revenue side. Not even close.

Quote:
That and the fact the entire article is framed as an either/or, which is also specious reasoning.
No, he is pointing out that America as a majority have voted for "neither/nor" which is an untenable position.
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Old 12-07-2012, 09:51 AM   #35
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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It an incredibly oft-repeated idiot's chant. Go ahead and google "even if you confiscated" and see what you get. They even use the same no-doubt Luntz-inspired word every time they do this.

Here's the formula:

"Even if you confiscated 100% of" [name very small set of very wealthy people,] "it wouldn't solve" [gargantuan economic problem.]

Know what? Just give the country half of that and it would be a mammoth step toward fixing everything. But of course we can't inconvenience the rich that much.

So, we'll just hit 'em for 4.5% more marginal tax. Ta-daaaa. They'll pay for some of the solution. Other progress will come from cuts. We took 230 years to run up this debt. News flash: we don't have to pay it off in one day.

As to balancing the budget as a first step: OH NOES, we'll still likely have a deficit. Why? We're still supporting the economy.

Oh let's just stop doing that!

Um, that's pretty much what the fiscal cliff is. You jumpin'?

Fact is, you don't withdraw gubmit money during a recession. Recession might be over on paper, but we're not out of the woods. We'd be closer if pubbie state houses weren't working overtime to artificially pump up our unemployment rate by firing their essential personnel.

Bet they'll come begging to Washington later when they realize what a shambles they've made of things. Typical pubbie state-level move.

PFnV
I thought the recession was over? If not, can we get a do-over on the election? I wish you would have told us sooner.
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Old 12-07-2012, 09:53 AM   #36
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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Originally Posted by PatsFanInVa View Post
It an incredibly oft-repeated idiot's chant. Go ahead and google "even if you confiscated" and see what you get. They even use the same no-doubt Luntz-inspired word every time they do this.

Here's the formula:

"Even if you confiscated 100% of" [name very small set of very wealthy people,] "it wouldn't solve" [gargantuan economic problem.]

Know what? Just give the country half of that and it would be a mammoth step toward fixing everything. But of course we can't inconvenience the rich that much.
It would also be a mammoth step towards another recession. Brilliant.
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Old 12-07-2012, 10:01 AM   #37
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

except that this notion of the tax on the rich would account for about 3% of the current deficit.......really more symbolic than anything else......

Quote:
Originally Posted by PatsFanInVa View Post
PFiP, let me just touch on your last statement, about gubmit "find[ing] ways to do more with the same money, much as people and companies in the private sector have to do on a daily basis." We've been calling for this for about 30-odd years, and government continually tries to answer this call, in terms of the operation of the gubmit itself.

There's a problem with this thinking: The business of government is mostly contracted or directly paid to citizens. Very little of the money that government gets goes into the day-to-day functioning of maligned government offices, and maligned government workforces.

Because we're so anxious about the idea that the government is one big country club, we get very angry when we see anything frivolous (for example, the rogue GSA conference.)

But by and large, what the actual day-to-day feds cost is a pittance -- and by the way, for the same work, you really don't get paid better as a gubmit employee. In many professional activities, you essentially forego income because you really do want to do the people's work, not feather your own nest.

Now, that part aside -- can we cut government expenditures? Sure. The military is a clear example. Our military spending is as great as the next 13 countries combined -- many of whom are our allies. Will we have to accept great power status instead of superpower status? Yes.

We can cut programs that allow the elderly to live independent lives. But what does that mean for poverty relief expenditures? People of a certain age, like me, remember when we talked about old people living on dog food, because many were. Well, I'm sure some still are. But in the past, one of the best ways to predict poverty was to ask if someone was older. Now they're not poor the moment they get old. I think that's a good thing -- do we want to go backwards?

This woolgathering is about what we do about the "no easy answers" topic. I too am a fan of government doing things smarter wherever possible. The question is whether you can just go in with a "government does everything wrong" theory, without system-wide metrics that make the case, and come up with the answer "Hey you guys -- just do everything better." That's magical thinking, because government is, actually, doing a number of things very well as it stands. I'm not saying there's no fat to cut. I'm saying we tend to look at "oh no the gubmit is terrible" as the silver bullet.

Not going to the full argument again, I guess we've all had enough of it. Just wanted to chime in on the "make government work better" answer. It's always a part of the answer. I've been working in gubmit the last 10 years and frankly, I don't see as much waste as is supposed to be all around me. I see people forced out when they're not producing. I see offices where you have to go out and buy coffee, because there's a law against government offices providing the coffee for workers.... and the actual "coffee clubs" invariably end up buying really crappy coffee and making it really weak.... and the electricity is monitored so you're not supposed to have your own personal coffee pot. I've seen people with pretty impressive responsibilities working out of cube farms, just like in the private sector. I've also seen a workforce with different levels of motivation. I've certainly seen worse than the lowest level out in the private sector. I have never seen better than the more highly motivated gubmit employees I've had the pleasure to serve with.

Whatever people think, what I've seen of gubmit work is not this slack-o-rama.

(And before anybody asks, yes, I am out of the office today.)

PFnV
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Old 12-07-2012, 10:27 AM   #38
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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He is saying that there aren't enough dollars available to close the gap on the revenue side. Not even close.
Has anyone claimed to the contrary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Brandon Five View Post
No, he is pointing out that America as a majority have voted for "neither/nor" which is an untenable position.
Actually, I'd think most Americans are find with a combination of tax increases and spending cuts.
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Old 12-07-2012, 11:22 AM   #39
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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It would also be a mammoth step towards another recession. Brilliant.
Not really a fact in evidence, but not important either. Nobody's talking about driving up the effective tax rate on the wealthy to 50% (and please don't tell me a 39% marginal rate after a wonderland of deductions is the same thing.)

I don't actually think that a 50% effective rate would be a step, mammoth or otherwise, toward another recession... in fact, the top marginal rate under Eisenhower was 91-92%, with a 25% capital gains tax rate. How did growth do during the 1950?

The key was that people were working and the economy was expanding; a large part of that was the national project to build an interstate highway system. That'll put a couple people to work. But certainly that was not the only thing going on.

Now, I'd agree with you if you said tax the man on the street at 50% more, or even 10% more. That would depress the real economy.

PFnV
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Old 12-07-2012, 11:33 AM   #40
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Default Re: Fiscal Cliff Poll: Americans Dislike Both Budget Proposals

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Not really a fact in evidence, but not important either. Nobody's talking about driving up the effective tax rate on the wealthy to 50% (and please don't tell me a 39% marginal rate after a wonderland of deductions is the same thing.)

I don't actually think that a 50% effective rate would be a step, mammoth or otherwise, toward another recession... in fact, the top marginal rate under Eisenhower was 91-92%, with a 25% capital gains tax rate. How did growth do during the 1950?

The key was that people were working and the economy was expanding; a large part of that was the national project to build an interstate highway system. That'll put a couple people to work. But certainly that was not the only thing going on.

Now, I'd agree with you if you said tax the man on the street at 50% more, or even 10% more. That would depress the real economy.

PFnV
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