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Old 11-09-2007, 09:53 AM   #1
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Default Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ago?

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/stor...&dist=hplatest

George W. Bush. One of many of his legacies to our country.

But there IS good news! He has destroyed the dollar so much that tourism here is taking off!
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Old 11-09-2007, 10:02 AM   #2
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

Quote:
Originally Posted by shmessy View Post
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/stor...&dist=hplatest

George W. Bush. One of many of his legacies to our country.

But there IS good news! He has destroyed the dollar so much that tourism here is taking off!
I wouldn't say this current fiscal situation is due solely to Bush, though he certainly has made it worse. I know people would like to believe that, but it's certainly not true. We've been spending irresponsibly for years, and this is the result. We need someone in office who will actually change the way things are done. Sadly, I see no one in this crop of candidates that I have that level of confidence in.
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Old 11-09-2007, 10:21 AM   #3
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

Shem, consumer sentiment is almost worthless. Hard figures are what matter more. The only thing that keeps me from certifying a serious economic decline in the coming couple of years, is the jobs market. It's remained incredibly strong, especially with recent hiring figures, which means there is a demand for labor. If we see significant loss in the jobs market, then look out. As long as people are working, the economy will hold it's own. I think fuel costs are our biggest concern right now. That won't help the declining housing market at all. It'll actually make it worse.


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I wouldn't say this current fiscal situation is due solely to Bush, though he certainly has made it worse. I know people would like to believe that, but it's certainly not true. We've been spending irresponsibly for years, and this is the result. We need someone in office who will actually change the way things are done. Sadly, I see no one in this crop of candidates that I have that level of confidence in.
Decades is more like it. GW has simply poured an oil tankers worth of gas onto the fire. Government has not decreased in size in any single year since the 50's. There hasn't been a cut. Whether it's military spending, or entitlements, this country was headed to fiscal implosion a long, long time ago. Nobody wants to make the necessary, and unpopular decisions that will set us on a path to long term efficiency.
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Old 11-09-2007, 11:20 AM   #4
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

Most people are just a bunch of sheep who do and say what they're told to. Othersise the right track/wrong track wouldn't have something like 21% saying right track - it's ridiculous.
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Old 11-09-2007, 02:40 PM   #5
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

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Originally Posted by STFarmy View Post
I wouldn't say this current fiscal situation is due solely to Bush, though he certainly has made it worse. I know people would like to believe that, but it's certainly not true. We've been spending irresponsibly for years, and this is the result. We need someone in office who will actually change the way things are done. Sadly, I see no one in this crop of candidates that I have that level of confidence in.
Under Clinton, the Democrats wisely stole the banner of fiscal responsibility with regard to the deficit. Reagan and Bush II made a travesty of our budget, and for that reason that Democrats are reasonably well poised among independents. If Hillary is elected, we'll probably return to responsible fiscal management. But, on what basis would anyone at this point trust a Republican in that regard? The word 'conservative' may mean fiscally responsible to some, but the reality simply does not reflect that. I think the Democrats for purely political reasons will continue to be fiscally conservative with regard to the budget since it gives them a powerful political weapon.

I think the gold line is most significant in this chart.

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Old 11-09-2007, 04:09 PM   #6
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Under Clinton, the Democrats wisely stole the banner of fiscal responsibility with regard to the deficit. Reagan and Bush II made a travesty of our budget, and for that reason that Democrats are reasonably well poised among independents. If Hillary is elected, we'll probably return to responsible fiscal management. But, on what basis would anyone at this point trust a Republican in that regard? The word 'conservative' may mean fiscally responsible to some, but the reality simply does not reflect that. I think the Democrats for purely political reasons will continue to be fiscally conservative with regard to the budget since it gives them a powerful political weapon.

I think the gold line is most significant in this chart.

Let's remember that Reagan had a Cold War to fight and win, while Clinton had nothing to worry about during his tenure. That affects the numbers in a multitude of ways. Furthermore, if it's the gold line that is the most critical, then GW is right in line with the last 30+ years. The peak over that time seems to be somewhere around 23%, with the low being somewhere at 19%. GW is a shade over 20%. BTw, got the link to that site, I'd like to see what the analysis is.
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Old 11-09-2007, 04:56 PM   #7
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

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Originally Posted by Real World
Let's remember that Reagan had a Cold War to fight and win, while Clinton had nothing to worry about during his tenure.
Reagan chose to fight the cold war and cut taxes. He didn't have to, and I question what good it did us.

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Originally Posted by Real World
That affects the numbers in a multitude of ways. Furthermore, if it's the gold line that is the most critical, then GW is right in line with the last 30+ years. The peak over that time seems to be somewhere around 23%, with the low being somewhere at 19%. GW is a shade over 20%. BTW, got the link to that site, I'd like to see what the analysis is.
Well, what the line shows in increased spending and the blue line shows decreased revenues. Not a good a approach to fiscal responsibility.

I found the chart through an image search, but it apparently comes from somewhere on this site:

http://www.bea.gov/
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Old 11-09-2007, 05:24 PM   #8
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

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Under Clinton, the Democrats wisely stole the banner of fiscal responsibility with regard to the deficit. Reagan and Bush II made a travesty of our budget, and for that reason that Democrats are reasonably well poised among independents. If Hillary is elected, we'll probably return to responsible fiscal management.
Other than Iraq, what spending of Bush's are you against ? Seems to me that most of his other spending has been on things you would like . . .
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Old 11-09-2007, 05:31 PM   #9
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Other than Iraq, what spending of Bush's are you against ? Seems to me that most of his other spending has been on things you would like . . .
Iraq is plenty. I don't think there needs to be anything else. If you're going to wage war, then also make it good for the economy. Can you think of another case offhand where war was actually bad for the economy? He should have taken advantage of the prosperity that war tends to create to make aggressive progress against the deficit. --If it was a Democrat instituting national health care, which I think will at least initially be very good for the economy (simply because it's a whole new industry), they should raise taxes, cut military (mainly Iraq), and lower the deficit.
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Old 11-09-2007, 06:05 PM   #10
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Default Re: Who Was It That Was Crowing About High Consumer Sentiment Numbers A Few Months Ag

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Iraq is plenty.
That's fine, it's a valid opinion but a lot of his other spending (like prescription drugs added to Medicare) is a big part of the increase of government spending under Bush and I think you'd favor most of it.
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