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Rand Paul projected to win first Tea Party winner.
Coates, DeMint & Leahy projected to win.
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"Some guys play in all-star games, some guys don't. I don't know who picks all those all-star teams. In all honesty, I don't know who picks the combine, for that matter," Belichick said. "How does (Miami-Ohio offensive lineman Brandon) Brooks not get invited to the combine? How did Vollmer not get invited to the combine? I don't know. We can't really worry about that. We just have to try to evaluate them the best we can."
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It's looking like 50+ seats, and 7 senate seats, according to drudge. Still a long way to go till we know who's in, and who's out.
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"The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him." Leo Tolstoy, 1897
My favorite projecttion comes when polls close in California's national election, and with ZERO% reporting, the call the state for the democrat.
they are reporting that in VT right now....0% reporting, yet they are calling it for the democrat.
Exit polling. They use the districts that have been microcosms and typical in their election patterns in the past and see how those voters respond to the surveys. Is it perfect? No, ask President Kerry when they gave him the exit polling in 2004, only problem was that they surveyed early in the day when they got students and housewives who skewed Democratic and weren't typical of the electorate. they learned their lesson and have been closer since.
Last edited by Patsfanin Philly; 11-02-2010 at 06:31 PM..
Exit polling. They use the districts that have been microcosms and typical in their election patterns in the past and see how those voters respond to the surveys. Is it perfect? No, ask President Kerry when they gave him the exit polling in 2004, only problem was that they surveyed early in the day when they got students and housewives who skewed Democratic and weren't typical of the electorate. they learned their lesson and have been closer since.
Bradley effect...
I think everyone would be shocked if the republicans didnt make HUGE strides in the house, took it over and at least closed the gap in the senate.
Thats what my libreal self is expecting.
Last edited by Holy Diver; 11-02-2010 at 06:36 PM..
I think everyone would be shocked if the republicans didnt make HUGE strides in the house, took it over and at least closed the gap in the senate.
Thats what my libreal self is expecting.
It's typical for the out of power party to gain some seats in midterm elections.
Republicans have to gain at least 45 seats in the House and 6 in Senate to meet expectations. Any less and it's a moral victory for the Democrats, If the Republicans win BIG, say 65 House seats and 9 in the Senate ( keeping it 50-50 unless they can convince somebody to switch parties) it is a big loss for the Democrats.
JMHO
Last edited by Patsfanin Philly; 11-02-2010 at 06:45 PM..
__________________
"Some guys play in all-star games, some guys don't. I don't know who picks all those all-star teams. In all honesty, I don't know who picks the combine, for that matter," Belichick said. "How does (Miami-Ohio offensive lineman Brandon) Brooks not get invited to the combine? How did Vollmer not get invited to the combine? I don't know. We can't really worry about that. We just have to try to evaluate them the best we can."
It's looking more and more like a 55ish, give or take gain in the house, and a 7ish gain in the senate. We won't really know which way the "ish" goes until some of the west coast results start to come in.
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To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
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"The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him." Leo Tolstoy, 1897
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